Economy on 28.08.2023...

Sell in May ... come back on September ? ⤵️

What an August. An up and down. The market had a long time to digest the FED announcement. On the first of August, the portfolio stood with me still on the high and then it went down now almost a month. Was of course to a certain extent, with me again on de cryptos. Otherwise, Big Tech and Big Data held something against it. The numbers from the sector, were not too bad. The biggest surprise for me was of course $NVDA
Nvidia! Disney was for me one of the higher disappointments and the rest, was yes rather as expected good or as expected bad! How does it look now in September?...

Everyone knows this saying:

Sell in may and go away but remember and come back in september.

If one looks at it now really times, then one is in the S&P500, DAX and DOWJ, not so far away from the value in May. So what would have been gained? In the NASDAQ you would have even lost something (well there are still a few days), if you would buy back everything now. In my portfolio it would have been a +-0 story. Rather slightly with minus. How does that look with you? Would you have won or lost with it?

The weekend was great, I was able to continue building my driveway in my private life and Germany beat Australia in the basketball world championship. That was a great game. Hey, and as of today our kids finally have to go back to school. Finally back to normality, so it's about time that it comes to the stock market again, gladly also in the cryptos and the FUD stops there :)

This week still the numbers of $CRM
Salesforce. There I am curious. A company what I have long-term in the depot and is currently well in the minus. But I will not buy before the numbers. I am especially curious about the rest of the annual forecast. Let's first look at Monday, which of course, as always, starts a little quieter:

Stock Exchange Holiday Great Britain

Economic data

07:00

• JP: Leading indicators June (final)

07:30

• DE: Ifo Export Expectations August

10:00

• EU: ECB, Money Supply M3 and Lending July Money Supply M3 PROGNOSIS: 0.0% yoy previously: +0.6% yoy

12:30

• DE: SPD Parliamentary Group Chairman Mützenich, opening statement at closed meeting of SPD Parliamentary Group, Wiesbaden

15:30

• DE: Railway and Transport Union (EVG), PK on result of ballot on arbitrator's decision in collective bargaining dispute with Deutsche Bahn

16:30

• US: Dallas Fed Manufacturing August

No time stated

• CN: US Secretary of Commerce Raimondo for talks in China (until 30.8)

Quarterly figures / corporate dates Europe

07:00 Thyssenkrupp Nucera quarterly figures

09:30 Thyssenkrupp Nucera Online-PK

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Quarterly figures on Valentine's Day (14.02.23)

From Coca-Cola to SFC Energy and AirBNB ⤵️

Today there were again some quarterly figures that are very interesting for us investors. The numbers are one thing but how are the outlooks. On the outlooks we can otherwise like to go into the comments times, from the companies that are interesting.

The consumer figures from the U.S., were not quite so convincing today.

USA: Consumer prices in January +6.4%. Expected +6.2% after +6.5% in the previous month (y/y).

USA: Consumer prices (core rate) in January +0.4%. Expectations were +0.4% after +0.3% in the previous month (m/m).

Perhaps the figures will make us a bit more positive again:

$ABNB
Airbnb:

Beat analyst estimates of $0.25 in fourth-quarter earnings per share of $0.48. Revenue of $1.9 billion beat expectations of $1.86 billion.

$KO
The Coca-Cola Co:

Hits analyst estimates with fourth-quarter earnings per share of $0.45. Revenue of $10.1 billion above expectations of $10.01 billion. In the outlook for 2023, Coca-Cola expects organic revenue growth of 7% to 8% (analyst forecast: 7.15%).

$SZU
Südzucker:

Expects fiscal 2022/2023 group sales of 9.5 billion euros (ate forecast 9.7-10.1 billion), group Ebitda of 1-1.04 billion (old 0.89-0.99 billion), and group operating profit of 640-680 million (old 530-630 million).

$JEN
Jenoptik:

Expects sales of 1.05-1.1 billion euros and an Ebitda margin of 19-19.5 percent for fiscal year 2023. The forecast is based on preliminary sales in fiscal 2022 of around 980 million euros (last forecast 945-960 million).

$MAR
Marriott International Inc:

Surpassed analyst estimates of $1.83 in fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.96. Revenue of $5.92 billion exceeded expectations of $5.39 billion.

$RBD
Restaurant Brands Intl Inc:

Missed analyst estimates of $0.74 in the fourth quarter with earnings per share of $0.72. Revenue of $1.69 billion exceeded expectations of $1.67 billion.

$MTUAY
MTU Aero Engines:

Achieves 2022 revenues of €5.33 billion (PY: €4.188 billion, analyst forecast: €5.405 billion), Ebit (adjusted) of €655 million (PY: €468 million, €633 million), Ebit margin of 12.3% (PY: 11.2%, forecast: 11.7%) and net profit (adjusted) of €476 million (PY: €342 million, forecast: €455 million). Proposed dividend 2022 at €3.20 (PY: €2.10, forecast: €2.90). In the outlook for 2023, MTU Aero Engines now expects a higher revenue growth of 10 % and for 2025 still an Ebit (adjusted) of approximately €1 billion (forecast: €1.00 billion).

