Economy on 19.01.2023...

Market very restrained, cryptos make ne Pause⤵️

Moin, yesterday there was no contribution for personal reasons. My little son was operated and I was with him all day. So if it goes by what he already eats again, then he is doing great :).

So back to normal today. The cryptos went down well yesterday. Could be because Coinbase, as well as many others, is now withdrawing from Japan. there it just does not run. All those who still had cryptos on this platform were asked to send them to your other exchange or to sell. Yesterday, however, came again a few US figures, which showed that everything is not so fast after all. US market reacted and the gains of Tuesday were quickly gone. Today it starts immediately a little lower. Let's see what the day still brings so:

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Sales in the hotel and restaurant industry November

09:00

• DE: Bundestag, plenary session, including swearing-in of new Federal Defense Minister Pistorius
• CH: World Economic Forum (WEF), Davos Dialogue continues (until Jan. 20), including panel participation by ECB President Lagarde (11:30 a.m.)

10:00

• EU: ECB, Eurozone current account November
• NO: Norges Bank, outcome of Monetary Policy Council meeting

10:30

• DE: German Council of Economic Experts on Health and Long-Term Care, PK on "Ways to strengthen the resilience of the German healthcare system"

11:00

• DE: German Defense Minister Pistorius, talks with US Defense Secretary Austin in Berlin

12:00

• TR: Turkish Central Bank, Result of the Monetary Policy Council Meeting

13:30

• EU: ECB, Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting of 15.12.

14:30

• US: Housing Starts/Permits December Housing Starts PROGNOSIS: -4.7% yoy Previous: -0.5% yoy Building permits PROGNOSIS: +0.6% yoy Previous: -11.2% yoy
• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 215,000 previously: 205,000
• US: Philadelphia Fed Index January

PROGNOSIS: -10.0 previously: -13.8

15:00

• BE: PK at the end of the NATO military chiefs meeting

17:00

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from the government Energy Information Administration (EIA).

19:15

• US: Fed Gov. Brainard (voting on FOMC), speech at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

Untimed:

• DE: Chancellor Scholz, participation in DGB federal executive board meeting.

Quarterly figures / corporate dates USA / Asia

12:55 Procter & Gamble quarterly figures

22:00 Netflix quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Zur Rose Group annual sales

07:30 Suse SA quarterly figures

#wirtschaft
#community
#communityfeedback
#beitrag
#politik
#news
#newsroom
#nachrichten
#gutinformiert
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#finanzen
#täglich
#investieren
#geld
#quartalszahlen
#zinsen
#aktienmarkt
#investment
#netflix
#procterandgamble

A week with many events...

Why is Bitcoin falling? What is the ECB doing? Lots of numbers and Paypal completely shocked me! ⤵️

The week was very eventful. Bitcoin fell sharply last week, Paypal wanted to shock the world with news on 25 January, the ECB decided on interest rates again and there were a number of quarterly figures this week. Let's take a closer look.

Why has Bitcoin fallen so much?

3 words explain it: Grayscale, FTX , Miner!

Miners are said to have sold around 10,000 $BTC
BTC were sold. We are currently on the verge of a halving again. This means that the miners will soon only have half the income left. So they have used the increase to build up capital. They are investing in new hardware in order to be able to mine more. Electricity costs rise as a result and so on. They have to take profits from time to time to stay liquid.

Grayscale has converted the trust fund (GBTC) into an ETF and sold over 600,000 BTC. Grayscale's fee policy is not the best and led to further selling. Grayscale sold USD 640 million worth of bitcoins every day. This was felt by the market.

FTX sold 900 million US dollars to GBTC, generating a profit of around 300 million US dollars. However, another positive aspect is that all the new ETFs have already collected around 103,000 BTC and will continue to do so. The market will therefore continue to grow and profits will be taken from time to time!

Is the ECB now lowering interest rates?

No, they are not yet, but they are not currently rising any further. So now the ECB has also found the stop button. However, there are already rumors of interest rate cuts this year. But they don't want to commit to a calendar day, they want to reassess each time. It will be interesting to see what the market prices in for the next round. The FED will be back next week. However, it is not expected to cut interest rates for the time being, but also not to raise them!

Did Paypal shock you with the news?

On 17.01 the CEO of $PYPL Paypal said that they wanted to shock the world on 25.01. That was yesterday and here's what came out of it. Apart from the fact that the exchange rate has fallen by more than 5% in an instant, they said that they are building in a new AI function that will allow you to get a kind of cashback with the Paypal app. So they are trying to jump on the AI bandwagon. But somehow, cashback via app is no longer a big innovation and the world perhaps expected something different. Of course, there was also very little information about what this will look like.

