Posts
161- 14 positive surprises
- Three negative surprises
- Dividend increases
- Dividend decreases
- Overview of all DAX stocks
Link:
$ALV (-0.53%)
$MUV2 (-0.66%)
$RHM (-2.99%)
$MBG (-1.05%)
$SAP (-0.89%)
$BMW (-1.77%)
$AIR (-1.35%)
$VOW (-2.06%)
$DBK (-2.86%)
$CBK (-4.3%)
$SIE (-2.43%)
$P911 (-1.65%)
$DTE (+2%)
$IFX (-3.65%)
Almost three-quarters of all DAX and MDAX companies pay out dividends in May.
Dividend calendar with payday and expected yield:
This year's dividend champion is likely to be $RTLL (-1.4%) - RTL Group. Shareholders can expect a yield of around 8%. However, this is only half as high as three years ago.
Deutsche Telekom is now increasingly seen as a dividend pearl. $DTE (+2%) - Deutsche Telekom is increasingly seen as a dividend pearl. This year's dividend is EUR 0.90, i.e. an increase of 17% on the previous year, with a yield of around 2.7%.
Other reliable payers are $SIE (-2.43%) - Siemens and $SAP (-0.89%) - SAP.
One of the most reliable payers of all is $MUV2 (-0.66%) - Munich Re. There has never been a dividend shortfall since 1960 and the amount paid per share has increased sixteen-fold since the beginning of the millennium.
There are also some attractive dividend payers in Europe, such as $ENI (-1.06%) - ENI and $ISP (-1.68%) - Intensa and $BNP (-1.54%) - BNP.
Source (excerpt) / graphics: WELT
Deutsche Telekom is one of my top investments because it plays an important role in the telecommunications sector. With a strong market position in Europe and expansion in the US through T-Mobile, there is a lot of growth potential here. I was particularly impressed by the continuous investment in network technologies such as 5G and fiber optics, which will enable future innovations and services. Stable cash flows and an attractive dividend policy make Deutsche Telekom a valuable part of my portfolio. $DTE (+2%)
Apart from the defense industry, which stocks do you think will benefit from the financial package?
My favorites:
I'm skeptical about the energy companies.
At 53 billion euros, the 40 DAX companies are likely to pay out almost one billion euros more this year than a year ago - more than ever before.
The reason for the strong development is high consolidated profits and unexpectedly rising dividends at a good dozen companies, including $ALV (-0.53%) Allianz, $MUV2 (-0.66%) Munich Re and $RHM (-2.99%) Rheinmetall.
At 109 billion euros net profit, the DAX companies are likely to have earned as much in 2024 as in the previous year, according to Handelsblatt calculations. Slump in earnings for the three car manufacturers $BMW (-1.77%) BMW, $MBG (-1.05%) Mercedes and $VOW (-2.06%) VW will be offset by companies in other sectors, in particular the major insurers Allianz, Munich Re and $HNR1 (-0.11%) Hannover Re, but also $DTE (+2%) Deutsche Telekom, $HEN (-0.82%) Henkel and $EOAN (+2.33%) Eon.
More than a dozen DAX companies have announced higher dividends than the market had previously expected. For example $ALV (-0.53%) 15.40 euros per share after 13.80 euros in the previous year. Analysts had forecast just under 15 euros. The insurer is thus distributing just under six billion euros. This is a record in the German corporate landscape.
The biggest jump is at $MUV2 (-0.66%) Munich Re: The reinsurer is increasing its dividend by five euros per share to 20 euros.
The two healthcare specialists $FRE (+0.16%) Fresenius and $FME (+0.82%) Fresenius Medical Care, the brand manufacturer $HEN (-0.82%) Henkel, the automotive supplier $BTR Continental, the $CBK (-4.3%) Commerzbank, $RHM (-2.99%) Rheinmetall and $HNR1 (-0.11%) Hannover Re have raised their dividends, in some cases significantly more than expected. This is also due to rising profits, which justify a higher profit share for shareholders.
