5Mon·

Investing in $PDX (+0.19%) Paradox Interactive: Future Growth or Continued Decline?


Hi everyone,


I'm interested in discussing Paradox Interactive and its current stock situation.


Recent Performance Highlights:


Q1 2024: Revenues were steady at MSEK 482.1, with a slight decrease in operating profit. Cash flow from operating activities decreased, but the cash position remains strong.


Key Releases: The quarter saw new DLCs and game releases, including "Millennia" and several DLCs for existing titles.


CEO's Comment: Fredrik Wester highlighted strong underlying sales and a solid cash position, providing a good foundation in a turbulent games market.


My Thoughts:


Cities Skylines 2 Recovery: Despite a poor launch, there's potential for recovery with more frequent DLC releases and increased console adoption.


Major Driver - EU5 Release: The upcoming release of Europa Universalis 5 (EU5) is expected to significantly boost revenue.


Europa Universalis IV Performance:


Active Players: Currently 9,410 active players with a 24-hour peak of 19,053.

Positive Reviews: 87.1% positive reviews.

Revenue and Sales: Gross revenue of $76.2 million with 3.2 million units sold.

Engagement: Average playtime of 286.8 hours and a median playtime of 24.8 hours.


This strong performance for EU4 could indicates potential revenue growth for EU5 (2025 onwards) as well as other new releases this year through steady revenue from DLCs.


Challenges: The mishandled launch of Cities Skylines 2 and the delay of some game releases to 2025 have hurt the stock price.


Has anyone else looked into $PDX (+0.19%) or has knowledge in the gaming industry stocks? I'd appreciate any insights or advice!


*Disclaimer: I do not own any stock in $PDX (+0.19%)*


Thanks! :)


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https://www.paradoxinteractive.com/investors/financial-reports/interim-report-january-march-2024


https://steamcommunity.com/app/949230/discussions/0/4202490257585483712/


https://vginsights.com/game/236850


https://m.investing.com/news/company-news/barclays-starts-paradox-interactive-stock-with-underweight-rating-93CH-3473111?ampMode=1

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4 Comments

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I wouldn't touch this stock, don't get me wrong, they make great games in their niche. But the sad truth is that the gaming market is very saturated and I don't see turn-based strategy games becoming the new Fortnite.
The stock isn't even that cheap. So unless something unexpected happens, this stock is "ok".
But there are a lot of "ok" stocks on the market. 😘
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I own many stocks of PDX and I still like it. It transitions from being a growth stock to a value stock since all the growth ventures failed. However there are strong numbers and great FCF for the business looking forward. Also the gaming market is currently in general performing weak so that also explains why the stock is down bad.
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