Economy on 14.06.2023...

It's FED interest rate decision again. Is there a surprise in store? Search autocopier...-1,2 Mio I can too! ⤵️

Today it's that time again. The FED will announce how it will continue in June. For me, everything has actually already been said here. In several meetings, the various members have spoken out for a break, but still said that it will go on again in the summer. They are not yet satisfied with inflation and are still aiming for 2%. Today, 73% assume a pause and only 27% assume an increase of 0.25%. For a reduction in interest rates, seems to be probably no one. Is also really unlikely and would be a much too early sign!

Yesterday came the CPI data, which were below expectations, but really moved a lot on the market. went down briefly, but then recovered again at the close of trading. With similar I expect today.

Even though so much has already been written about this, I would also like to use my reach again to really warn against such a rip-off. I myself have made a story on Instagram over a year ago, where I have questioned the copytrading on Naga and especially the person Dubai Flo. There were many reports of affected, which has already shown that the displayed trades, can only be the closed. Problem is, if you do not have enough capital on the broker, a trade runs further and further into the minus, then it is closed for you and you stand there with the loss. With him, it may simply continue to run and he shoots a few euros after. What do you think, why he trades with so "little money", when he is so good? So he adds a thousand per month and earns 50k (or whatever). At that time I was stoned for the story and all the younger ones of him are on me. I wonder where they are now and if he will even comment on it. I know it's getting on many of your nerves at some point, but you can't warn enough about it and shoot from all guns.

Please do not be lured by any mega return promises. One gets yield only with risk paid. A lot of return = a lot of risk. Remember this rule of thumb. So sorry and thanks for your time!

Let's take a look at today in detail!

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Wholesale prices May
• UK: GDP April PROGNOSIS: +0.2% yoy/+0.5% yoy previous: -0.3% yoy/+0.3% yoy
• GB: Trade balance April PROGNOSIS: GBP -17.6 billion previous: GBP -16.4 billion
• GB: Industrial Production April PROGNOSIS: -0.1% yoy/-1.6% yoy previous: +0.7% yoy/+2.0% yoy

11:00

• EU: Industrial production April Eurozone PROGNOSIS: +0.5% yoy/-0.8% yoy previous: -4.1% yoy/-1.4% yoy

14:30

• US: Producer prices May PROGNOSIS: -0.1% yoy previous: +0.2% yoy Core (excluding food and energy) PROGNOSIS: +0.2% yoy previous: +0.2% yoy

16:30

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from the government Energy Information Administration (EIA)

20:00

• US: Fed, outcome of FOMC meeting and projections on interest rates, growth, inflation, unemployment rate PROGNOSIS: 5.00% to 5.25% previously: 5.00% to 5.25%

20:30

• US: FED-PK with Chairman Powell Fed funds target rate

No time stated

• DE: Federal Ministry of Economics, Monthly Report on the Economic Situation June
• EU: European Parliament votes on planned EU rules for artificial intelligence

ex-dividend of individual stocks

FCR Real Estate 0.11 EUR

2G Energy 0.14 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

03:00 Toyota AGM

14:00 Blackrock Investor Day

15:00 Altice | Caterpillar AGM

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Fraport Traffic Figures May

07:00 Heidelberger Druckmaschinen detailed annual results

10:00 Delivery Hero | Dermapharm | Instone Real Estate AGM

11:00 Cancom AGM

17:00 Hugo Boss Investor Day

No time stated: Software AG, end of acceptance period in the course of the takeover offer of the holding company Mosel Bidco SE

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Economy on 13.06.2023

The day before the interest rate decision. 0 or 0.25%?. Will the market really be deprived of $600 billion? ⤵️

In this new week are again some economic events. Today comes the consumer price index and tomorrow is then the next interest rate decision of the Fed. In addition, one wants to withdraw liquidity from the market.

After the suspension of the debt ceiling has now been decided by both houses of Congress and U.S. President Joe Biden must only sign the law, the U.S. can probably borrow fresh money again from the coming week by issuing government bonds. They are also likely to make extensive use of this. As a result of the foreseeable breach of the debt ceiling and the "extraordinary measures," the account balance in the so-called Treasury General Account, in which the U.S. Treasury holds its funds at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, has dropped from the usual level of around 650 billion dollars to less than 50 billion dollars.

That would mean, that it then starting next week, probably a lot of new US government bonds will give. So one reckons that these will suck a lot of liquidity from the market. But is that perhaps already priced in? Will this really lead to a strong vola? I am curious. Also, one no longer really expects the interest rate decision with interest rate hike for June. It has now been confirmed in several meetings that there will probably be a mini break and then it will continue. Completely stop is probably not yet the right way, because you still do not have inflation under control. So are we really waiting for surprises or is everything already priced into the market. In the negative, of course, it always goes. If the FED should now suddenly out of nowhere, 0.5% raise (very very unlikely), then that could of course scare the market. But currently one reckons with well over 80%, that there is a zero round and only a very small chance that there is no agreement and there will then be 0.25%. Tomorrow we are then smarter!

Let's look at the new trading day!

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Consumer Prices (final) May PROGNOSE: -0.1% yoy/+6.1% yoy provisional: -0.1% yoy/+6.1% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy/+7.2% yoy HICP PROGNOSE: -0.2% yoy/+6.3% yoy provisional: -0.2% yoy/+6.3% yoy previous: +0.6% yoy/+7.6% yoy
• UK: Labor Market Data May Unemployment Benefit Recipients PROGNOSIS: n/a previous: +46,700 Unemployment rate 3 months (ILO) PROGNOSIS: 4.0% previous: 3.9%

10:30

• DE: Federal Health Minister Lauterbach, President of the German Medical Association, Reinhardt, Pk on demands of the medical profession for heat protection plans and for health-related climate protection to politicians, Berlin

11:00

• DE: ZEW-Index Economic Sentiment June PROGNOSIS: -13.0 points previously: -10.7 points Economic situation PROGNOSIS: -41.4 points previously: -34.8 points

11:30

• DE: Auction result new issue 2.4%-Bundesobligation over 5bn Euro maturing 19.10.2028

14:30

• US: Consumer prices May PROGNOSE: +0.1% yoy/+4.0% yoy previously: +0.4% yoy/+4.9% yoy Core consumer prices PROGNOSE: +0.4% yoy/+5.3% yoy previously: +0.4% yoy/+5.5% yoy
• US: Real income May

22:30

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from private American Petroleum Institute (API).

Without time

• AT: Opec monthly report on the oil market
• EU: Conclusion of the two-day Council of Ministers for Employment, Social Policy, Health and Consumer Affairs, Luxembourg
• US: Fed, start of two-day FOMC meeting

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Gesco 1.00 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

09:00 ad pepper media AGM

10:00 Flatexdegiro AGM

14:00 Aurubis Capital Market Day

No time stated:

- Volkswagen Supervisory Board meeting

- Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy SA, possibly continuation of ao AGM to vote on capital reduction for full takeover by parent company Siemens Energy

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#dividende
#dividenden
#schulden
#usa
#rezession
#usmarkt
#staatsanleihen
#konsumpreisindex