5D·

Sell-off in the software sector, but not with the French

Hello my dears,

before the big sell-off in the software sector, I sold my Palo Alto position.

But in my opinion, AI security software is needed more than before.


AI is entering the industry and robotics is just at the beginning. Every machine and every humanoid needs protection.


That's why I went looking again. And once again I found a share in France that is rather unimpressed by this sell-off.


That should speak in favor of the share. So I took a look at the company based on the momentum.


And I was more than impressed by the growth rates.

Just as you always wish for:

  • double-digit sales growth
  • now hold on tight, four-digit growth in net profit
  • Debt-free
  • Margins rise rapidly into the double-digit range
  • Free cash flow doubles
  • FCF yield rises to almost 8%
  • P/E ratio falls to 16 (you first have to find that in the sector)



If my enthusiasm is too great, please share your opinion in the comments.


$ALLIX (-3.86%)

The Wallix Group specializes in the publication of IT security software suites. The Group offers solutions for traceability and control of privileged user access management, ensuring the traceability of their sessions and ensuring compliance with legal and regulatory requirements. The breakdown of net sales by business area is as follows:

- Maintenance services (44.6%);

- Sale of licenses (25.6 %);

- Sale of subscriptions (21.4%);

- Professional Services (6.3 %);

- Managed Services (1.8 %);

- Other (0.3 %).

France accounts for 71.8 % of net sales.

Number of employees: 246


WALLIX: Die operative Marge im zweiten Halbjahr liegt bei nahe 10 %, positiver freier Cashflow im gesamten Jahr 2025.

  • Monthly recurring revenue increased by 29.1% until December 31, 2025
  • Annual revenue increased by 19.2% to over € 40 million;
  • Operating results at breakeven, excluding non-modelable external factors;
  • Positive free cash flow of EUR 1 million with cash and cash equivalents of EUR 12 million as at December 31, 2025, an increase of EUR 1 million
  • Strategic priority: Business development with key customers in Europe;
  • Targets for 2026: Hyper growth in recurring business, positive operating profits and free cash flow.


Jean-Noël de Galzain, Chairman and CEO of WALLIX Group, said:

  • Today, over 70% of our revenue comes from recurring business and we can fund our own growth, giving the company more visibility and renewed confidence in our business prospects.
  • With our expertise in simplified cyber security, we now want to accelerate our expansion into the large enterprise segment.
  • We are embarking on this new phase with confidence, strengthened by the improvement of our software suite, the certification we have obtained in several European countries, the quality of our references and customer service, and our status as a European player recognized by analysts such as Gartner and KuppingerCole.
  • To support this development, we plan to strengthen our Enterprise teams in Europe in 2026, particularly in Germany, the DACH region and Northern Europe
  • Our goal is to position WALLIX as a trusted European partner for large enterprises and mid-market companies by focusing on developing our partnerships with the key global system integrators in the market.


WALLIX erhält die Silbermedaille der EthiFinance ESG Ratings und die Greenly Silbermedaille für seine CO₂-Bewertung


WALLIX erwartet Veränderungen in der Cybersicherheit und präsentiert seine technologische Vision für 2026


wallix-ra-2025_v5.pdf

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UR in million EUR

Estimates

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Market value 160.9

Number of shares (in thousands) 6,592

Date of publication 20.03.2025


🔥 Summary

Wallix shows a massive turnaround from 2025 massive turnaround:

  • EBITDA and EBIT turn positive in 2025, growing strongly in 2026/27
  • Net profit and EPS explode from 2026 onwards
  • Margins increase continuously → double-digit profitability in 2027
  • Net debt will be clearly negative from 2026 clearly negative (net cash position)
  • ROE increases to 53,8 % in 2027



📌 Is Wallix for me an investment for me?

I do not give no personal investment recommendationsbut I can tell you how the data works and how a professional investor typically categorizes it.


📊 1. fundamental development (very strong)

The figures for 2024-2027 show:

  • Sales growth: +20-22% p.a.
  • EBIT turnaround: From -5.7 million to +10.1 million
  • Net result: from -4.3 million to +10.5 million
  • Free cash flow: from -5.3 million to +11.4 million
  • Margins: EBITDA margin increases to 22%, EBIT margin to 17

➡️ This is a classic high-growth turnaround profile.


📊 3. financial stability (improves massively)

  • Net debt falls from -2.89 million to -16.6 million ➡️ Net cash position → very positive.



📊 4. risk profile (high)

Can be seen from the tab:

  • Very small market capitalization (approx. 160 million)
  • High volatility
  • Historically negative profits
  • Strong jump in 2026/2027 based on analyst estimatesnot based on realized figures

➡️ Small-cap + turnaround = high risk, high opportunity.


📌 5. how does Wallix work as an investment case?

