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FIRST SOLAR EMERGES AS KEY WINNER FROM DOC ANTIDUMPING RULING $FSLR (+1.24%)


MARKET RESPONSE

- $FSLR shares gained up to 6.5% Monday, following 3.5% increase on Friday

- Positive market reaction follows Department of Commerce's preliminary determination on antidumping duties (Nov 29)


ANALYST INSIGHTS


Piper Sandler (Kashy Harrison)

- Rating: Overweight

- Price Target: Raised to $250 from $210

- Key Points:

* DoC rates exceeded expectations

* Panel pricing likely to increase significantly post-duties

* Potential for utility-scale project delays

* Names $FSLR as sole beneficiary under coverage


Jefferies (Julien Dumoulin-Smith)

- Rating: Buy

- Analysis:

* Positive outlook for US domestic manufacturers ($FSLR) and Malaysia-based Longi

* Vietnam producers ($JKS (-1.72%), $002459) face higher-than-expected antidumping rates

* Thailand rates significantly above expectations, affecting $CSIQ (+5.93%) and Trina

* Market reactions deemed appropriate for $FSLR (up) and $JKS/$CSIQ (down)


Truist (Jordan Levy)

- Rating: Buy

- Key Observations:

* Clear positive for $FSLR given domestic US supply chain

* Company secured on near-term price/volume

* Potential catalyst for expanded domestic manufacturing

* Positive implications for related companies: $SHLS, $ARRY (+2.87%), $NXT (all rated Buy)


UPCOMING CATALYST

- CPIA Annual PV Conference (Dec 4-6)

* Critical event for sector near-term direction

* Expected to reveal supply-side dynamics

* Recommended close monitoring by investors


INDUSTRY IMPLICATIONS

- Strengthens case for US manufacturing expansion

- Module/cell pricing expected to adjust to reflect tariff impact

- Reduced uncertainty may boost booking momentum

- Final determinations pending for next year

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