Porsche Automobil Holding Stock Forum

Just doesn't make sense.

Time for a little update 🧐

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From the original 77 positions, there are now 57 left.

Many well-known, large companies that were considered safe have left my portfolio and some have been replaced by more speculative stocks. 😜

Not all of the stocks included are long-term investments, as I have a few trades that have not yet been completed or that I have just entered into. These are among others: $PAH3 (-0.38%)
$3EML (-1%)
$GKP (+1.32%)
$MC (-1.11%)
$RKH (-1.59%)
$PYPL (+1.29%)
$HSY (-0.13%)

If all my trades were closed immediately, I would probably already be under 50 positions.

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Where I still have concerns:

The Magnificent Seven. I have them all except $META (-1.68%) and I wonder whether this is wise, as they are already heavily weighted in my ETFs. On the other hand, these very stocks have performed well. That's why I only recently invested in $AMZN (+1.82%) and am thinking about getting Meta. 🤯

I'm particularly torn when it comes to $TSLA (-2.65%) Tesla. I bought Tesla because of Elon, Musk and all his promising projects. But in hindsight, I'm increasingly of the opinion that Tesla shares only benefit the carmaker and that it's no longer that interesting because the competition is getting better, faster and cheaper, for example $1211 (-4.4%) . Meta, on the other hand, could remain very interesting for the next few years.

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More unpopular thoughts:

Maybe I got in too early at $ASML (-1.37%) too early, 738€. Didn't wait for the bottom to form or for a reversal signal. I will definitely be more cautious in the future, especially with stocks that have already had a long profit history and are therefore at risk. That large investors/institutional investors realize profits after price slumps and this then leads to even greater price slumps.

Waste management $WM (-0.18%) very popular (hype?), fundamentally quite solidly positioned, moat available (I believe it is a duopoly in the USA) and with increasing population and consumption the future prospects should also be given. But will Waste Management deliver anything extraordinary besides a good return and a rising dividend? I don't think so and the business is neither scalable nor high-margin. Therefore, this could be one of the next candidates to be shot down.

Unpopular trades part XX

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$PAH3 (-0.38%)

P/E RATIO 2.5

52w - h 52.28€ - t 37.46€

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I bought a few Porsche shares today.

However, this is only a short-term trade. By and large it looks like a bottoming out and I should be near the low. (Of course I could be wrong, but the downside potential is no longer very great)

I will hold the shares for a few weeks, 8 months at most and expect a return of 30% in the worst case and just over 100% in the ideal case. I will most likely not take the dividend, as I will have already exited by then.

I'm now a Porsche shareholder, but I only drive a Toyota Yaris myself. 🤪

Week in review 12.10.

All-time highs for S&P 500, Dow Jones, Air Products & Chemicals, American Express, Arista Networks, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, Caterpillar, CAVA, Fiserv, GE Vernova, Goldman Sachs, Mastercard, Morgan Stanley, Motorola Solutions, Piper Sandler, Royal Caribbean, Uber, Unum

52-week highs for Carnival, Commerzbank, GE Aerospace, Hilton Worldwide, MicroStrategy, Norwegian Cruise, Palantir, Ralph Lauren, Robinhood Markets, Sea Ltd. , Shake Shack, Tangier, Teledyne

Tesla Cybercab / Robotaxi planned from 2026 for under 30,000$. In addition, an autonomous bus with 20 seats was presented, share falls -8.1%, market is disappointed, -19% 1-year performance

Nvidia partner Hon Hai increases capacity to meet "crazy" AI demand, Nvidia shares +8.3% this week, +176% 1-year performance

AMD unveils MI325X AI accelerator to compete with Nvidia's H200, customers include Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Dell, Oracle, Meta, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Supermicro, Lenovo and Databricks, AMD launches EPYC 5th Gen Datacenter CPU to compete with Intel's Xeon, AMD currently has 34% market share in Datacenter CPUs, MI350 coming in 2025 to compete with Nvidia's Blackwell, AMD stock drops -4%, apparently sell the news event, +45% 1-year performance

92% of desktop processor sales at major German online retailer Mindfactory were from AMD last week, Intel only at 8% share and -36% 1-year performance

TSMC with good quarterly figures, share price rises slightly, +97% 1-year performance