Some important quarterly figures from this week:

$V
Visa first quarter earnings per share of $2.41 beat analyst estimates of $2.34. Revenue of $8.6 billion beat expectations of $8.55 billion.

$TSLA
Tesla fourth quarter EPS of $0.71 misses analyst estimates of $0.73. Revenue of $25.17 billion below expectations of $25.61 billion. Tesla expects volume growth rate in 2024 to be significantly lower than last year.

$INTC
Intel fourth-quarter earnings per share of $0.54, beating analysts' estimates of $0.45. Revenue of $15.4bn, above expectations of $15.16bn.

of $15.16 bn. Intel sees first quarter revenue of only $12.2-13.2 bn (consensus $14.25 bn) and EPS of $0.13 (consensus $0.34).

$LMT
Lockheed Martin Corp. fourth quarter EPS of $7.90 beats analyst estimates of $7.28. Revenue of $18.87 billion beats expectations of $17.95 billion.

$PG
The Procter & Gamble Co. second-quarter earnings per share of $1.84 beat analysts' estimates of $1.70. Sales of $21.4 billion below expectations of $21.47 billion. Outlook for financial year 2024 confirmed.

$MMM
3M Co. fourth-quarter earnings per share of $2.42 beat analysts' estimates of $2.31. Sales of $7.69 billion in line with expectations.

General Electric Co. fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.03 beat analysts' estimates of

analysts' estimates of $0.89. Sales of $19.4 billion

billion above expectations of $17.16 billion.

$JNJ
Johnson & Johnson fourth quarter earnings per share of $2.29, beating analyst estimates of $2.28.

analysts' estimates of $2.28. Sales of $21.4 billion

billion above expectations of $21 billion.

$NFLX
Netflix fourth-quarter EPS of $2.11 misses analysts' estimates of $2.21. Revenue of $8.83bn beats expectations of $8.72bn. Global subscription growth in Q4 +13.12m. Netflix sees first-quarter EPS of $4.49 (consensus 4.1) and revenue of $9.24bn (consensus 9.27bn).

$TXN
Texas Instruments beat analysts' estimates of $1.49 earnings per share in the fourth quarter.

analysts' estimates of $1.47. Sales of $4.08 billion

billion below expectations of $4.12 billion.

Intuitive Surgical fourth quarter earnings per share of $1.60, beating analyst estimates of $1.48.

analysts' estimates of $1.48. Sales of $1.93 billion

billion above expectations of $1.89 billion.

$ABT
Abbott Laboratories fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.19 meet analysts' estimates.

Sales of $10.24 billion above expectations of

$10.17 billion

$T
AT & T Inc. fourth quarter earnings per share of $0.54 misses analysts' estimates of $0.56. Sales of $32 bn above expectations of $31.46 bn.

expectations of $31.46 billion.

$TMUS
T-Mobile US misses analysts' estimates of $1.91 in the fourth quarter with earnings per share of $1.67. Revenue of $20.48 billion beats expectations of $19.67 billion.

expectations of $19.67 billion.

#intel
#tesla
#netflix
#zinsen
#zinssenkungen
#zinssteigerungen
#ezb
#fed
#bitcoin
#kryptos
#cryptos
#miner
#greyscale
#ftx
#paypal
#visa
#atandt
#johnsonandjohnson
#johnsonjohnson
#abbott
#intuitivesurgical
#3m
#texasinstruments
#generalelctrics
#proctergamble
#procterandgamble
#aktien
#news
#wochenrückblick
#tipps
#shares
#shareholder
#quartalszahlen

Economy on 21.04.2023...

Off to the weekend. Next week Urlaub⤵️

Many are currently rather happy when it now goes back to the weekend and you can breathe again. Now it went a few days so well that one has already again fallen into euphoria and since Wednesday it runs now again very strongly in the other direction. A few posts ago, I spoke of a so-called earning recession. Several consecutive quarters of declining numbers. Some of the companies and unfortunately, a couple that I'm invested in, such as. $T
AT&T, are delivering exactly those numbers. For this, the stock was then sent into the red yesterday with over 10%. It could go even further today. Also the numbers of $AXP
AMEX

were not so exhilarating. What of course then in the next week also $V
Visa and $MA
Mastercard can hit.

