1D·

Overallocated in Shit

LoneMelone · 2025-02-21T11:04:04.753224Z

Can you survive a 70% drawdown in $NVDA $PLTR $MSFT ? or 40% on the S&P?

Can you survive a 70% drawdown in $NVDA (-3.63%)
$PLTR (-3.33%)
$MSFT (-1.57%) ?

or 40% on the S&P?

14 Comments

Fblthp@TotallyLost

I even survive a 50% drawdown at $ACWI 💪😎🫱

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Play R.@Playrio

@TotallyLost That's exactly how it looks aus💪🏻👍🏻

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Jens@flush_hatch

Is this just a general question, or do you actually think Nvidia could lose 70% of its market value?

In short, if you can't "survive" a 40% drop in the S&P, you probably shouldn't be investing. Knowing that markets go up and down, removing the emotion from investing, ensuring you have debts paid off and have savings before investing, will ensure you can survive anything markets throw at you.

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Bob@NoBobble

So 70% at Palantir would already be very noticeable. That would be 20% of the portfolio. But 1) on the way to -70% I would already shed some of it, still with a good profit. 2) the extremely good share price performance has given the position its high weighting. I am therefore also looking at my investment. And there Palantir has a share of 10.8% (vs. 31.1% of the portfolio).

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LoneMelone@TradingMelone

@NoBobble How often have you actively reduced your positions one by one?

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Charmin@Charmin

Will I "survive" a 70 percent DD at NVIDIA? Sure. But my behavior would depend on the circumstances. If it's simply a panic and everyone is selling like frightened chickens with no rhyme or reason, I'm not bothered. Then I would buy more.

But if something has fundamentally changed, then of course I would readjust (but not just at -70%). For a company to "justifiably" fall by 70% - well, there must be *something* wrong with it. I don't see that at all with NVIDIA at the moment.

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LoneMelone@TradingMelone

@Charmin Amazon lost 90% value after the internet became the new market.

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Charmin@Charmin

@TradingMelone Yes, fundamentally nothing had changed. Amazon was doing fantastically well. Whoever sold obviously hadn't analyzed it properly.

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user35903002213@user35903002213

Got $AAPL +47%, $GOOG +36%, $TSLA +121%. Do your drawdown as far as you want, I'll just sit out until you all come sneaking back 😂

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Yoshika@Yoshika

21H

You know... It’s about risk management.
If you’re overexposed to single stocks, you’re not investing… you’re playing roulette. If your name is only Tesla, Palantir, Hims, D-wave.. sure, the house might let you win for a while… until it doesn’t. And if that pump comes without a parachute ...gravity still works.

A stepwise stop-loss strategy when things go full FOMO and stocks are turbo-overcooked, smart position sizing (1-2% per stock), and some diversification across multiple strong trends mean I don’t wake up sweating over one ticker. If Nvidia crashes 70%, my portfolio would’t even blink. Because I don’t do all-in bets.

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Yoshika@Yoshika

21H

@Yoshika Except, maybe on Palantir.. but that’s between me and my bad decisions...🤗

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Yoshika@Yoshika

20H

@Yoshika The S&P 500 dropping 40% would suck, but my plan isn’t built on sunshine. It’d be just another market cycle.

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Maverick4831@Maverick4831

20H

Savings plans continue as usual and that's that. Don't invest any money that you might "need". simple as that😁

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Christian@MrP0815

I think China has a lot of control over how things go. Alongside Trump's protectionism, Taiwan will become a huge issue for the entire tech segment in the future 😉📉⤵️

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