JPMorgan with good quarterly figures, share +5.1%, +48% 1-year performance

Wells Fargo with good quarterly figures, share +6.5%, +49% 1-year performance

PepsiCo and Samsung with poor quarterly figures, shares fall slightly

Amazon Pharmacy announces same-day delivery of prescription drugs in 20 more US states and expands its service to almost half of the states in 2025, +43% % 1-year performance

Jefferies says Apple's hopes for an AI phone are overdone and high expectations are premature, Hold rating, +26% 1-year performance

The situation is similar at Microsoft after Oppenheimer downgraded its rating from "Outperform" to "Perform", it was the second such downgrade by analysts in recent weeks, AI sales are overestimated and shares have underperformed since July due to "AI fatigue", plus losses at OpenAI, +26% 1-year performance

Two Google scientists from the subsidiary DeepMind receive the Nobel Prize in Chemistry, they developed the AI model "AlphaFold2", which can be used to predict the structures of all 200 million known proteins, the AI is used in 190 countries, for example in the clarification of antibiotic resistance or the use of enzymes to break down plastics, Alphabet shareholders like this, +12% 1-year performance

Inperial Brands increases dividend, now pays out quarterly and buys back shares, share price rises 5%, +36% 1-year performance

FTX - customers will soon get their balances paid out after the crypto exchange went bankrupt in 2022 and the management was imprisoned

Shortseller Hindenburg Research with allegations of fraud and safety concerns for children at gaming service Roblox, share price falls -6%, even -70% since November 2021

After two very positive weeks, China stocks fall like a flash in the pan as the market expected more stimulus from the Chinese dictator. Dictator, Hang Seng with worst day since the 2008 financial crisis, this week

China strengthens real estate sector and signals more spending ahead, Finance Minister announces measures to support real estate sector today and government would now have more room to borrow and increase deficit, China also announces issuance of special government bonds today to bolster capitalization of its largest state-owned banks, Printer is coming

Fitch downgrades France's credit rating to negative due to higher deficits, government debt expected to rise to 118.5% of GDP by 2028

FTSE Russell: Greek equities on track for upgrade to developed markets, FTSE Russell to provide update as part of March 2025 review, Greek equity index up 53% since start of 2023

Porsche sells 7% fewer cars due to China slump by -29%, -5% North America but +7% Germany & Europe, -21% % 1-year performance

Deutsche Telekom increases dividend and launches share buyback program for € 2 bn, highest share price in 23 years, +33% 1-year performance

Commerzbank reaches highest share price since the euro crisis in 2011, +61% 1-year performance

Bayer with new lawsuit in the USA over PCBs, share price -7%, -41% 1-year performance

German industrial order intake fell unexpectedly sharply by 5.8% in August compared to the previous month

E.on CEO expects energy prices to rise in the long term thanks to higher taxes & levies and the world's stupidest energy policy

The Ampel expects the economy to shrink for the second year in a row, revising its GDP forecast for 2024 from +0.3% to -0.2%, only the second consecutive year of shrinking GDP since the fall of communism in 1990

After the pension insurance, the German long-term care insurance is also bankrupt, as recipients of citizens' benefits are not paying in and society is ageing, Lauterbach therefore wants to increase the monthly contribution for long-term care for all workers, so soon less net from gross again

" If you want to read a review like this every week, leave a like and subscribe.

$NVDA (-3.6%)
$AMD (-2.54%)
$TSLA (-2.65%)
$CBR
$INTC (+4.78%)
$2330
$JPM (-1.19%)
$WFC (-0.68%)
$PEP (-0.06%)
$AMZN (+1.82%)
$GOOGL (-1.89%)
$GOOGL (-1.89%)
$AAPL (-3.87%)
$MSFT (-4.8%)
$IMB (+0.56%)
$CNUA (+0.07%)
$941 (+0%)
$9988 (-0.9%)
$700 (-1.45%)
$1211 (-4.4%)
$P911 (-0.77%)
$PAH3 (-0.38%)
$DTE (-1.1%)
$BAYN (-0.78%)
$EOAN (-0.72%)
$PLTR (-2.46%)
$RBLX
$BLK

So, if you ask me, you can't go wrong with the price

Who knows what it's good for...

