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I think your portfolio is great! Uncorrelated asset classes and strategies in a number and weighting that seems to make sense. You've really learned a lot here on Getquin. 👍

One question: What is the principle of your weighting? Max Sharpe ratio? Max Min Drawdown? Inverse vola? This is where strategy could possibly come in.
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That is perhaps the only "problem" I have with my portfolio. The weighting is based more on intuition than on fixed principles.
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@Psychedelic_Sunflower And? Do you want to go there? You have largely freed yourself from intuition when it comes to asset classes.
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How would you go about it? The first question is, of course, what I want. The answer here is: the highest possible return from the existing strategy and asset mix in 15 years. A certain amount of volatility is acceptable with a corresponding return, but in 6 years €30,000 should ideally be liquidated with a worthwhile profit. Preferably gold or Bitcoin, as they are tax-free.
What key figures would you pay attention to here?
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@Epi Once again, the need for an article on how best to weight individual strategies and assets is evident here o.o
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@Psychedelic_Sunflower Basically, with the "maximum return" target, you naturally hold 100% of the asset from which you expect the highest return. However, there are risks, and the return can be seen as a risk premium: BTC can go to 0, gold can be banned, momentum effect can disappear, global economy can plunge into a decade-long crisis. So you try to find the optimum balance between risk and return for the allocation of asset classes. This can be found using Markowitz Optimization: minimum variance or Max Sharpe Ratio. The latter is more likely to be an option for you: the best risk/return ratio. Google that. I'll try to explain the whole thing in the next 3xGTAA update.
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@Epi just. As I am not clairvoyant, I spread the risk. If I go purely by the Sharpe ratio, I would have to go 100% into 3xGTAA (if the figure of 1.4 on Wikifolio is correct) ACWI, gold and Bitcoin are all below 1 in the long term
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@Psychedelic_Sunflower Almost 😉
By mixing asset classes, the expected return decreases, but the SR increases. There is an optimum.
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Are there any practical tools to calculate this? I couldn't let the calculation go back very far because of BTC and your certificateđŸ€”
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