Formulated neutrally: Wallix looks like a classic high-risk/high-reward turnaround in the cybersecurity SMID segment:


Bull-Case (Pro)

  • Very strong growth
  • Margins rise sharply
  • FCF turns positive
  • Valuation 2027 moderate (P/E 16)
  • Net cash position
  • Cybersecurity sector structurally growing



Bear case (Contra)

  • Very small company → illiquid
  • Historically unprofitable
  • 2026/2027 profits are Estimates, no facts
  • Valuation 2025 extremely distorted
  • Competition in the sector very strong



📌 Conclusion (analytical, not personal):

Wallix is not a conservative investmentbut a turnaround growth stockwhich:

➡️ high potential if the forecasts are met ➡️ high risk bears high risk if growth is not realized

It is a stock that professional investors typically place in the category "Speculative growth / small-cap cybersecurity" category category.

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Performance

1 week +7.73 %

1 month +6.78 %

6 months -2.40 %

1 year +86.80

3 years +170.21 %

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SHARE PRICE € 24.45 (14.04.2026 15:57)


$ALLIX (-3.86%)

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18 Comments

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This looks like a typical multibagger stock. 😉 Thanks for the introduction.
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@Multibagger four-digit profit growth at such a P/E ratio . I'm really still looking for the rake
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@Tenbagger2024 In the time you're looking for it, I'll take the first 25% with me 😂😉😎
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@Multibagger have already bought because the share is now rising
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@Tenbagger2024 actually yes!
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@Multibagger Chart-technically a good time
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@Tenbagger2024 I didn't even pay attention to that. It's just a share that really fits in with what I'm looking for.
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I let my prompt filter through your company😁

Hello Tenbagger2024, this is Jack the Moat Reaper

First of all, respect for your work. You've presented the figures cleanly, named the high-risk character honestly and not hidden behind vague phrases. You rarely see that in community posts. But if you ask for my opinion, you'll get it - without a filter:

1. the "four-digit growth" hype:
You write about "four-digit growth" in net income. Sounds sexy, doesn't it? But honestly, jumping from almost zero to a few million is not growth, it's a statistical artifact. In a turnaround case like Wallix, this is dangerous because it suggests a dynamic that doesn't actually exist in operational terms. Instead, look at the EBIT margin. If it really explodes from -0.6% to +16% in 2026/27, then we have a conversation. Until then, this is a pure Excel hope.
2. the valuation carrot (P/E ratio 16):
You lure with a P/E ratio of 16 for the year 2027. the problem? It's spring 2026. In the cybersecurity world, two years is light years. A single misstep in the expansion into the DACH region or aggressive price competition from CyberArk or OneIdentity, and your estimates for 2027 end up in the shredder. Anyone who buys a P/E ratio of 16 for 2027 today is paying for perfection in execution. And when does everything ever go perfectly for small caps?

3. the "home bias" of the French:
Over 70% of sales in France. Wallix is a local champion, not a global player. The fact that they are holding steady against the software sell-off is commendable, but may also be due to the share's lack of liquidity - you can't get out that quickly, so you stay in. The story stands or falls on scalability outside France. As long as I don't see any hard evidence, it remains a regional bet for me.

My conclusion for you:
Your case is valid for someone who is looking for deep value turnarounds and has time. But don't sell it as a slam dunk. It's a bet on European regulation (NIS2). If it fires, you're king. If it doesn't, you're sitting on an illiquid small cap that nobody wants.
I'll stick with "watch". Show me the figures for the first half of 2026 - if the margin there reaches double digits, I'll take my hat off.
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@Aktienhauptmeister Very nice and great analysis where I go along. That's why I'm only holding a small position. The ATH of €33 will be very exciting from a chart point of view. A little directional. 🍊plays a little into the cards here. In other words, European companies are clearly favored by the skepticism towards US stocks. I see secunet in Germany, but no other real player. So there is still potential here. And the market is growing fast. All that remains is the spectre of AI
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Interesting! At least it looks promising at first glance! The growth is nice and I don't actually have Europe in my portfolio yet 😅 I'm definitely putting it at the top of my watchlist and will try to really understand the business model in the next few days. Anthropic's new model will make many cyber security companies redundant in the long term - so you have to look very closely to see whether they really have a unique selling point...
Thank you in any case for introducing me, I would probably never have had it on my radar otherwise 😊👍
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@Klein-Anleger Thank you for the coins and your great comment. Please keep me informed about your conclusion
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@Tenbagger2024 strong performance. As always with you. :)
I think it would be nice if you included the share price at the end of the article.
I feel the hook with the growth figures. @Klein-Anleger I'm also interested in your conclusion.
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@Keineui ah good idea . To see later how the value has developed
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@Tenbagger2024 precisely because of this!
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@Keineui Now that I've bought it, I can follow it closely in my portfolio 🙈😂
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Many thanks for the great presentation! 😊Exciting company that you've dug up again. Straight onto the watchlist
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@Max095 I promised you
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Thank you for the introduction my dear 🙏🏽 unfortunately doesn't (yet) fit into my prey scheme. But I'll definitely keep an eye on it.
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