2Yrยท

๐€๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐˜๐จ๐ฎ - ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก-๐๐ฎ๐๐ž ๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ง๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐…๐š๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐จ๐ง-๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ญ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ณ


Yes, you read that right. Donkey is doing something away from crypto for a change. First company introduction from me.


๐ญ๐ฅ;๐๐ซ

Buy.


๐€๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐˜๐จ๐ฎ ... ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐š๐ฌ ๐ง๐ข๐œ๐ก๐ญ ๐๐ข๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐Š๐ฅ๐š๐ฆ๐จ๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ฐ๐ž๐›๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ž?

Right. About You (https://www.aboutyou.de/) offers fashion companies a marketplace to sell their products online, competing directly with companies like Zalando. The focus is on the individual customer experience - the platform is About You. In addition to clothing from major fashion brands, About You also offers fashion from its own labels [1] and second-hand goods [2] on its platform. In total, there are more than 400,000 items from over 2,000 brands in the assortment [3]. Especially the promise of personalization (e.g. live shopping events, inspiration through content, ...) and the idea of sustainability through the second-hand sector should appeal to the young target group.


But actually About You is a tech company that happens to sell clothes. The self-developed store platform Scayle (https://www.scayle.com/de/), on which About You is based, is licensed by About You to other companies as a SaaS solution (Software as a Service). Customers include fashion brands such as Marc O'Polo as well as companies from other industries such as Depot or baur [4]. With Hypewear, a platform for digital fashion is also under construction [5]. There, everything revolves around NFTs (sorry, I can't do without crypto after all). The free group is happy about a free fashion NFT at https://www.hypewear.io/.


๐–๐š๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐œ๐ก๐ญ ๐€๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐˜๐จ๐ฎ ๐Ÿรผ๐ซ ๐๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ž๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฆ ๐Š๐š๐ฎ๐Ÿ?

Primary Scayle. Of course, there are shopping platforms like sand on the sea. For example, there are providers such as Shopify, which is primarily aimed at smaller customers (but also offers a product for corporations with Shopify Plus), or Salesforce, which offers a complex platform for large customers with its Commerce Cloud. Scayle is more in competition with platforms like the Salesforce Commerce Cloud. This means that we are talking about a powerful store system, which is introduced into a company in a relatively complex way (information about you: 3-6 months, but realistically more like 6-18 months) and is then also set there for the time being. A replacement is associated with correspondingly high costs and effort, which is why no company will tackle this lightly. In addition, there are often long-term contracts. This is therefore a subscription model whose annual revenue per customer is more likely to be in the 6-7 digit range - no comparison to the 3-4 digit revenues that platforms like Shopify (without Plus) generate per customer.


Of course, customers can still replace the store system with appropriate investments. To attract and ultimately retain customers, About You has to offer a very good product. And here we are at the second reason to buy. About You actively uses its own platform itself to sell clothing. In other words, About You learns firsthand how the platform performs in everyday life, can directly observe customer behavior, and has a strong interest in developing the platform in the right direction. This is no comparison to providers whose primary product is the store system itself.


๐†๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐  ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐œ๐ก๐ฐ๐š๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฅ๐ญ, ๐ก๐š๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฅ ๐ž๐ข๐ง ๐ฉ๐š๐š๐ซ ๐ƒ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ง, ๐™๐š๐ก๐ฅ๐ž๐ง, ๐…๐š๐ค๐ญ๐ž๐ง, ... ๐ซ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ!

About You is part of the Otto Group, headquartered in Hamburg, Germany. The company was founded in 2014, now employs about 1,000 people, is present in 23 European markets, but does not operate in Ukraine and Russia [6]. Since the IPO in June 2021, there have been no insider trades, except for a purchase in April 2022 [7]. The stock has fallen over 50% since its IPO debut, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately 1.75 billion euros. With over 60% of the shares, the Otto Group is the largest shareholder. The three members of the Executive Board together hold a good 7% of the shares [8].


