2Wk·

SPACEX

The demand is going to be absolutely ridiculous.

People who have never bought a stock in their life will suddenly be opening brokerage accounts because they don’t want to miss the next big thing.

The stock will rip. Financial media will be talking about it nonstop. Social media will convince everyone it’s a guaranteed winner.

And that’s exactly when a lot of people are going to get smoked.

Not because $SPACEX (+0%) is a bad company.

Because IPO mania has a way of making people forget about valuation.

My prediction? Massive run-up in the first few days, followed by a painful reality check.

I wouldn’t be surprised at all if $SPACEX (+0%) is trading well below its IPO price just a few months later.

Bookmark it. 🚀🔥📉

4 Comments

Balance seeker@Balance_seeker

2Wk

I belive like in 2012 the Meta IPO was big flop, with prices dropping 50% in a couple of months. Then I will buy it.

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Jake Quinten@jaketradingcalls

1Wk

@Balance_seeker Exactly like the Meta IPO in 2012 massive hype, then dropped ~50% shortly after. Waiting for the post-IPO selloff and buying the dip is a smart plan.

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DieEnte7@DieEnte7

2Wk

Tbh, I am not even too sure that there will be that ridiculous demand in the first place that you predict. I can‘t envisage people who had nothing to do with stocks going crazy over that kind of company by Elon Musk, whose reputation has also quite suffered in the last few years. I could also see the painful reality check without a massive surge in the first days. But let‘s wait and see.

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Jake Quinten@jaketradingcalls

1Wk

@DieEnte7 Fair point. Elon’s reputation has taken hits, which could temper some retail hype. Still, I expect very strong institutional and high-net-worth demand at launch. SpaceX is seen as a crown jewel in space/AI/tech infrastructure.

We’ll see how it plays out, IPOs can be unpredictable

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