3Mon·

Grandpa and His Keen Sense of Smell

$INDI (+2.94%)


Hello, everyone,

It turns out our dear @Dividendenopi really had a good nose for this. And after the presentation, we immediately added the stock to the portfolio.


Indie Semiconductor – Q2 Earnings Summary

Financial Figures

  • Revenue: $64 million → +24% YoY → above expectations (consensus: $62.5 million)
  • EPS: –0.05 USD → exactly in line with estimates → loss improves significantly:
  • Previous year: –$14.5 million
  • Current: –$8.9 million


Operational Highlights

  • Strong 77-GHz radar momentum → OEM wins in North America, Europe, and China
  • New Tier 1 radar design win (Volvo)
  • Physical AI design wins → Unitree, Agibot
  • New vision processor design wins (iND880) → Leading OEMs in China
  • Record Quarter for Quantum Bookings → including customer-funded programs


Outlook (Q3 Guidance)

  • Revenue: $67–73 million → corresponds to approx. +30% YoY → Street estimate: $70.4 million
  • Revenue mix:
  • $40 million Core business
  • $30 million Wuxi Indie Micro

Market reaction

  • Stock in after-hours trading: +17.2% to $4.02 → 52-week range: $2.32–$6.05


Quick Summary

Indie delivers a strong quarter of growth, beats revenue estimates, significantly reduces losses, and shows massive operational traction in radar, vision, and physical AI. The Q3 guidance is robust, and the stock is reacting positively as a result.

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16 Comments

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@Dividendenopi Hey Grandpa, can I use your keen sense of smell sometime, too? 😂
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@Aktienhauptmeister But only if you don't tell @Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin 😜
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And the position is only marginally in the black in the project.😉 So it seems the little guy got carried away a bit too soon. The price jump has so far only been enough to make up for the negative price performance up to this point.😅
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin Yeah, yeah, my friend, just wait—the rally's really just getting started now. You're quite the cherry-picker 🙈😂 Or a party crasher.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin The project isn't designed for quick results. Indie rose to the top pretty quickly, but like many tech stocks, it took a hit, and we were set back quite a bit. The investment thesis is becoming increasingly clear, and the next few months will prove it. By the time they’ve doubled by the end of the year at the latest, I’ll rub it in your face 🤭😂😂😉😉
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@Dividendenopi You can do that, absolutely.😘 I just wanted to point out—amid all the widespread excitement about the title due to its recent jump up the rankings—that the title is currently only breaking even in the project and is definitely NOT in rally mode yet.😊
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@Tenbagger2024 Don't crash the party, my friend. I just don't want to give the less experienced members of this community the wrong impression or raise false expectations.😘
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin Yeah, okay, okay—I guess we'd better take a closer look at Leonhard Aschenbrenner.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin Yep, just like some others, unfortunately. They did what we expected, and then it all came crashing down—see B&W and a few others. The indie sector was speculative overall, and after sharp corrections, it’s all the more satisfying when expectations are met and exceeded. And, of course, it’s great that one more stock has moved out of the red.
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@Dividendenopi @Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin July was a tough month for the project and really pushed us to our limits. That's probably why we're feeling a little more euphoric now.
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@Tenbagger-Capital @Dividendenopi According to my information, the Q3 earnings will be released today after the U.S. market closes.
What do you guys think?
Expectations for the earnings seem to be pretty high.
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@ZwillingsDad @Dividendenopi Have you brought Marvin on board yet?
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@ZwillingsDad Eight analysts estimate earnings per share (EPS) to average -0.039 USD. This would represent a 79.47 percent increase in EPS compared to the previous year’s result, when the company reported -0.190 USD per share. Looking ahead to the fiscal year, 8 analysts on average expect a loss per share of -$0.174. In the previous year, a loss of -$0.730 per share was reported. On the revenue side, 8 analysts expect an average of $266.6 million, compared to $217.4 million reported in the previous year.
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@ZwillingsDad A very double-edged sword in the current situation. It was supposed to be a turnaround candidate in the project, but in the opposite direction 😂🤭, and the “sniffer” took a nosedive. From a technical analysis perspective, there’s not much more to say—all moving averages have been breached, and the downtrend remains confirmed, as seen from the current perspective, by the ever-lower highs and lows. Even the oversold RSI isn’t a signal for a trend reversal. Entering the market ahead of the earnings report would be highly speculative. Revenue is growing again, but debt and cash flow remain significant weaknesses. Today’s earnings report could completely change the situation—in either direction. If you want to take a gamble, buy and set a stop-loss (SL) on the downside, using only a portion of the money you might otherwise invest. If the earnings come in poorly and the price heads toward $1.45 or below, I’d hold off on adding to the position for now and avoid buying into a supposed dip. If the numbers are positive, then you’ve at least got a foot in the door, but here, too, the rule is: don’t rush to buy into a supposed rally right away; instead, wait to see if the $1.70 level can be sustainably broken and held, while also paying attention to volume—that is, whether high volume—not just on a single day —can confirm the breakout. But that’s just my rambling and not advice on any course of action 😇
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@Dividendenopi @Tenbagger-Capital Thanks for your input. And I know how to take your thoughts on this into account.
But they actually reinforce my current assessment of the company.
It remains a hot stock and highly speculative.
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@ZwillingsDad 01
indie Semiconductor has completed the final space qualification of its superluminescent LEDs (SLEDS).

The components from the photonics portfolio were selected for the Copernicus CHIME mission.

CHIME is designed to provide hyperspectral imagery for environmental applications.

This selection builds on Indie’s existing work on space programs. In my opinion, this is a long-term investment that requires patience.
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