4G·

It has already fallen so far, it can't fall much further

$NOVO B (+6,25%)

$UNH (-1,29%)


According to Peter Lynch, sooner or later this statement will prove to be true. However, this may be much later than one would expect and in the meantime it may fall much lower...


He also writes something about fishing and having reached the bottom...


" trying to catch the bottom of a falling stock is like trying to catch a falling knife. It is usually a better strategy to wait until the knife reaches the bottom, gets stuck, swings back and forth for a while and finally comes to rest before trying to catch it.

Trying to pick up a rapidly falling stock leads to painful surprises because you usually catch it at the wrong moment.


If you are interested in buying a turnaround stock, you should have a more sensible reason than that the stock has fallen so far or that it looks like it can only go up from here."


$MC (+1,07%)

attachment


Quotes from:

One Step Ahead of the Stock Market - Peter Lynch - 1989

(S. 334-336)

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19 Commenti

immagine del profilo
What if we simply set up a savings plan at $HMWO and don't bother with such trivialities?
16
immagine del profilo
@GoDividend Then my crystal ball is gathering dust.
1
immagine del profilo
Novo Nordisk is no longer a quick hype share, but a solid investment for the future.
The fall in the share price has brought the share back to a more realistic value. One should not hope for quick, huge profits now. Instead, you can look forward to a solid total return of 10-12% per year. This comes from the good dividend and slower but reliable growth in the share price.
This is an attractive option for investors who take a long-term view and appreciate regular income
9
immagine del profilo
Yes, you're right in principle, but Novo Nordisk really isn't a chip shop.
It's definitely more like a chip shop. And they are doing well operationally, their net result is also great.
It is only the extremely high expectations that have made Novo such a hype stock.
If you take a long-term view, you will now find great entry prices. Novo is simply valued fairly to favorably.

And I am writing this without holding the share.
4
immagine del profilo
Therefore, always wait for the bottom to form, does not necessarily mean that it will hold (see my first purchase of novo) but the probability is high (see any other share of mine) 🥸
1
immagine del profilo
@Investingyoung although Droneshield was also down 60% at times 🤓
immagine del profilo
Strictly speaking, it could still fall by around €40. It won't, as there is also the diabetes business. But if the DKK 300 does not hold, it will head towards €30
1
immagine del profilo
Guys, read "Even God could not beat dollar-cost-averaging" by Nick Maggiulli. And I am quite convinced that you will notice how little chance you have to make extra -profit by buying the dip. So don't even try ti catch falling knife, bumping knife or whatever.
1
immagine del profilo
I think it will also go down with $BRK.B
1
immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 due to the resignation?
immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 very interesting. I think Berkshire should be properly analyzed. In other words, break the company down into its holdings, value each of them and see what comes out. However, after a short research I have now read that there is no holding discount here, but a clear premium compared to the pure book value. The market should actually correct this in a timely manner...
immagine del profilo
@Iwamoto
Let's see how the stock market reacts on Monday.
1
immagine del profilo
@Iwamoto
Do you think it makes sense to swap chipotel for $EAT?
1
immagine del profilo
immagine del profilo
@Iwamoto
Thank you . So it was already your thought
immagine del profilo
Stock price can always go down, but the different story is if the stock is ni the good price. You have many models like DCF, etc. That can give you good price target. I believe at this moment $NOVO B is quite discounted. The sector is predicted to grow by 30% in the next 5years. They have strong pipeline. So I just keep buying :)
1
One up on Wall Street. Super book! :) I also read it in English in 2020
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It just has to go up - GetQuin wants it that way. It's totally crazy how much money people are investing in this company that's going up in smoke.
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