2Wk·

MSCI Turkey

After the arrest of İmamoğlu and the sell-off in $TUR (-1.7%) in. In short, the thought was that the reaction was somewhat exaggerated, Turkey is a young country with a lot of potential, participation in the reconstruction in neighboring Syria, dissolution of the PKK and thus free money that previously flowed into the fight against terrorism.


Of course there is a political risk, but in my opinion a lot of this has already been priced in.


I would be interested in your opinion on this. Do you also have a country bet?

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15 Comments

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I go to the casino to bet/gamble and have a nice evening.
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Has made 20% since 2006 - even Olaf Scholz with his savings account laughs at that 😉
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@Zackdela79 or just over 70% since 2022 :)
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@jkbsmn92 You're absolutely right - especially with an ETF that I want to hold for the long term, the long-term view is more important to me. But maybe it really is an absolute future region...
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Have you only priced in the political risk, or have you also looked at the currency risk and inflation in Turkey? That is the real yield killer...
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@TomTurboInvest Inflation is falling again, I agree with you about the currency risk, but it should also subside with stabilization.
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@jkbsmn92 well, is falling again 😅
From the current 35% to a forecast 25% for 2026 and 20% for 2028
But if you have that on your screen, then that's ok anyway
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I have the $IQQ5 with a nice semi-annual dividend and add to it every time I can improve my share price. There are top companies in the ETF. To be honest, I'm not too worried about the future.
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greece or italy are more interesting in my opinion
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Theoretically yes, if inflation on the trk lira were not so high.
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The basic idea is understandable. Have you studied the historical valuation ratios for Turkey and compared them with current ones?
@Epi in detail, but I follow developments in Turkey and general reports on the economy there.
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@jkbsmn92 Homework, I would say. 😏
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When I look at the share price performance. No thanks!
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