According to the preliminary annual results, revenue grew by about 50% to approximately 1.75 billion euros in the financial year 2021 / 2022. This revenue growth was also enabled by many strategic investments, (one-off) marketing measures and European expansion, which put pressure on the profit. Adjusted EBITDA will be approx. -65 million euros or approx. -3.5%. In fiscal 2020/21, adjusted EBITDA was still -35.5 million euros or -3%. The goal is to reach profitability in fiscal year 2023/24 and to achieve sales of 5 billion euros in 2025/26. About You is already operating profitably in its core markets, Germany, Austria and Switzerland. The particularly interesting B2B business with Scayle has also been profitable since this fiscal year, but despite strong growth it has so far only contributed a small part to group sales (Q3: just under 10% of group sales by Scayle). [9] [10] [11]


The next annual report will be published on May 24, accordingly there are no current and official key figures yet. Based on the preliminary report, the P/E ratio should be around 1. I repeat: a growth tech stock with KUV of 1. Just saying.


๐–๐ข๐ž ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ž ๐Š๐จ๐ง๐ค๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ณ?

Phew, I honestly have a hard time with this question. As currently most of the revenue is generated with the marketplace, obvious competitors are Zalando, ASOS and co. For the future, however, I see a gigantic opportunity for Scayle. In this case, Salesforce with its Commerce Cloud would be a competitor, but it actually operates in a different environment. About You can certainly also be compared with Amazon as a marketplace company that also makes its self-developed technology available to other companies. Yes, sometimes I'm a bit of a megalomaniac.


๐–๐š๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐š๐ ๐ž๐ง ๐ž๐ข๐ ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐Œ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐œ๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐€๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐˜๐จ๐ฎ, ๐๐ข๐ž ๐ฆ๐ž๐ก๐ซ ๐€๐ก๐ง๐ฎ๐ง๐  ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ ๐ก๐š๐›๐ž๐ง?

Nobody has more of a clue than me, but well: the shareholder advises not to reach into the falling knife - among other things because Tarek Mรผller, one of the co-CEOs, has announced that he wants to become mayor of Hamburg in 2030 [12]. Vincent of The Motley Fool sees this very info as no-news and the stock, with its growth and market prospects, as correspondingly attractive [13]. The Motley Fool, in the form of Henning Lindhoff, also praised About You's long-term bullish outlook back in March [14]. The price targets from the end of March / beginning of April are all extremely bullish and range between 19 and 36 euros (Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, UBS, Jefferies, JP, Baader) [15].


๐–๐ž๐ฅ๐œ๐ก๐ž ๐‘๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ค๐ž๐ง ๐ฌ๐ข๐ž๐ก๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ?

Mainly the current market environment with rising interest rates and inflation. In this, About You has already been massively punished, but of course it can go down even further. Since About You is close to profitability and has a strong group in the background with the Otto Group, I don't really see a problem here. However, the market is unfortunately not very interested in what I think is a problem and what is not.


In general, of course, the fashion market is highly competitive. If prices rise overall, the new T-shirt will probably be even more dispensable than the bread at the bakery. Even as a lifestyle product, clothing is coming under increasing attack from the latest technology gadgets. Material and transport bottlenecks are doing the rest. Nevertheless, About You's concept is likely to appeal to a target group that is enthusiastic about fashion and also spends money on it regularly. Nevertheless, there is of course a certain risk here.


Since my investment case is based on Scayle, it would be catastrophic if it does not work out. For example, because About You delivers a bad product, loses interest in Scayle or no new customers can be acquired. However, I think all three scenarios are unlikely. The Otto Group is very open about the technologies and procedures it uses, and anyone who follows it a bit, for example in its blog [16] or at various tech conferences, will quickly see that the technology should have a solid foundation. I have already mentioned the end customer orientation through the use of the platform in their own store, the user-friendliness of the tools for B2B customers is - from my point of view - also excellent and no comparison to the sometimes somewhat old-fashioned competition. Since Scayle is growing strongly and is also profitable [11], it cannot be assumed that About You will treat Scayle stepmotherly in the future. In addition, the first new customers have already been confirmed for 2022/23 [11].


๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ซ๐ญ?

Yes, I've been in almost from the beginning and have regularly been in the falling knife since then. From just under 26 euros to 11.50 euros, all prices were there. And I will continue to buy.


