Satoshi (@DonkeyInvestor) on getquin

My "What if?" portfolio

Would have, would have, bicycle chain

Do you know this? You're sitting around like this, you're unemployed, you're 6 months behind with the rent, your landlord has given notice and your girlfriend is now with @Testo-Investor because he's a real doer. And while you get up because the bailiff is taking away the last armchair you were sitting on 5 minutes ago, you think to yourself "At least I don't have to organize a move anymore. But if I had invested in $BTC (+0.27%) then none of this would have happened".

We mourn missed opportunities. Opportunities that we didn't know about ("Bit... what?"), opportunities that we didn't believe in ("Somehow the old job is more comfortable, I don't need that bit more money and promotion opportunities") and opportunities that we screwed up ourselves ("lol, they're actually offering 100 euros for my $NVDA (-2.33%) shares. Take my stock, you fools"). But is it really that bad?

In 2022, I wrote my post "Why it makes sense to sell bad buys at a loss" https://app.getquin.com/activity/JMQwETSOoS . Back then, there wasn't even formatting for posts on getquin. We had to use shoddy tricks, which is why the umlauts in headlines looked so funny. But I digress. Anyway, I was busy selling positions and was in the middle of finding my strategy, which was still changing or at least concretizing over the last few years. As I continuously pushed ahead with my change in strategy, I sold some positions. Not primarily because I no longer believed in the positions, but because they no longer fitted into my strategy of a leaner and less expensive portfolio.

For example, a few weeks ago I sold $HBAR (+3.34%) with a loss of over 60%. Since then, the coin has risen by around 180%. I also sold Nvidia in January 2022 for EUR 26.315 (split-adjusted) - at least at a profit. The list goes on and on.

Do I regret the sales? Of course it hurts to see how much return has fallen by the wayside. But I stand behind my overriding goal of adjusting my strategy, so I have absolutely no regrets.

But sometimes I still ask myself: what if? And that's why I created my "What if?" portfolio on getquin. All my sales are listed there as purchases with the selling price at the time and the corresponding quantity. In other words, it tracks the price development since the sale. And with this portfolio feedback I give you an exclusive insight - including absolute values.

What do I learn from it?

It's amazing that you've made it this far. I really tend to beat around the bush. And you almost seem to be in love with me, the way you're glued to my lips.
In retrospect, some sales were really annoying, e.g. Nvidia
Despite high returns recently, I'm not at all annoyed about the sales of $ADA (+0.41%), $HBAR (+3.34%) and $IOTA (-0.02%). Overall, the difference is only a few hundred euros and therefore peanuts in the portfolio. Moreover, the positions would still have been very far from the entry price
Other positions performed rather mediocre to poorly, for example . $YOU (+0.38%), $MPW (+0.24%) or $BAYN (+1.36%). Here the sale definitely made sense
Overall, I have sold relatively little of my portfolio. The sales currently only make up a fraction of my overall portfolio
Of course, it should not be forgotten that I have reallocated the proceeds from my sales to my existing portfolio (crypto to crypto, shares and ETF to ETF) and a return was also generated here
My "what if" portfolio achieved a TTWROR of under 20%, while my aggregated portfolio generated a TTWROR of over 30% in the same period
It's damn difficult to time the market. I can't do it. So I don't even try

Looking back, I did everything right. But even if I hadn't, I wouldn't have any regrets. So don't fret about missed opportunities, stay true to yourself and focus on the future.

SGP@Koenigmidas

Focus focus focus great contribution to tomorrow

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Show answer

Charmin@Charmin

I also think that I can't time the market, so I don't try to do that either. Instead, I only take stocks into the PF that I don't have to think about every five minutes: Oh Gotterle, what am I going to do now?

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DerMartin@DerMartin

Very well written. I've managed that quite well for myself too.
Decisions have to make sense at the time you make them. If you're at peace with yourself at that point, you can't really make any "mistakes".
There's a wonderful saying about this: "Life must be lived forwards, but can only be understood backwards".

Krush82@Krush82

That's why I praise strategies that act according to fixed rules and you only have to act like a robot - it's easier to avoid falling into the "would have had bicycle chain" mindset

Fritz@FEAR

At the end of last year, I dumped $MMM and $G1A, which then performed 70% and 40% 1Y respectively, and of course sold my cryptos, which tripled in price shortly afterwards. But the worst thing was that in 2016 someone from my circle of friends offered to buy me Bitcoins and set up a Bitcoin miner together. However, the €400/bitcoin at the time wasn't worth liquidating my €2000 building society savings 😂😂

Tino@parlania

You should never run after a streetcar or a share.

Harald@Madhatter5566

The worlds of ifs are simply unfathomable. You might have been overrun by a Tesla if you hadn't sold Nvidia. Or you wouldn't have bought bitchcoin and made more profit. Or or or or.

I mean, at the time the pizza was bought, Bitchcoin was only worth "so little". Basically, you only made a fictitious loss.

All-in-or-nothing@All-in-or-nothing

50 coins for the donkey and what I consider to be a good and sensible contribution. Fortunately, I have now also stopped "mourning missed returns" for myself abgestellt👍🏻.

𝙼𝚊𝚗𝚞@FrauManu

First of all 🥕
Thanks for that 🫶🏻

leanid@leanid

Thanks!