CFO: Expect 2023 Ebit (adjusted) of €775 to €750 million. Dividend payout ratio for 2023 to increase to 40%. Will have to deal with share buyback issue from 2024.

$KTA
Knaus Tabbert:

Achieves 2022 consolidated group sales of €1.050 billion (PY: €863 million) according to preliminary figures (driven by strong growth spurt in Q4).

$F3C
SFC Energy:

2022 sales of €85.2 million (PY: €64.3 million), Ebitda (adjusted) of €8.2 million (PY: €6.2 million) and Ebit (adjusted) of €3.2 million (PY: €1.9 million). For 2023, the company expects revenues of €103 bid €111 million and Ebitda (adjusted) of €8.9 to €14.1 million.

$NEM
Nemetschek:

Achieves fiscal 2022 revenue and profitability targets, 2022 revenue growth of +17.7% (+12.1% at constant currency) to €801.8 million, 2022 Ebitda growth of +15.8% to €257.0 million, 2022 Ebitda margin at 32.0% (PY: 32.6%), detailed 2022 figures and 2023 outlook on March 23.

$CEC
CECONOMY:

Reports 1st quarter sales of €7.1 billion (PY: €6.85 billion, analyst forecast: €7.1 billion), Ebit (adjusted) of €224 million (PY: €274 million) and net income of €127 million (PY: €122 million). Forecast 2022/2023 confirmed. CECONOMY sells majority stake in Mediamarkt Sweden to Power International; in return CECONOMY receives 20% stake in Swedish subsidiary Power Sweden from Power International.

$TKA
ThyssenKrupp:

Reports 1st quarter order intake of €9.2 billion (PY: €10.4 billion), sales of €9 billion (PY: €9 billion, analysts' forecast: €9.1 billion), EBIT (adjusted) of €254 million (PY: €378 million, forecast: €174.6 million) and net income of €75 million (PY: €106 million). Outlook for 2022/2023 confirmed.

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#rezession
#cocacola
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#mtu
#knaustabbert

Economy on 14.02.2023...

Stock market on Valentine's Day...Love is in the Air? ⤵️

I hardly think that the stock market is interested in Valentine's Day. But the woman of course all the more. so it goes quickly to the bakery!

My vacation is now also over. Yesterday there were still a few interesting quarterly figures. But I was so exhausted by the SuperBowl night (yes, you can do that at 39) that I only looked at them this morning:

$SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies:

Beat analyst estimates of $1.54 with fourth quarter earnings per share of $2.86. Revenue of $890.7 million beat expectations of $878.94 million.

$PLTR
Palantir Technologies Registered Shares o.N.:

Beat analyst estimates of $0.03 in the fourth quarter with earnings per share of $0.04. Revenue of $509 million beat expectations of $503.13 million.

Today, things look quite different. There come the numbers of Coca-Cola, AirBNB and above all it goes now slowly right with the German / European numbers! Let's take a closer look at this day today. Please but above all think of the dearest and not just the stock market / economy!

Economic data (shortened version)

07:30

• FR: Unemployment rate 4Q PROGNOSED: 7.3% 3Q: 7.3%

08:00

• DE: Wholesale Prices January
• UK: Labor Market Data January Unemployment Benefit Recipients PROGNOSE: n/a previously: +19,700 Unemployment rate 3 months (ILO) PROGNOSE: 3.7% previously: 3.7%

11:00

• EU: GDP (2. release) 4Q Eurozone PROGNOSIS: +0.1% yoy/+1.9% yoy 1st release: +0.1% yoy/+1.9% yoy 3rd release: +0.3% yoy/+2.3% yoy

14:30

• US: Consumer Prices January PROGNOSE: +0.4% yoy/+6.2% yoy previous: -0.1% yoy/+6.5% yoy Core consumer prices PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy/+5.4% yoy previous: +0.3% yoy/+5.7% yoy
• US: Real income January

17:00

• US: Fed Dallas President Logan (2023 voting member of FOMC), speech at Prairie View A&M University College of Business

20:05

• US: Fed-New York President Williams (eligible to vote on FOMC), speech at NYBA NYC Region Meeting

22:30

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from private American Petroleum Institute (API).

Untimed:

• AT: Opec monthly oil market report.
• BE: U.S. and allies of "Ramstein Group" discuss further military aid to Ukraine at NATO headquarters
• EU: European Parliament, session, including report on CO2 emission standards for passenger cars and light vehicles

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

12:55 Coca-Cola quarterly figures

22:05 Airbnb quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates Europe

07:00 Ceconomy | Thyssenkrupp | Tui | Bilfinger

07:00 Knaus Tabbert quarterly figures

07:10 Norma Group Annual Results

07:30 MVV Energie | SFC Energy Annual Results

08:00 MTU Aero Engines Annual Results

11:00 Tui AGM

17:50 Carrefour Annual Results

19:00 Telekom Austria Annual Results

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