4Mon·

Wikifolio Trading update ?

@Epi one question: can I set a notification for your wikifolio(s) when a trade has been made by the trader? I can't do that, not with GTAA and not with the others. Folios are in the watchlist and/or also invested. Any idea? Thanks :)

38 Comments

Epi@Epi

4Mon

Hmm, I don't know anything about such a function. But according to the rules, the trades always take place at the turn of the month. This means that the trades should be visible on the 1st or 2nd of the month.
Otherwise, I always write a comment after a reallocation. Perhaps a message can be set there?

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

4Mon

All right. Thank you. Everything is fine in the GTAA - it's easy to follow. But with some other wikis, so if you want to rebuild them - and some have good experience - then a push notification on trade action would be nice. I'll look again.

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Epi@Epi

4Mon

@VillaSpilla I suspect you won't find anything there. The guys at Wikifolio make their living from you buying Wikifolios and not from you recreating them yourself. 😅

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

4Mon

...rebuilding was also a bit too much of a good thing, there would just be some good hints for the market perceptions and interpretations of the big traders... but you're right, that's the reason . But at least now I've found a middle way: you can click on the things you want to see in your feed for each wikifolio. That's already very good.

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

2Mon

@Epi.... But the GTAA is not yet really in "vibration" .... There's still some way to go in 2025 ☺️

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Epi@Epi

2Mon

@VillaSpilla You're right, of course!
At the same time, it's nothing special. The backtests show some phases of stagnating performance. If no asset class is performing well, 3xGTAA can't run either. But the fact that the model always rises super strongly is not so important. The concept of Dual Momentum is that in stagnating phases, the allocation is kept in wait-and-see mode, so to speak. If the market then rises, you are definitely in. But if the market crashes, you are quickly out.
As long as the leverage model fluctuates around the zero line while the various asset classes do the same, everything is fine. 👍

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

2Mon

@Epi absolutely! this is exactly THE reason for my GTAA confidence: leveraged use of bulls with controlled avoidance of bears!

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Epi@Epi

2Mon

@VillaSpilla Yes, it is extremely important in the long term to understand how 3xGTAA works. This avoids false expectations, disappointments and emotional actions - it's the only way to achieve success.

You can play a little game: Take the model and try to put yourself in the shoes of what has happened since, say, 2018. How would you have felt in 03/2020 when the world almost died from the virus? How would you have felt during the subsequent cryptoboom, etc.? Then the current phase is quickly put into perspective. 😅

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

2Mon

Röchtiiiich !!! 😇 And in addition, one must not forget that GTAA "only" offers a (controlled) booster function - other parts of the portfolio participate in the different market phases depending on the investment focus - currently, for example, the 2xSpyTips, which I have privately modified to 2QQTips, is doing great.

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Epi@Epi

2Mon

@VillaSpilla This is what it looks like. It's all about the right strategy mix if you want continuous returns - which is what I enjoy the most: +1.5% every month - very relaxed. My overall portfolio has a YTD performance of just under 15% (mainly due to gold). That's why I'm pretty relaxed about the limping 3xGTAA. 👍

But tell me: what is your 2QQTips? 😲

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

2Mon

@Epi 15% is great. I -realistically- can't manage that (over the last few years). If "greed eats brains" wins just once or you're not right (that's why I'm moving more and more away from the single share approach and more towards ETF strategies and BC/Gold B&H), then the year is over (sure, if you're right, then great).
"LQQTips" (sorry, one L was missing) is my private (non backtested) extension of your SpyTips approach. Instead of your 2xS&P500 I use the 2xLQQ (Nasd 100)

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View all 22 further answers

VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

1Mon

@Epi Your triple GTAA is really cashing in on this epic bull market 😊👏🏻👍🏻

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Epi@Epi

1Mon

@VillaSpilla Yes, I didn't expect that myself and, to be honest, it's a bit scary. Strong climbs are often followed by strong drops. 😨

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

1Mon

@Epi That's exactly my biggest fear. 💯 % ! And this is where diversification normally comes into play, but GOLD can no longer hold its own - it will then also plummet. BC could take on this task - but who knows. Really absolutely difficult at the moment, even if things are actually going mega positively - aka "Today we are on the precipice, tomorrow we will be one step further"

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Epi@Epi

1Mon

@VillaSpilla I am somewhat hopeful that gold will consolidate its rise at some point and simply move sideways for a long time >6 months so that other asset classes can catch up and take over before gold then plummets. Wishful thinking for GTAA.

At the moment, QQQ and BTC are serving more as defensive diversifiers for gold.
My son has some gold and BTC - I told him that he should add BTC to reduce risk. That sounded kind of strange... 😅

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VillaSpilla@VillaSpilla

1Mon

@Epi hahahaha.... YES, it's absolutely true. Just 1-2 years ago I would have wanted to close the jacket at the back with this recommendation 😅

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