3D·

Will Banco Santander continue to rise?

The case of Banco Santander $SAN (+1.62%) deserves attention: +57% in the last year and +34% so far in 2025, surpassing even the "Magnificent Seven". With a P/E of 7, is it expensive or cheap?

What is fascinating is its resilience in the face of the expected rate cuts. Its strength seems to lie in several pillars:

  • A massive customer base with zero-cost deposits.
  • High commissions on various products
  • Pension plans and mutual funds with higher margins than the competition.
  • Efficient post-crisis restructuring (reduction of branches and staff).

And here comes the interesting part: despite high commissions and products that can be improved, they continue to attract customers. The neobanks, for now, have not managed to make a significant dent in their business model.

Historically, $SAN (+1.62%) 12 before 2008. Will we see those levels again? Is it an unstoppable profit machine or are there risks we are not contemplating?

What do you think? Is it worth it at these prices?

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2 Comments

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Good question :-)... I have them bought at an average of under 2 euros... with that I think I can answer. But who knows...
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A P/E ratio of 7x is an earnings yield of 14%, which, as SAN has had a relatively low payout due to its capital needs, has translated into a low dividend yield. It is true that the neobanks have made little dent in the traditional banks (the near 0% funding cost barrier is very powerful). But the banking business is very cyclical and also very sensitive. I do not know if it is expensive or cheap, but I have no doubt that it is an asset to be held in the long term due to the solidex of its business.
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