The largest dividend payers in the DAX are
Like the car manufacturers, a number of companies in the DAX remain below the usual international payout ratios, including the family-run groups $BEI (+0.5%) Beiersdorf and $MRK (+0.91%) Merck. They pass on less than 30 percent of their profits. This leaves enough of a buffer so that dividends do not have to be reduced immediately in more difficult times.
Germany's most valuable group, $SAP (-0.89%) SAP, with a payout ratio of 85%, is pushing the limit: net profit of 3.1 billion euros in the past year compares with a total dividend payout of 2.7 billion euros. However, the profit was burdened by a one-off effect.
So far, a total of 20 companies have increased their dividends, with only $BAS (-1.12%) BASF and the three car manufacturers. Four companies have yet to do so: $RWE (+0.03%) RWE, $SY1 (+1.64%) Symrise and $VNA (+1.95%) Vonovia are likely to increase their dividends, while analysts expect $PAH3 (-3.13%) analysts expect a reduction at Porsche Holding.
Source (excerpt) & chart: Handelsblatt, 15.03.25
As every Sunday, the most important news from the past week, as well as the dates for the coming week.
Also as a video:
https://youtube.com/shorts/yU_UfNQy7OQ?feature=shared
Sunday:
Another crypto theft occurred, this time probably the biggest ever. 1.5 billion dollars were stolen from the crypto exchange Bybit. Although the blockchain is considered secure, access to the individual wallets in which the cryptos are stored is not. As a result, there was a 'bank run' on the exchange as investors lost confidence and withdrew their money.
Monday:
No tailwind for the new federal government in Germany, the ifo business climate index is stagnating. The economy therefore remains a major construction site and urgent action is needed.
Tuesday:
Fuel cell specialist$F3C (-4.94%) FC Energy is also forecasting double-digit growth for 2025. In 2024, the company achieved the upper end of the forecast for sales growth (+22.5%). Adjusted EBITDA grew to 22 million euros, exceeding the forecast.
Wednesday:
Deutsche Telekom $DTE (+2%) Deutsche Telekom is on a record course but falls short of the expectations of some analysts. Sales rose by 3.4 % to 115.77 billion euros, the dividend is to rise to 90 cents per share. The development of the US subsidiary remains decisive for Deutsche Telekom.
e.on $EOAN (+2.33%) is convincing in terms of figures, even if the results here were slightly below the previous year's figures. EBITDA is expected to increase by 6-9% in 2025. The CEO of e.on expects the new German government to finally implement an efficient energy transition instead of adhering to expansion targets at all costs. The dividend is to rise to 55 cents per share.
Thursday:
$SIX2 (-0.53%) Sixt, the car rental company, presents record sales figures. Turnover increased by 10.5% to 4 billion euros. The US business in particular is doing well. Profits fall slightly due to falling used car prices. The dividend is to rise to 2.70 per share. Sales growth of 5 - 10 % is also planned for the coming year.
Also $KGX (-3.19%) Kion is planning to increase its dividend from 0.70 to 0.82 euros per share. Turnover is expected to stagnate in 2025 and amount to 10.9 - 11.7 billion euros. In 2024 it was 11.5 billion euros.
GDP growth in the USA falls to a growth rate of 2.3% in the 4th quarter. However, this is in line with expectations. Germany is a long way from 2.3 % growth. The country is in the longest recession phase in post-war history.
Friday:
The world's largest insurance group posts a bottom-line profit of 10 billion euros, up 10% on the previous year. Allianz $ALV (-0.53%) Allianz once again exceeds analysts' expectations and the dividend rises to €15.40 per share. At the same time, Allianz has been cutting back on life insurance benefits for years.
Due to rising food prices, inflation in Germany remains at 2.3%. Next week there will be further inflation data from the EU, as well as a possible key interest rate cut by the ECB.
