2G·

A little gamble, or complete nonsense?

Hello everyone,


I've been thinking about the $CALM (-0,31%) share, but a completely different idea came to me at the same time. The bird flu seems to be quite well under control, or is on the road to recovery. However, I have now read more and more reports that this bird flu, also known as H5N1, is increasingly spreading to cattle and in some cases also to humans. I had also read that in the USA it is very difficult and strict to effectively protect other animals against H5N1 or to detect this infection first. Now my assumption was or is that many animals could also die there or have to be culled, which could lead to an increase in the price of the meat or the animals themselves. I'm sure this idea existed before me and I may be late with it. I will therefore take a small gamble that the prices for the animals will rise in the near future, as the USA is probably not fully aware of what might happen.

It is also possible that I am completely wrong, so I would like to know your opinion. I just ask for one thing: no moralizing, because I don't wish death or anything like that on any animal, it's just the possibility that this virus is completely underestimated there.

26.08
WisdomTree Live Cattle logo
Acquistato x150 a 8,423 €
1263,40 €
5
5 Commenti

immagine del profilo
Momentum fits.
I doubt whether H5N1 is responsible for this. The stuff has been rampant over there for a year.
It's more likely to be tariffs and environmental problems that are driving up prices.
1
immagine del profilo
@Epi However, H5N1 could still become critical, even if it has already been raging there for some time. At least I think so. I've read that controls on cattle are rather poor and that if there really is an outbreak, it could end in a severe animal pandemic. Of course, I don't want to paint anything on the wall, I just want to consider it. Thanks for your comment in any case. I should also consider other aspects.
1
immagine del profilo
@Wollitz The Americans have Trump, that could play into your hands. 😅
Considering his reaction to Covid19, he will first of all insult anyone who names a nationwide epidemic, then anyone who wants to fight it and finally anyone who confronts Trump with the consequences of his denial.
Perfect ground for millions of deaths. 😈
1
immagine del profilo
@Epi hahaha. I'd settle for rising cattle prices 😉 but you're probably not entirely wrong. 🤣
1
immagine del profilo
Is that also available as chicken?
Cow and chicken at the depot would be kind of fun even though I'm veg 😂
1
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