$VT. (+0.24%) Press On Regardless. John C. Bogle 🙃
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Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund;ETF
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11So it's the end of the month $VT (+0.24%) top up.
All Country World vs. Nasdaq 100
I've been here for a couple of weeks and regularly look at the portfolios presented and the reactions/recommendations.
One thing is particularly striking in my opinion: All Country World ETFs are generally seen as the holy grail and investments in technology stocks such as the Nasdaq 100 are seen as a risk (just like an overweighting of the USA, according to the motto "be warned"). Why is that?
The annual return of the $QQQ calculated for the last 30 years was 13.76%*
In the case of e.g. $VT (+0.24%) the annual return was 6.23%*
1$ invested in QQQ on 01.02.1994 would be worth 47.87$ today vs. 6.13$ in the case of VT*
*Source: regarding QQQ https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/etf/invesco-qqq-trust-qqq/
regarding VT https://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/allocation/all-country-world-stocks-portfolio/
Of course, the QQQ drops more in percentage terms than VT in bad phases, but in the long term it still remains better.
In the case of a long investment horizon (e.g. from 15 years) with a savings plan, I see no reason to avoid the QQQ or similar values across the board or to advise against them.
It is not a recommendation on my part, everyone should decide for themselves ... just take everything into consideration...
So what is the argument against QQQ? As has already been said, it is essentially the volatility. You have to be able to withstand 80% maxDD. It's certainly possible in a savings plan, but I don't know anyone who went through the 2001-2004 DD unscathed. QQQ only reached the 2001 level again in 2013, the return since 2001 is close to or below that of VT! You have to endure that! It is above all a psychological question. Perhaps it is precisely this aspect that generates QQQ's excess return?
Anyway: if you have time and nerves, QQQ is probably the best choice objectively. Also economically, because the greatest growth, the most innovation and the best economies of scale can be found in QQQQ. The mixed goods store VT can't hold a candle to that.
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