3D·

To the traders here

In just over 2 weeks the $NVDA (-1.45%) figures. The share has performed very well. I believe that if the results do not pulverize expectations, which I do not expect, there will be a correction. What do you think, has the time come to go short?

The last few times it was the case that no more ask prices were set for the derivatives from about a week beforehand. So you would have to act soon.

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39 Comments

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I would be happy about a correction, I really want to add to NVIDIA 🙂 But at the moment it is very strange with quarterly figures, see Amazon; top figures and the share goes down 😅
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@BavarianLion $AMZN is my absolute top pick in the tech sector for the long term. They are massively underestimated and I buy every 2 weeks via a savings plan. Only small amounts at a time, but they can continue to be undervalued for all I care.
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@Multibagger $AMZN is my favorite share together with $GOOGL! I'm also very confident in the long term 👍 I'd also be happy if they were underestimated a little more
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@BavarianLion Following this week's savings plan, my $GOOGL position is full with around 3% of the portfolio. Now it is increasingly going into $AMZN
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@Multibagger Alphabet is also full for me with just under 8%! Amazon is 5.5%, but at the moment I'm not buying tech stocks, but rather looking in a different direction, e.g. $RMS
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@BavarianLion Yes, it's a great share. With $RACE the only real luxury share. But my portfolio has to get bigger first.
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@Multibagger Amazon has not yet made up for the setback after the figures, or at least not completely. Maybe it's time for a small certificate 🤓 What do you think of this one? UG69D5 $null
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@Multibagger I'm still wondering myself whether I should buy $RMS! I have other shares on my watchlist, but they're all too expensive at the moment $VST $RTX
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@Iwamoto Do you deliberately want to take one that has a residual value after KO because the strike and KO threshold are 5$ apart?
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As an investor, I am interested in the figures (they will be good, that's enough for me, they don't have to pulverize anything) but not in the market's reaction.

The only thing that matters is that NVIDIA stays on course in the long term. Whether profit-taking weighs on it in the short term or FOMO drives the next ATH - completely irrelevant, because the market reacts unpredictably.

Bad figures plus a gloomy outlook would of course bother me. But that can be ruled out at the moment.
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@Multibagger no,
This is based on misconceptions from my half-knowledge 🥺 the only thing I paid attention to was that the KO is reasonably far away, but at the same time the leverage is high enough and that the bill is as large as possible so that the spread does not amount to 4% or more again
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For tech stocks that are too much in the limelight, I keep my hands off with long/short.

Too much irrational selling after good figures or a sharp rise. You can flip a coin
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@BockaufDividenden yes, in that case I agree with you, that's quite a lot of risk. But maybe I'll find another certificate where I don't have to worry about the direction.
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@Multibagger phew what does such a certificate look like
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@BockaufDividenden either an inliner or a discounter
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I'll just let my position run and if there's a stable drop I'll add to it a bit
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@7digitbaki You're also talking about the share, which I'm also letting run, but I'm trying to leverage it.
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@Multibagger i am unfortunately ultra the leverage noob i am thinking about going long bank before the numbers on friday but no clue
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To be honest, I think it's unpredictable, you often think that the share has done well, there's bound to be a correction soon or the figures have to be extremely good, but then it's often the case that it continues to go up irrationally. Some other companies that had delivered great figures also went down, or those that had semi figures shot up to oben🤷🏻‍♂️
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Just a thought, but maybe set one long and one short
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@Julius_Gru I used to do this often, but on indices, not on individual stocks. Then a tight SL in both directions. Then one is stopped out and the other hopefully runs longer in the right direction. With such volatile stocks with large swings in both directions, especially after figures, you may be stopped out in both directions within minutes
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This comes every time before the figures and every time with the comparable statement that the figures have to be outstanding, otherwise we will see the biggest sell-off in history or some supposedly bursting bubbles, bla bla bla. In short: no idea what will happen. Profit-taking is also conceivable given the good outlook. (I don't want to offend you here. You are not always the one who brings up the subject, it is always others and the consideration is anything but unjustified :) )
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@lawinvest Your arguments are factual. So why should you offend me? $NVDA is by no means a bubble. It is a top company. But even they make corrections from time to time. And just today there was news that the Chinese government has imposed import bans on H20 chips in certain areas.
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@Multibagger because between the lines there was perhaps a bit of annoyance that this is always asked. But that's not what I meant ;)

And of course you're right. In general, I also expect at least minor corrections in the next few weeks
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@lawinvest Personally, I always take a close look at the figures so that I know about the company and the outlook, but I'm not interested in the market reaction 😉 It's always the same anyway, up/down 😅
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If I remember correctly.
Then Nvidia has always delivered on the numbers the last few times.
Due to the customs policy, expectations may not be quite as high.
It will be exciting
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@Tenbagger2024 Yes, they have delivered, but after a 90% increase in the share price since April, the figures not only have to fit, they have to be so good that not even sell on good news is an option.
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@Multibagger
Yes, I agree.
But this claim against Nvidia has been around for quite a while.
If anyone can get Nvidia to correct this, it's 🍊. 🙈😂
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I won't let go of a single share, even if it goes down again in the short term.
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@Alfred16 That's why I wrote in the first sentence that the question is for the traders here. Not to the long-term shareholders. I wouldn't sell anything if I was convinced by the company.
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@Multibagger ok I missed it, I apologize for that
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@Alfred16 This is not a problem and no apology is necessary.
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Shorting NVIDIA can be risky. Where did all the CAPEX spending of the big players end up? I wouldn't be surprised to see mega numbers from NVIDIA....
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@TomTurboInvest the figures will be good, but there have been sell on good news before. But I will make a short-term decision and, if possible, take a smaller lever with enough distance.
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Always difficult with such shares. I'm looking forward to the opinions 🙈
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You can't say something like that two weeks in advance.
Go down safely. Even if they deliver reasonably good figures. Overvalued the thing
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I tried to short nvdia 3 times and 3 times it went wrong as the quartile numbers came🤣
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