๐–๐š๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐š๐ซ ๐๐จ๐œ๐ก ๐ ๐ฅ๐ž๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ฐ๐ข๐ž๐๐ž๐ซ ๐๐ž๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌรถ๐ง๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐ž ๐„๐ฆ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ก๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ง๐ , ๐๐ข๐ž ๐ ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ซ๐ญ ๐ค๐ž๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐€๐ง๐ฅ๐š๐ ๐ž๐›๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ฎ๐ง๐  ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ?

Buy.



Sources


[1] https://corporate.aboutyou.de/de/about-us/own-labels

[2] https://www.aboutyou.de/h/second-love/

[3] https://ir.aboutyou.de/download/companies/58027/Pressreleases/220329_ABOUT_YOU_mit_starkem_vorlaeufigen_Q4_und_Jahresergebnis_2021_2022.pdf

[4] https://www.scayle.com/de/kunden

[5] https://corporate.aboutyou.de/de/presse/hypewear-digital-fashion-by-about-you-das-fashion-tech-unternehmen-gruendet-eine-plattform-fuer-digitale-fashion

[6] https://www.ottogroup.com/de/ueber-uns/konzernfirmen/AboutYou.php

[7] https://www.finanzen.net/insidertrades/about_you

[8] https://ir.aboutyou.de/websites/about-you/German/2000/aktie.html

[9] https://ir.aboutyou.de/websites/about-you/German/3010.html?newsID=2224747

[10] https://ir.aboutyou.de/websites/about-you/German/3010.html?newsID=2184594

[11] https://ir.aboutyou.de/download/companies/58027/Pressreleases/220329_ABOUT_YOU_mit_starkem_vorlaeufigen_Q4_und_Jahresergebnis_2021_2022.pdf

[12] https://www.deraktionaer.de/artikel/commerce-brands-unicorns/gruender-will-weg-about-you-auf-rekordtief-20249282.html

[13] https://www.fool.de/2022/04/26/about-you-aktie-crasht-on-no-news-jetzt-ein-kauf/

[14] https://www.fool.de/2022/03/18/warum-die-about-you-aktie-faellt-und-mr-market-mal-wieder-total-danebenliegt/

[15] https://www.finanzen.net/kursziele/about_you

[16] https://www.otto.de/jobs/technology/techblog/



All figures / data were last updated on 02.05.2022.