Today was another savings plan and reinvest your dividend day. There was still some left. I struggled with myself for a long time to just stubbornly push it into the $VWRL (-1.61%) ... but then I decided in favor of $PAH3 (-0.38%) decided in favor of It's been shaved off so much in the meantime, it needs to come back. At 55+ the share is sold again and then there's the $VWRL (-1.61%) . Until then, the dividend will flow into the $VWRL (-1.61%) .

Podcast episode 48 "Buy High. Sell Low."

Subscribe to the podcast to prevent EU asset registers!

00:00:00 We buy Porsche $P911 (-0.77%)
$PAH3 (-0.38%)

00:23:00 Tesla $TSLA (-2.65%)

00:43:00 Russel 2000 ETF $BIWM39
$ZPRR (-1.65%)

00:55:00 Crowdstrike $CRWD (-3.53%)

01:05:45 Alphabet $GOOGL (-1.89%)
$GOOG (-1.86%)

01:18:00 Dirt of the week: EU asset register

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/6240Xq4YMSem4y0YxoHAS7?si=azq_zFZ7Qhif2oyo2J9DdQ

YouTube

https://youtu.be/nsTbeapT9Xg

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/folge-48-wir-kaufen-porsche-tesla-alphabet-crowdstrike/id1695869891?i=1000663248324

#porsche
#alphabet
#russel2000
#etf
#etfs
#tesla
#elonmusk
#crowdstrike
#steuern
#steuer
#eu
#google
$GOOGL (-1.89%)
$GOOG (-1.86%)
$TSLA (-2.65%)
$P911 (-0.77%)
$PAH3 (-0.38%)
$BIWM39
$CRWD (-3.53%)

#lossporn
@DonkeyInvestor

My contribution to the challenge

1 exemplary example from my illustrious "investor career" is $PAH3 (-0.38%) 🤣 (minus in the picture)

Bought because I wanted something with Porsche

I could go on and on

Like, for example, a completely "tactless" loss of $TTK (-0.98%) -34% that really hurt back then. I thought it was only going uphill with everyone.

Drum roll 🥁 it wasn't like that 🤣

So be it. Loss offsetting pots are projects for a reason.

I believe that my portfolio is much better positioned today than it was back then, with stocks that you can buy in "weak phases" rather than sell at a loss.

But who knows what tomorrow will bring.

The last few days really only show me-> don't try to jump on every bandwagon and when in doubt-> $HMWO (-1.88%)

10.07.2024 +++ Tesla continues in the fast lane +++ VW and Porsche issue profit warnings +++ Burberry cuts jobs +++ Evotec and Pfizer join forces +++

VOLKSWAGEN (VW) $VOW (-2.47%) the full-year outlook. The operating margin is lowered to 6.5-7.0% from 7-7.5% (forecast was 7.1%).

Porsche Automobil Holding $PAH3 (-0.38%)Due to the equity investment in Volkswagen (31.9%), the Group result after tax is significantly influenced by the result after tax at Volkswagen. For the financial year 2024, Porsche Automobil Holding now expects Group profit after tax of EUR 3.5-5.5 billion (previously EUR 3.8-5.8 billion).

Tesla share $TSLA (-2.65%) +3.71% to $262.33 at the close of the US stock market. The share is still in the fast lane, having risen for the 10th day in a row the previous day. Since June 24, the stock has gained 43%.

The British luxury goods manufacturer Burberry $BRBY (+2.18%) is planning to cut up to 400 jobs, according to media reports. This is part of extensive cost-cutting measures with which the FTSE 100 company is reacting to falling profits.

EVOTEC $EVT (-2.38%) is entering into a cooperation with PFIZER $PFE (-0.61%) for R&D metabolic and infectious diseases.

Wednesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

ex-dividend of individual stocks

AT&T USD 0.28

Verizon Communications USD 0.67

Quarterly figures / company dates Europe

07:30 About You quarterly figures

10:00 BMW sales figures 2Q

11:00 Volkswagen sales 2Q

Economic data

• 08:00 DE: Construction prices for residential buildings May
• 10:00 DE: ECB Governing Council member Nagel, greeting at the VdB Bundesbank Trade Union Conference
• 16:00 DE: Governing Council member Nagel, panel discussion with economist Bofinger
• 16:30 AT: Governing Council member Holzmann, speech at energy policy event
• 16:30 US: EIA Crude Oil Inventories