Today is, among other things, also a "small expiration day". Small means that this is only for stocks and index options. The big one offers much more, but it is not today. If you want some more information about the expiration days, please write it in the comments.

As already mentioned, I'm going on vacation again next week. Yes that happens this year a little more often, because I have dragged by the house construction, simply very much vacation from the last 2 years and also by Corona not particularly much made. We were then mostly only in the weekend house on Rügen. Who has desire times there to make vacation where I am again and again ... www.urlaub-struck.de , these FeWos are also on the family property there. ours is currently still rebuilt. We own the main house there. Well but there I will not be next week. I will work a lot in the garden to get to my birthday party (will be next week 40 and a day later is the 4th wedding anniversary) still some ready. As always, I actually did not want to celebrate, I let myself be persuaded and now I almost have to grow for it! Well, it will be an exciting week.

But now first off into the weekend, enjoy the time and do not make so dolle. It will be fantastic weather. On We look I always times in the direction of Kryptosbut even here is currently so little volume that the "Whale sale" has already shaken the market. In addition, the new meme coins and the uncertainty of the markets. One can only hope that one now holds around the $28,000 (Is also called the death zone) or it just goes significantly lower again. I have on $BTC
BTC and $ETH
ETH Actually, I do not care whether it goes lower in the medium and short term. Currently, the market is just completely re-regulated. The last hearings were exciting - stupid. that will be the next 2 years certainly every now and then a topic and shake the market again and again.

What else is on the agenda today?

Eurex, small expiration day for equity and index options

Economic data

09:00

• DE: Bundestag, plenary session, e.g. on digitization of the energy transition

09:15

• FR: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing industry (1st publication) April PROGNOSIS: 53.9 previous: 53.9
• FR: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing industry (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 48.0 previously: 47.3

09:30

• DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing industry (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 53.5 previously: 53.7 Purchasing managers' index, total (1st release) PROGNOSIS: 52.6 previously: 52.6
• DE: Purchasing managers' index/PMI manufacturing industry (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 45.6 previously: 44.7
  

10:00

• EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing Eurozone (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 54.6 previously: 55.0
  
• EU: Purchasing managers' index/PMI manufacturing eurozone (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 48.0 previously: 47.3 Purchasing managers' index, total (1st release) PROGNOSIS: 54.0 previously: 54.1

10:30

• UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Non-Manufacturing (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 52.6 previously: 52.9
• UK: Purchasing managers' index/PMI manufacturing (1st release) April PROGNOSE: 48.3 previously: 47.9

11:00

• EU: Public finances (1st release) 2022 | Government debt 4Q | Government deficit 4Q

15:45

• US: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Service (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 51.5 previously: 52.6
  
• US: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (1st release) April PROGNOSIS: 49.0 previously: 49.2

No time stated

• EU: Rating review for:

Baden-Württemberg (S&P); Germany (Fitch); Turkey (S&P);

Cyprus (Moody's); Albania (Moody's); Serbia (S&P);

Slovenia (Moody's);

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Schaeffler AG EUR 0.45

Bilfinger SE 1.30 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

00:30 BHP Group Ltd Production Report 9 Months

12:55 Procter & Gamble quarterly figures

13:00 Schlumberger Quarterly Figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

06:30 Holcim Trading Update 1Q

07:00 SAP quarterly figures (2 p.m. analyst conference)

08:00 Va-Q-Tec detailed annual results

11:00 Volkswagen Group deliveries March and 1Q

13:00 Villeroy & Boch AGM

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#fed
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#kerninflation
#atandt
#amex
#procterandgamble
#urlaub

Quarterly figures from 19.01.2023...

Siemens Energy, Netflix and P&G let look

Today, a few companies have published their figures again. Siemens Energy surprisingly also shows a look at the preliminary figures. However, these are still not under a good star because of the subsidiary Siemens Gamesa.

$ENR
Siemens Energy:

Basis preliminary figures
achieved sales of 7.06 billion euros (consensus 6.64 billion) and earnings of -384 million (consensus -32 million) in the first quarter. Order intake was €12.73 billion, well above the consensus of €9.45 billion, and free cash flow before taxes was -58 million.

Charges at Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy resulted from new estimates of warranty and maintenance costs on the installed base due to negative developments in failure rates for certain components.

$PG
The Procter & Gamble Co:

Second-quarter earnings per share of $1.59 beat analyst estimates of $1.58. Revenue of $20.8 billion exceeded expectations of $20.67 billion. For 2022, the group expects sales (organic) to grow 4% to 5% (analyst forecast: 5.21%) and earnings per share to remain at the low end of the 0% to +4% range.

