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Palantir: The data giant on the hunt for the future

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Palantir Technologies ($PLTR (+2.22%) ) is one of the most exciting companies in the field of data analysis and artificial intelligence (AI). It polarizes

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like no other: some see the share as the next big tech miracle, others are skeptical as to whether the visions can ever lead to stable profits. Here I would like to give you a detailed insight into why Palantir is so often discussed and what opportunities and risks I see in the share.


The company: Data as the key to the future


Palantir Technologies was founded in 2003 and offers big data analytics platforms for governments, companies and organizations. The name comes from "Lord of the Rings" and refers to the "seeing stone" - fitting for a company that analyzes data streams to gain new insights.


Palantir operates in two main segments:

1.Government (government contracts): This segment currently accounts for the majority of sales. Customers include the US military, the CIA and other government agencies worldwide. Palantir is known for its proximity to government agencies.

2.Commercial (enterprise solutions): Palantir also provides private enterprise solutions to optimize business processes, manage risk and drive innovation.


The main platforms are:

-Palantir Gotham: Primarily for governments, especially in the area of intelligence and defense.

-Palantir Foundry: For companies to use data more efficiently and make decisions.

-Apollo: A software deployment and maintenance platform.


Why Palantir is so exciting


1. booming data market


We live in a world in which data is the most important resource. Companies and governments are looking for solutions to derive concrete instructions for action from the mass of information. Palantir is a pioneer in this pioneerthat not only analyzes data, but also transforms it into real added value.


2. strong government relations


Palantir has secured a firm place in the government sector over the years. Large government contracts, particularly from the USA, provide a stable revenue base. This provides the company with a degree of security in uncertain times, as governments prefer reliable partners.


3. growth in the commercial sector


Even though the focus has so far been strongly on government customers, the commercial sector is showing impressive growth. In 2024, commercial revenue accounted for almost 40% of total revenue clear proof that Palantir is also increasingly being used by companies. Customers such as Airbus, Merck and Ferrari show that Palantir is gaining a foothold in the commercial sector.


4 AI and innovation


Palantir is positioning itself as a key player in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). With the integration of AI-supported analyses and the ability to embed machine learning in decision-making processes, Palantir has an innovative edge over many of its competitors.


Why Palantir could be interesting in the long term


Growth prospects


The demand for data-based solutions will continue to grow in the coming years. Companies and governments are increasingly investing in technologies that optimize decision-making processes. Palantir is in an excellent position to benefit from this trend.


Long-term customer loyalty


Palantir develops customized solutions for its customers. These are so deeply integrated into their processes that changing providers is often costly and time-consuming. These "lock-in effects" lead to long-term partnerships - a major advantage for Palantir.


Scaling in the commercial sector


The biggest growth lever for Palantir is the commercial sector. While the public sector remains stable, increasing acceptance in the private sector could make the company more profitable in the long term.


High innovative strength


Palantir invests heavily in research and development. With new functions and platforms, the company is becoming increasingly relevant for sectors such as healthcare, energy, logistics and financial services.


Risks that should not be ignored


Despite the promising future, there are also risks associated with Palantir that should be kept in mind:

1.High dependence on government customers: The majority of revenue still comes from government contracts. Should these be reduced or terminated, this could have a significant negative impact on revenue.

2.Profitability: Although Palantir is growing, the company has only recently become profitable (by GAAP standards). Whether this profitability is sustainable remains to be seen.

3.Strong competition: The data analytics market is competitive. Companies such as Snowflake, Databricks and even Google offer similar solutions and could take market share away from Palantir.

4.Valuation: Palantir's shares are trading at a high price-to-sales ratio. This high valuation assumes that the company continues to grow strongly - a potential risk factor in weaker quarters.


The share: price performance and outlook


In recent years, the Palantir share has been on a rollercoaster ride rollercoaster ride. After a brilliant stock market debut at the end of 2020, the share price initially rose rapidly before undergoing a significant correction in 2022 and 2023.


The share price currently appears to be stabilizing, mainly thanks to the positive development in the commercial sector and the growing importance of AI solutions. However, analysts are divided: some see enormous potential, while others warn of the high valuation and dependence on government contracts.


Conclusion: an exciting investment with risks


The Palantir share offers an interesting opportunity to participate in the growth of the data market and progress in the field of AI. The company has a strong position in a promising market and is showing initial success in diversifying its business model.


However, the risks - particularly the high valuation and dependence on the state sector - should not be underestimated. However, for long-term investors who want to bet on the future of data analysis and AI, Palantir could be an exciting addition to the portfolio.


What do you think of Palantir shares? Do you already hold it or is it on your watchlist? Where do you see Palantir in the next few years?


Greetings, Don

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9 Comments

I also find them exciting. But I wouldn't invest a one-off sum at the current valuation level. But I believe that a share savings plan could make sense.
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@Multibagger me too, I got out too early because the valuation was too high and the stock performed too well. I would think about it in the event of a proper setback. Apart from that, my wife is still invested and has taken the whole upswing with her ☺️
@BamBamInvest At what price would you consider starting again? I'm also thinking about it. I would be more interested in the whole thing from 59$.
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@fund_commander123 I can't say, I would only look at it again when things start to go wrong, in my opinion it is currently valued far too highly, regardless of the potential. The risk/reward ratio does not fit here at the moment, there are more attractive investments in my opinion.
@fund_commander123 I would not base it on a fixed share price, but on the expected P/E ratio. I would wait for the next figures. I think more than 50-60 as a P/E ratio for 26 is too much.
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@Multibagger right, especially a disappointment or bad prospects could cause the pull back you want for an entry ✌️
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I am absolutely convinced that the share still has brutal growth potential - I got in at 13$ and am holding for the long term, so I don't care about corrections.
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@SuperMarioEmpire then I would also stay invested. However, the initial question was about whether one should enter at the current level or at a different level with a sum of money.
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