3Yrยท
Opinion for $NDX, $TECDAX, $MDAXI, $GDAXI, $IYY

๐——๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ต๐˜ ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ด๐—ฟรถรŸ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ž๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ“‰โ“โ“โ“


๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ / ๐—”๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐˜‡๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‡๐—บรค๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป:


With today's partly very ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—”๐—ฏ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—นรค๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป on the markets in ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ and the ๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—”, the starting signal for a ๐—ž๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐˜ƒ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ด๐—ฟรถรŸ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ ๐—จ๐—บ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด may now have been given.


We would now like to briefly share ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐—ณรผ๐—ฟ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐˜๐—ถ๐—ด๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜๐—ฒ with you:


๐—ช๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—บ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜‡๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‡๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ฝรผ๐—ฟ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฟรผ๐—ฏ๐˜?


Firstly, the ๐˜€๐˜รค๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป that has already been in place in Asia for several weeks should be mentioned here. Triggered by the ๐——๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜๐—ฎ-๐—ฉ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ now already dominating almost everywhere, case numbers are now also rising again significantly in Europe and the USA.


On the other hand, with the latest data on ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—” there is now also concern, that there could be a change in thinking with regard to the ultra-loose monetary and interest rate policy of the central banks. Investors always react nervously to statements by central bankers in this regard, also with regard to the outlook for the ๐—ญ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ตรถ๐—ต๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป planned for next year.


๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ธรถ๐—ป๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ณ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐— รค๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ป?


Here, the ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐˜๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป already started in the ๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—” the previous week with the fresh ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐—ญ๐—ฎ๐—ต๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—จ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป should be mentioned in particular. In addition to the result itself, it will depend here in particular on which ๐—”๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ the companies will announce for the full year. It will probably depend on whether the ๐—˜๐—ฟ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—”๐—ป๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฟ can be exceeded here by the majority or "only" fulfilled.


๐—ช๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—นรค๐˜€๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—บรถ๐—ด๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ด๐—ฟรถรŸ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ž๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป?


First, by the very strong ๐—”๐—ป๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฉ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜รค๐˜ today in both the VDAX-New and the VIX in the US. On the other hand also by the ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฅ๐—ฆ๐—œ ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฅ๐—ฆ๐—Ÿ the ๐˜‡๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‡๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜‚ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—›๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐˜€ in the DAX and Dow Jones ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฟ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜รค๐˜๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ธ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป. With today's ๐—ฅรผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—บ ๐—จ๐—บ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜‡, moreover, a ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ-๐—•๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ด now threatens to complete itself in several indices at once.


As an example of this, we have attached a ๐˜ผ๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ก๐™ฎ๐™จ๐™š ๐™™๐™š๐™จ ๐˜ฟ๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™…๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š๐™จ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™™๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ž๐™–๐™ก ๐˜ผ๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™–๐™œ๐™š (see photo).


๐™๐™ค๐™ก๐™œ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™™๐™š ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™˜๐™๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™œ๐™š ๐™๐™ง๐™–๐™œ๐™š๐™ฃ ๐™จ๐™ค๐™ก๐™ก๐™ฉ๐™š ๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™ฃ๐™ช๐™ฃ ๐™›รผ๐™ง ๐™จ๐™ž๐™˜๐™ ๐™—๐™š๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ฌ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ฃ, ๐™ช๐™ข ๐™—๐™š๐™จ๐™จ๐™š๐™ง ๐™ซ๐™ค๐™ง๐™—๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™ฏ๐™ช ๐™จ๐™š๐™ž๐™ฃ:


-> Are there perhaps positions where I should now realize the gains of the last few monthsโ”.


-> Are there any opportunities to invest countercyclically in stocks where I have been waiting for a long time for an opportunity to enter?


-> Are there already existing positions where I would like to take advantage of a possible correction to buy upโ”?


-> And is the sidelines perhaps the better place for me at the moment, before I let my emotion guide my decisions too muchโ”


As always, we wish you well in your decisions and ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ณ ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ด on the current topic.


We wish you a relaxing end of the day! Magnus & Sรถren ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿ“ˆ

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