These are the most important dates for the coming week:
Monday: 11:00 Inflation data (EU)
Wednesday: 16:00 ISM data (USA)
Thursday: 14:15 Interest rate decision (EU)
Can you think of any other dates? Write it in the comments 👇
... almost. In it since 27.02.2023 - and satisfied so far. Apart from the portfolio tracking here (approx. +27%), I am very satisfied with the return on my invested capital (gross approx. +42%).
I have made a change to the ETFs. 70% of it in the $VWRL (-2.27%) and 30% now in the $XESX (-0.94%) shifted. As a result, the US share has fallen to around 55% and will remain below 60% in the long term.
There are still 5 individual positions in equities:
$PLTR (-5.48%) still by far the strongest weighting. Despite the (overdue) setback since last week. I am leaving the position as it is. In the long term, my opinion remains positive - AI model, self-sufficient data analysis and automation platform, countless conceivable use cases, strong growth in the commercial sector.
$ALV (-0.53%) The biggest surprise for me. Invested last June as a position to give the whole thing a bit more stability. My target was at least 5-10% return + dividend in one year. Since then, my position has returned over +20%.
$DTE (+2%) I added a little out of embarrassment, but this position also surprised me. I simply wanted to use the money released from the sale of $BA. (-3.49%) in December I simply wanted to "park" it until spring with a slightly higher return than overnight interest. Since December it has already gained around 15%.
$MSFT (-3.93%) Somehow a bit of a disappointment. In my portfolio since January 2024, currently +/- 0, although I remain convinced that the investments will bear fruit and the blue chip will make strong gains again in the long term. Since the second half of '24, the high AI investments, among other things, have been a drag here.
$8001 (-2.72%) The negative surprise has developed into my second Palantir. With Palantir, I exercised patience until the middle of last year and endured downs, supported by my personal assessment and conviction. I am currently going through the next big test of patience with the Japanese. After approx. 1.5 years in my portfolio, after +17% in between, my position is currently at +/- 0 (in the meantime even at -8). My conviction in Sogo Shosha and the outlook remain positive. It will go in the right direction again and then bigger jumps upwards beckon.
Deutsche Telekom $DTE (+2%) has published its profit forecast for 2025 and clearly missed analysts' expectations. The reason for this is the intense price wars in the European markets, which slowed growth last year. 📉
The company expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) to increase by around 4.5% to EUR 44.9 billion (USD 47.1 billion) this year. Analysts, however, had expected an Ebitdaal of 46.9 billion euros.
Deutsche Telekom, Europe's largest mobile communications provider, is heavily dependent on its share in the US operator T-Mobile US $TMUS (-2.22%) operator. While T-Mobile's financial figures have recently been positive, analysts expect slower growth in Germany and the rest of Europe, which will be impacted by tough competition and price wars.
On the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, Deutsche Telekom shares fell by 3.6% to 33.71 euros. Despite these declines, the shares have gained 53% in the last 12 months. In the fourth quarter, adjusted Ebitdaal in Germany rose by 2.8% to 2.66 billion euros, exceeding analysts' estimates of 2.65 billion euros.
NVIDIA to the rescue? Trump causes dip in growth + Novo Nordisk strong again + Home Depot disappoints with outlook + Eon beats 2024 market estimates + Deutsche Telekom with record dividend for 2024 + Supermicro shares rise after filing financial reports
Nvidia $NVDA (-2.82%)Numbers after hours today
Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-3.33%)strong - Semaglutid copycat under pressure
Home Depot $HD (-1.73%)disappointed with outlook
Eon $EOAN (+2.33%)exceeds market estimates and forecast for 2024 better than expected
Deutsche Telekom $DTE (+2%)wants to grow - record dividend for 2024
Supermicro shares $SMCI (-2.14%)rise after submission of financial reports
Wednesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures
08:00 DE: GfK consumer climate indicator February
08:00 DE: Real wages (preliminary) 4Q & year 2024
08:45 FR: Consumer Confidence February
09:00 DE: Economic Barometer of the DIW (German Institute for Economic Research) February
16:00 US: New home sales January
16:30 US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from the government Energy Information Administration (EIA) previous week
