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BAE SYSTEMS Raises Forecast

Here's the hot stuff from BAE Systems $BA. (+2.01%)
(LSE: BA. / OTC: BAESY) H1 2026 Earnings, just released by the British defense giant:


🚀 Record Order Backlog & Volume Boost

BAE Systems continues to benefit massively from the global rearmament supercycle. The first half of 2026 impressively demonstrates just how full the order books in the defense sector really are:


Revenue Growth: Consolidated revenue climbed by +9.0% to 15.80 billion GBP (exceeding analysts’ expectations of GBP 15.71 billion).


Order Intake: Soared by a massive +24.2% to GBP 16.40 billion .


Order backlog at a new all-time high: The order backlog now stands at a staggering 84.0 billion GBP (up from GBP 83.6 billion at the end of FY25). The business is absolutely crisis-proof for years to come.


🔮 Margin Stability & Cash Flow Strength

Despite global disruptions in supply chains, the operational scaling and integration of the space division (Ball Aerospace) are having an extremely positive impact:


Operating profit (Underlying EBIT): Grew in tandem by +11.0% to GBP 1.70 billion (margin stable at ~10.8%).


Strong segment drivers: In particular, the Electronic Systems (EBIT: 600 million GBP) and Air (EBIT: GBP 580 million) significantly outperformed consensus estimates.


Cash Flow Machine: Operating cash flow is running at full speed, bringing the cumulative free cash flow target for the 2024–2026 period to > GBP 6.7 billion .


🤖 Guidance Upgrade

Thanks to flawless operational execution, management led by CEO Charles Woodburn is raising the bar for full-year 2026:


Revenue growth: New +8% to +10% (previously: +7% to +9%).


Underlying EBIT: New +10% to +12% (previously: +9% to +11%).


Underlying EPS: New +11% to +13% (previously: +9% to +11%).


Free cash flow: New > 2.0 billion GBP for FY26 (previously: > GBP 1.3 billion).


⚡ 💡 Jack’s Conclusion

BAE Systems remains an absolute defense powerhouse! An order backlog of 84 billion pounds is simply a license to print money. The integration of Ball Aerospace is going full steam ahead, margins are robust, and the guidance upgrade shows that the bulls continue to call the shots here.

The only downside: Quality comes at a price. After its massive rally, the stock is fundamentally in fantastic shape, but it’s no longer a bargain in terms of valuation. For quality investors, BAE Systems remains the absolute benchmark stock in Europe! 🛡️✈️

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