#analyse
#fashion
#aktien
#esel
#stocks

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46 Comments

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nice post @ccf, but hugo Boss will of course be the better platform ๐Ÿ‘€
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@Derebete where did the EA contribution go โ˜น๏ธ
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@KapriolenSonne must improve something and search out an old Battlefield post
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@DonkeyInvestor no, they have expressed at some point as a future goal to build a platform where other "premium" brands can sell their stuff
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@Derebete Can they do sometime gladly ๐Ÿคฃ
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Read it later. Nevertheless already gives a @ccf
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My wife leaves there so much money can only go steep.
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At 5โ‚ฌ I also get in ๐Ÿคก Is just hard to form a judgment if you do not know the systems of Zalando and co. Also, I see Shopify this year alone already want to hire as many people as AboutYou has employees at all as a great danger. Especially because they collect data from various markets and according to job descriptions probably also work on metaverse/crypto stuff. Anyway here ne ๐Ÿฅ• and a @ccf ๐Ÿš€
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@KapriolenSonne But Zalando & Co. don't license their store system to B2B customers either? The 'original' Shopify should probably not be a competitor. The situation is different with Shopify Plus, of course, which serves a similar clientele. Nevertheless, I see room for more than one player on the market and believe that the combination of renting out the store platform + actively using the store platform itself is very attractive, especially in the fashion sector. Addendum: Differentiation between Shopify and Shopify Plus sharpened
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@KapriolenSonne it's time. Please buy.
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@DonkeyInvestor I'm still waiting for Palantir to stand at 5โ‚ฌ and then redeem the promise at the same time with you and @SharkAce. Vallah Billah or so
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@KapriolenSonne I kept my word with Cloudflare and I expect the same from you with Palantir... and fuck that garbage place About you haha
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@SharkAce today we have shark fin for dinner
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@DonkeyInvestor @SharkAce well a symbolic share. And Cloudflare is to sink further wants to repurchase dangรถ
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@DonkeyInvestor first a donkey steak with carrots!
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@SharkAce is certainly a cash cow
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@DonkeyInvestor I'll let you know if any gold nuggets come out of the toilet later.
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Find the company also super interesting ... sadly my reddest position in the portfolio with -29%๐Ÿคฃ
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@Fledermausklaus Only -29%? You lucky ๐Ÿคฃ
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@DonkeyInvestor haha shillst you with the post about your shitcoins in the portfolio to find new bagholders? ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ
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@Fledermausklaus According to this, About You is my biggest shitcoin right now ๐Ÿคฃ
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Nice contribution ๐Ÿ‘Œ what would interest me in this context or makes me wonder is the low KUV and in addition the price decline, which is already continuing somewhat. Keyword, VALUE TRAP. Unfortunately, there is probably not much figures yet. I could only find the negative EBITDA margin in a hurry. That's just lousy. But should this be a one-off, of course, it's still okay. Let's see what comes out on 24.5. I just see in Q1 that the equity is very low. Many years of losses are therefore no longer possible. Possibly this is also punished in the price of the last months. A lot of debt, little equity, little cash. But this is only an initial assumption. I can also be wrong, because this was just a quick guess. Perhaps many do not see the potential.
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@TheAccountant89 No, there really isn't much in the way of figures, which is why I have held back on typical KPIs. The main business at the moment is the fashion marketplace, and About You is probably primarily perceived as such. Under this premise and in the current market environment, I can understand the valuation. I could well imagine that Scayle is still flying under the radar here - or that I am simply completely wrong with my assessment. Profitability should be achieved in the next financial year, the losses are not excessively high in my view and the Otto Group stands behind About You. Accordingly, I am reasonably confident that the large share of debt capital will not break the company's neck.
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the one on the gif is me! next time ask for permission! @ccf
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@Gaylord sorry. Would give you half a carrot if you give me permission afterwards ๐Ÿฅ•๐Ÿฅฒ
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@DonkeyInvestor permitted๐Ÿฅ•
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๐Ÿ†˜ future pennystock. Growth was pumped up before ipo and now the house of cards is collapsing. You have made a lot of effort but probably do not want to admit that you are wrong here. Zalando and many other competitors what shows in very poor margins. Softwarebusiness store system provider isr only conditionally scalable and shopify a too strong and cheap competitor. See no USP unfortunately
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@Hase23 thank you for your opinion and criticism, it's extremely valuable to shed light on different aspects! I've already admitted to myself a financial mistake very often and then also corrected it (at a loss). But here I actually see a great future opportunity. If it were only about the marketplace, I would at least agree that About You has a difficult position and tough competition here. However, due to the combination of shopping platform + use of its own platform, I definitely see an advantage here. The future will show whether About You ends up as a penny stock or turns green in my portfolio at some point ๐Ÿฅฒ
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The onktionary and motley fool ๐Ÿ˜ญ
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@SquirtGame I say yes, no one has more idea than me. But maybe someone is interested ๐Ÿ˜œ
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I think they're good, too. tough year for tech/e-commerce ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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I'm already inside and just bought more today ๐Ÿ˜
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๐Ÿฅ• ๐Ÿฅ’ ๐Ÿ•
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You can slowly get 100 shares. ๐Ÿค” Can only fall by a maximum of 5 euros๐Ÿ˜…
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@TimundStruppi I can only recommend ๐Ÿ˜…
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@DonkeyInvestor ๐Ÿคฃ but are you sure about Depot? When I worked there, they were working on Go Live for salesforce
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Because of your enthusiasm, I have just opened a small gambler position
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@TimundStruppi I bought the last time at 4.9 euros. My position is now full for the time being. You can also open another one directly for $GTLB.
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@DonkeyInvestor oh no git is not mine I have a personal aversion to it, professionally ๐Ÿคฃ
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Shopify too strong.

Missing in the article *Advertising
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@leveragegrinding The 'original' Shopify is unlikely to be a competitor. The situation is of course different with Shopify Plus, which serves a similar clientele. Nevertheless, I don't see room for just one player on the market here and believe that the combination of renting out the store platform + actively using the store platform itself is very attractive, especially in the fashion sector.

Addendum: Distinction between Shopify and Shopify Plus sharpened
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Thank you
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