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HennRes | CTA Positions

CTA clearly indicate that they are cautiously bullish on S&P500 & $NDAQ (+0,53%) . The position is up 0.16%. The 1 month percentile is at 1, which was the highest level since last month. A cautious long position is opened.


Bonds look very long. The current position is 1%, which is also the highest level in a month. The value is also strongly long within 3 months (3MZ). The inflows in 10Y Treasuries point to a potential interest rate cut.


Looking at the dollar, the position is -3.22%, i.e. strongly short. The 1-year percentile is also at 0, which is historically the lowest value. A small indication that inflation is reducing the purchasing power of the dollar.


Gold is currently very strong at 3.91%. The rise is an indication that there is a risk of inflation.

attachment

Since I realize that a large number of people are not familiar with CTAs, I am currently working on a guide on how to interpret such values!

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4 Commenti

immagine del profilo
CTA GUIDE IN PROGRESS
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immagine del profilo
$NDAQ is wrong. You could link to $CSNDX or $EQQQ, for example.
immagine del profilo
Interesting, a similar model is used by @Prometheusmacro on Twitter, with which they have backtested outperforming the S&P500 over the last 60 years

However, as long as such models are not implemented with an ETF, for example, they are usually less attractive from a tax perspective compared to buy&hold.

Still really cool to see
immagine del profilo
@Ph1l1pp yes is from Twitter, but not from the user.
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