3Yrยท

๐—ž๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ?

๐—ž๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ป ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ!

...๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ: ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—บ ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ด ๐—ง๐—˜๐—œ๐—Ÿ ๐Ÿฎ


another look into the ๐˜พ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž ๐™‚๐™ก๐™ค๐™—๐™–๐™ก ๐™’๐™š๐™–๐™ก๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ซ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™Š๐™๐™๐™‡๐™Š๐™Š๐™† 2022.


Why does Citi think dividends are more important today than ever in the current market situation?


๐Ÿ‘‰ Negative real interest rates have increased the importance of dividends in performance-oriented portfolios.

๐Ÿ‘‰ With global dividend yields trading above bonds, Citi believes equities will generate a much larger share of total returns in a diversified portfolio. (actually logical)

๐Ÿ‘‰ Citi recommends companies whose dividends have grown a consistent over time. (should be a criterion mMn anyway when choosing dividend stocks).

๐Ÿ‘‰ These "dividend growth stocks" not only provide yields, but have often outperformed the broader stock market. (see the images for more)

๐Ÿ‘‰ Dividend growth stocks are especially common in healthcare, consumer staples, and semiconductors.


The power of dividend reinvestment is underappreciated. While past performance is not indicative of future performance, Citi sees a potential opportunity to generate further higher returns by investing in a select group of companies that have a long track record of growing their dividends.


By consistently increasing distributions to shareholders over time - even during periods of recessions and expansions - such companies demonstrate their ability to grow profits over time. This, in turn, suggests ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ "๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐˜€๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป" ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜‡๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—š๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—บ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜‡๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ธ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ป.


Over the past 30 years, an investment strategy that invests in dividend growth companies has outperformed the S&P 500 Index as well as its Value and Growth Indices - FIGURES 3 and 4. Although there is less historical data for dividend growth companies outside the U.S., Citi believes that ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜‡๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ธ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป. The reason is that the fundamental factors that form the basis for dividend growth companies cannot be limited to a specific region or location.


Source Photo/Text: https://www.privatebank.citibank.com/outlook

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Good post ๐Ÿ‘Œ I especially like dividend growth stocks. I can underline your arguments ๐Ÿ’ฏ
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Find it a pity that in the ETF are the aristocrats from the S&P 1500. Would rather buy the one with the aristocrats from the S&P 500. Does not exist in ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช as far as I know unfortunately...
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@tim1 Half as wild. Still outperforms the MSCI World and outperformed the S&P 500 from October 14 to March 2020
https://de.tradingview.com/chart/3e1pAiB9/
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@Howsy89 I haven't even thought about it yet. It would be my first and probably only choice for a dividend ETF.
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Is it actually defined when a company is considered a dividend growth company? Does PepsiCo or JMSmucker with their 7% annual dividend fall below that? Or do they need double-digit rates?
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@Divmann counts*
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@Divmann In general, Citi points out that it is not the current dividend yield that matters, but its annual growth. Then the interest rate kicks in and it is assumed that the company as such is also growing and can therefore ensure an annually increasing dividend.
As far as I know, Pepsi, for example, has been able to increase its dividend every year since the 1980s.
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@Howsy89 I'm sorry, I worded it wrong. I meant dividend growth, but thanks for the answer anyway.
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What do you think of the Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF?
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@six ask @TopperHarley THE man for ETF's he has or had them all. ๐Ÿ˜…
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@six @six More broadly diversified, so less US cluster risk but not as profitable in retrospect
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@six approx. 84% performance difference over 10 years
https://de.extraetf.com/etf-comparison?etf=IE00B8GKDB10,IE00B6YX5D40
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@Howsy89 ok, that's quite a difference. I compared them recently, but only up to 3 years old.
The number of titles is of course quite different (112 to 1855)
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@six Here is a classic case of DiWORSEfication
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@Howsy89 But in principle it also performs worse than the FTSE All World.
I'm thinking about saving a dividend ETF for retirement at the same time. However, I don't yet see any good reason not to simply put everything into the All World and then switch to a dividend ETF shortly before retirement. That way I would have a better performance until then and then live off the approx. 4% dividend in retirement.
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@six not true, the distributor also performs 30% worse over 10 years
https://de.extraetf.com/etf-comparison?etf=IE00B6YX5D40,IE00B3RBWM25
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@Howsy89 oh yes, that's right. I must have made a mistake earlier. But unfortunately at the expense of diversification. Too bad the SPDR is not available as a savings plan at ING
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@six Fortunately, I can save for it at my bank. Scalable Capital also offers it.
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I also like the dividend aristocrats very much, they are stable stocks with convincing performance and proven business models for decades. But what you should not forget with this chart is the tax, with dividends you do not have this tax deferral effect as with an accumulating etf on the S&P500.
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@Investmentknecht But until then, make full use of the tax-free amount and don't forget the advance lump sum for accumulators.
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