3Dยท

PayPal Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:

$PYPL (+2.72%)


๐Ÿ”น Adj. EPS: $1.33 (Est. $1.16) ๐ŸŸข; UP +23% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Revenue: $7.79B (Est. $7.85B) ๐Ÿ”ด; UP +1% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Total Payment Volume: $417.21B (Est. $417.95B) ๐Ÿ”ด; UP +3% YoY


Outlook:

๐Ÿ”น Q2 Adj. EPS: $1.29โ€“$1.31 (Est. $1.22) ๐ŸŸข

๐Ÿ”น FY25 Adj. EPS: $4.95โ€“$5.10 (Est. $4.95โ€“$5.10) ๐ŸŸก

๐Ÿ”ธ Guidance unchanged due to macro uncertainty


Q1 Key Metrics:

๐Ÿ”น Active Accounts: 436M (Est. 435.64M) ๐ŸŸข; UP +2% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Payment Transactions: 6.0B; DOWN -7% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Payment Transactions ex-PSP: UP +6% YoY

๐Ÿ”น TPA (Trailing-12M): 59.4 (DOWN -1% YoY); ex-PSP: UP +4%

๐Ÿ”น Transaction Margin $: $3.72B (Est. ~$3.30B) ๐ŸŸข; UP +7% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Transaction Margin ex-Interest on Customer Balances: $3.42B ๐ŸŸข; UP +7% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Non-GAAP Operating Income: $1.62B (Est. ~$1.50B) ๐ŸŸข; UP +16% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 20.7% (Est. 19.2%) ๐ŸŸข; UP +257bps YoY


Cash Flow and Liquidity:

๐Ÿ”น Free Cash Flow: $964M; DOWN -45%

๐Ÿ”น Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.38B; DOWN -26%

๐Ÿ”น Operating Cash Flow: $1.16B

๐Ÿ”น Cash & Investments: $15.8B

๐Ÿ”น Debt: $12.6B

๐Ÿ”น Share Repurchase: 19M shares ($1.5B returned in Q1); $6B returned over trailing 12 months


Additional Metrics:

๐Ÿ”น GAAP EPS: $1.29 (Est. N/A); UP +56% YoY

๐Ÿ”น GAAP Operating Margin: 19.6% (vs. 15.2% YoY)

๐Ÿ”น FX-Neutral (FXN) Revenue Growth: +2%

๐Ÿ”น Take Rate (Implied): ~1.87% ๐ŸŸข (Est. 1.85%)

๐Ÿ”น Transaction Margin Rate: ~47.7% ๐ŸŸข (Est. 46.1%)


CEO Alex Chriss Commentary:

๐Ÿ”ธ โ€œPayPal had a great start to the year and our strategy is working.โ€

๐Ÿ”ธ โ€œThis is our fifth straight quarter of profitable growth across branded checkout, PSP, omnichannel, and Venmo.โ€

๐Ÿ”ธ โ€œWe are transforming into the leading commerce platform connecting consumers and merchants globally.โ€

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4 Comments

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Once opened a position. Apart from payment processing, I see great potential in the development of the ads platform
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As always with Paypal payments quite solid performance not. Will now be sold soon
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I have not yet completed the analysis, but will probably keep it in the etf, but not save any more
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HAHA, how easily every company is using the magic words "macroeconomic uncertainty". I just saw this at $V and $EXLS
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