12H·

The USA will attack Venezuela - my trade ideas

Everything points to the USA wanting regime change in Venezuela.


At the moment, however, they haven't gathered enough troops to carry out a land invasion and I don't think this is likely, I think the US will mainly rely on air strikes and small sabotage/special operations and use PMCs. Therefore I am still very bullish on $CACI (+0.09%) .


Venezuela also has oil reserves, some of which have been produced by $CVX (-0.65%) part of the reason why the US wants regime change is the issue of this oil and therefore I think it is potentially a good investment. $CVX (-0.65%) also potentially a good investment, as well as of course a position in $3LOI (+1.46%) .


But the idea that I find most interesting so far is that it's not really being discussed much in the markets yet, so there could be a big increase in volatility, so I think it's very interesting. $VIXL (-5.08%) also very interesting.


It is to be expected that major operations will only be carried out towards the end of November - December, due to the hurricane / typhoon season.

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5 Comments

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Fly over at the end of November, report from the spot :P
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@oskaroderso Hopefully you won't see any of it
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I got into a nicely leveraged derivative on WTI oil the day before yesterday with a term until 03/26, but that was more because I expected that after Mr. Putin's rejection of the ceasefire, DT would not be happy about it and would push ahead with sanctions in the oil sector again. And that's what happened. If Venezuela were to come along now, that would be a turbo for my turbo.
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Bullshit !!
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@Propheteus What does the crystal ball say? (See update)
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