$NFLX
Netflix:

Missed analyst estimates of $0.59 in the fourth quarter with earnings per share of $0.12. Revenue of $7.85 billion beat expectations of $7.84 billion. Reed Hastings steps aside as CEO to make way for Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters, who share the post.

#netflix
#procterandgamble
#quartalszahlen
#wirtschaft
#news
#newsroom
#earnings
#community
#communityfeedback
#siemens

#aktien
#börse
#boerse

Economy on 23.02.2024...

What a week on the stock markets. All markets with new highs!⤵️

This stock market week was once again characterized by so many events. I think the biggest and what most people were expecting were the figures from $NVDA
Nvidia. You keep saying to yourself that this must come to an end at some point, but Nvidia continues to meet all expectations and in some cases even exceed them. Some analysts have also raised their forecasts to over 1000$. Many, however, only towards 800$. Nevertheless, there is still a lot of meat there and if Nvidia continues to deliver, it will remain exciting.

We have also seen the other example. $SMCI
Super Micro Computer was simply overbought beyond measure. Even the way so many people jumped in before the market closed on Friday at a striking $1,000 mark. The fact that such a mark is sometimes used for profit-taking is nothing new. But it is generally very difficult to look at these things rationally.

Markets in #japan , have also risen sharply this week. Have you ever looked at this market and made any investments in this area?

Dividends have also been a strong theme this week:

$ALV
Allianz: the new dividend policy already applies to the 2023 financial year, so the Board of Management is proposing an increase in the dividend from 11.40 to 13.80 euros per share for 2023. Will be raised from an otherwise 50% payout ratio to 60%.

The pharmaceutical and agrochemical group $BAYN
Bayer is adjusting its dividend policy and drastically reducing its profit distribution. A dividend of only EUR 0.11 is to be paid for 2023, compared to EUR 2.40 in the previous year.

Let's take a look at today's trading day.

Stock market holiday in Japan and Russia

Economic data

08:00

• GER: GDP (2nd release) 4Q calendar and seasonally adjusted yoy PROGNOSE: -0.3% yoy 1st release: -0.3% yoy 3rd quarter: 0.0% yoy calendar adjusted yoy PROGNOSE: -0.2% yoy 1st release: -0.2% yoy 3rd quarter: -0.3% yoy
• DE: Maastricht ratio (government revenue and expenditure) 2023
• DE: Construction industry, new orders and sales December
• DE: Leading indicator foreign trade for exports to non-EU countries January

10:00

• DE: Ifo Business Climate Index February PROGNOSE: 85.5 previous: 85.2 Situation assessment PROGNOSE: 86.8 previous: 87.0 Business expectations PROGNOSE: 84.0 previous: 83.5

10:20

• IT: ECB Director Schnabel, speech on "Has the fight against inflation been (2 pm participation in panel)
• DE: ECB Governing Council member Nagel, press conference on the presentation of the Bundesbank Annual Report for 2023

14:00

• IT: ECB Director Schnabel, speech at the Forum Analyses

15:00

• BE: Business Climate Index February FORECAST: -16.6 points PREVIOUS: -16.4 points

Without time indication:

• BE: Federal Finance Minister Lindner, participation in informal meeting of finance ministers, Ghent

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Deutsche Beteiligungs AG EUR 1.00

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP 1.7276 EUR

SNAP-ON INC EUR 1.7184

CDW CORPORATION EUR 0.5728

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Allianz | BASF | Deutsche Telekom | Vitesco

07:30 Hensoldt preliminary annual results

09:30 BASF analyst conference

10:00 Infineon AGM | Deutsche Telekom BI-PK

11:00 Allianz PK

12:00 BASF BI-PK

#intel
#tesla
#netflix
#zinsen
#zinssenkungen
#zinssteigerungen
#ezb
#fed
#bitcoin
#kryptos
#cryptos
#miner
#greyscale
#ftx
#paypal
#visa
#atandt
#johnsonandjohnson
#johnsonjohnson
#abbott
#intuitivesurgical
#3m
#texasinstruments
#generalelctrics
#proctergamble
#procterandgamble
#aktien
#news
#wochenrückblick
#tipps
#shares
#shareholder
#quartalszahlen

General question

Can someone explain to me why consumer goods stocks like #procterandgamble or #pepsico fall with falling inflation?