3D·

Rumors Novo Nordisk - Patent not paid

$NVO (-1.46%)
$NOVO B (-1.62%)


I have found the following:


Yesterday rumors surfaced that $NOVO B (-1.62%) had not paid the maintenance fee for its semaglutide patent in Canada, causing the patent to expire prematurely. This could pave the way for generic competition in Canada as early as 2026, years before the patent expires in other countries.


The article that first reported this was published six days ago. So far, no market reaction. Novo has not commented. It remains unconfirmed.


At first glance, it seems unlikely that Novo simply "forgot" to pay, but some have suggested that it may have been a deliberate strategy related to Canada's unique pricing rules.


In Canada, patented drugs are under the jurisdiction of the PMPRB, a pricing authority that limits the prices of patented drugs. However, if a drug is not patented, the PMPRB loses jurisdiction. So no patent means no price control (until generics come on the market).


When the patent expired, the PMPRB proposed stricter price regulations that could have led to a significant price reduction for drugs like Ozempic.


Novo may have compromised:


- Lose patent protection sooner

- In the meantime, avoid PMPRB price controls

- Maximize pricing while still enjoying de facto exclusivity (until generics come to market).


Interestingly, other Canadian patent applications for Ozempic have also been withdrawn, suggesting that this may not have been a one-off mistake but a deliberate IP strategy.


In a nutshell:

It may not be a case of incompetence/a mistake , but a choice between longer exclusivity under price caps and shorter exclusivity with freer pricing.


However, these are unconfirmed rumors and not official statements.


Here is also a report on this:


https://www.labiotech.eu/in-depth/novo-nordisk-semaglutide-patent-expiration-canada/


https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK602920/table/t03/


Let's see how it goes on ✌️

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28 Comments

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You deliver faster than DHL allows 😂✌️
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@Aktienhauptmeister I'll try 😁, you have time at lunch, especially since I would be interested in getting in myself if panic arises again 🤣
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@BamBamInvest A little Europe for your portfolio can't hurt 😬 and with $NOVO B definitely not the worst choice my dear 😁
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@Aktienhauptmeister yes, that's why I'm looking for what I could record 😂
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Maybe I'll find a way in now after all 😂💪
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@Bubu_98 Let's take a look 😁
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@Bubu_98 Fine, I'm looking for an exit from the chip shop
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Thanks for the contribution
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@trump try to find out for yourself whether this is true for a possible investment and what the impact would be. Maybe there will be a downward exaggeration, then you have to be able to react. 😁
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@BamBamInvest for me it still sounds too absurd to be true 😂
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@trump I can't imagine that either, as it would involve a lot of money
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@BamBamInvest and they have to deliver now
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@trump Let's see what happens, but basically I'm not worried about $NOVO B because of the diabetes issue either
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@BamBamInvest When are you getting in?
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@trump I'm doing this on instinct, I'm still missing another panic sell-off. I'm also not sure yet whether I'll get in , I'll have to look at it again , I don't think $NOVO B will run away quickly. If the sentiment turns and we get more vola, I don't know how resistant $NOVO B is to it at the moment. I'm already big in $UNH anyway, so I prefer the risk/reward potential at the moment
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@BamBamInvest yes i check, i won't be making any additional purchases for the time being either
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@BamBamInvest if I understand correctly: only for the Canadian market. Just 40 million people live there, and how many of them are overweight diabetics? In quantitative terms, this is less significant than if four German federal states had price reductions
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@Gomerdoc But it's the second highest-selling market for $NOVO B, I wouldn't say it's that insignificant 😁 or do you see it differently?
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Let's see how this develops. Thanks for your contribution
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@maselio I'd love to, yes I'm excited too 😊
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Thank you 🫡
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thanks for the info ;)
Thank you! Is there a source for the rumors?
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@AnyoneForTennis This is also consistent with a footnote in the 2024 annual report, according to which the patent expires in 2026. Probably a strategic move to circumvent the price controls discussed at the time.
Unfortunately, I can't post the excerpt here, but you can find it in the annual report.

But here is also a report:

https://www.labiotech.eu/in-depth/novo-nordisk-semaglutide-patent-expiration-canada/

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK602920/table/t03/
Thank you very much! That's very interesting, I also think it's extremely unrealistic to miss out.
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Wasn't there an ovulation from Novo or was it rumored that the extension would have cost them more than the new drug? 🤔
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