3Yr·

I had an interesting conversation with one of my students yesterday. I work part-time as a lecturer (completely outside of the financial sector) and often have groups with whom I talk outside of class over lunch or the like.


The student in question was just 20 and absolutely convinced follower of Dirk Müller, Max Otte, Florian Homm and Co. and not invested in the fund so often criticized here, but in their theses. He had bought the books and was so clearly convinced in conversation with me that "something big is coming", that they see things that everyone else doesn't see, etc.


I found that somehow frightening, simply because a person in his most malleable time was so strongly influenced by things that he steered his personal savings in those directions. Müller, Otte and Co are, after all, controversial at best. Many things that are said there are for me simply marketing and shock tactics.


I don't have the necessary expertise about the markets to "counter" that, so for now I just nodded and listened carefully. But I would still like to offer at least an alternative view.


Is there literature (he seems to like books) that offers decent counterpoints to this? It would be mMn only right to show him there that there are also still other opinions.

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Just ask what he/she/it thinks how these people earn money. Probably not through (legal... homm) business on the stock exchange. In my opinion, the best argument that can be delivered.... They have made the fear of the people to their business and meet just with the Germans mostly on open ears
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Gerd Kommer has reviewed the Crash Prophets and their performance in his blog. In addition, a collection of links to other videos and articles on the subject: https://www.gerd-kommer-invest.de/wie-untergangspropheten-investieren/
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I can warmly recommend Gerd Kommer! It should be the scientifically sober antithesis to crash prophets and gurus.
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They are crash prophets. Dirk Müller always says that it feels like the world will end soon. At some point he will be right about a crash. Statistically, it happens every 8-10 years or so. But if you look at the indices over the long term, you realize that the crashes are only small dents in a long-term rising chart of an S&P500, for example. If you predict a crash every year, you will be right at some point. But you have missed out on enormous returns in the other years. The smart ones buy cheaply during crashes. These people make their money with scaremongering. And apparently one of your students fell for it.

If you knew exactly when the crash was coming, you would actually have to go short. But none of them do, because they don't know when the next crash will come. It will come, of course, and then they will buy more and not sell in panic.
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simply recommend Finanzfluss (on youtube or twitch) (they are also releasing a book in January)
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3Yr
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