5Mes·

Hello everyone,


I often think about investing in the $NUKL (+3,99%) ETF. I have heard that the US has imposed an import ban on Russian uranium. Therefore, I assume that North American uranium companies could benefit from this. Is this just a vague assumption, or do you think there are solid reasons for this?


Facts:

Import ban on Russian uranium:

The USA has taken measures to reduce its dependence on Russian uranium. As part of the sanctions against Russia due to the Ukraine conflict, imports of Russian uranium are being restricted.


North American uranium companies:

There are several major uranium producers in North America, including Cameco in Canada and Energy Fuels in the USA. These companies could benefit from reduced competition from Russian suppliers.


Rising uranium prices:

The reduced availability of Russian uranium could increase demand for North American uranium, which could lead to higher uranium prices. Higher prices could increase the profits of uranium producers.


Political support:

The US government has announced its intention to promote domestic uranium production in order to secure the national energy supply and become less dependent on foreign suppliers.


Long-term demand:

With the global movement towards clean energy and the increasing need for nuclear power as a low-emission energy source, demand for uranium is expected to continue to increase in the long term.


In summary, there are some solid reasons to believe that North American uranium companies could benefit from current geopolitical developments. An investment in the $NUKL (+3,99%) ETF could therefore make sense in the current situation.


What do you think?

4
14 Commenti

immagine del profilo
I can imagine that the ETF will benefit greatly from rising demand in the coming months and years. I am also considering investing.
1
immagine del profilo
@Max095 Have you already made a decision?
1
immagine del profilo
@MrStonkss not yet and you ?
1
immagine del profilo
@Max095 I had decided in favor of Cameco in the short term and recently sold it again. Now, like you, I am still considering whether to invest in the ETF.
1
immagine del profilo
@MrStonkss will invest in the ETF
immagine del profilo
Kazakhstan is the largest exporter of uranium.
So either $KZAP
Or the North American variant $CCO
The ETF is already relatively expensive with a TER of 0.55%.

Edit: I don't think uranium mining in the USA is sustainable, especially for environmental reasons, which are slowly gaining in importance in the USA too.
Nobody wants to have a mine like that in their neighborhood, so I would rather bet on Kazakhstan.

Or $YCA, which buys uranium, stores it and sells it on at a profit
immagine del profilo
@Der_Dividenden_Monteur

Two questions:

Does it make sense to invest in just one uranium company?

Why did you name exactly these two companies?

Do you think that America will want to buy from such countries again after the Russian events? Wouldn't it make sense to move production to the western regions? What reasons could there be for keeping production abroad or bringing it home? What do you think about this?
immagine del profilo
@Der_Dividenden_Monteur So do you think Kazakhstan will benefit more than Canada?
immagine del profilo
@MrStonkss if etf then rather the $URNM which unfortunately is not tradable here.
That's why I chose $CCO as the price performance follows the uranium price or the price performance of the ETF.

No, I don't see a problem with Kazakhstan. As the USA continues to buy from such countries, Germany continues to buy Russian gas, but via India.

I don't see Kazakhstan as an endangered trading partner, as uranium exports make up a large part of the BiP. They are certainly not going to mess it up.

And on the subject of bringing uranium back to the West, no country wants to do that if it has alternatives. See the mining of coal or iron ore.
immagine del profilo
@Der_Dividenden_Monteur Thank you very much.

Do you think uranium will play a big role at all in the next few years? I think nuclear power will be important for hydrogen production. What do you think? You seem to know a lot about it.
immagine del profilo
@MrStonkss Kazakhstan accounts for 43% of global uranium production. So yes.
https://www.bgr.bund.de/DE/Themen/Energie/Kernbrennstoffe/kernbrennstoffe_node.html#:~:text=Rund%2085%20%25%20der%20Weltf%C3%B6rderung%20wurde,21.200%20t%20Uran%20erneut%20Kasachstan.&text=Mit%20Stand%20Juni%202023%20befanden,darunter%20allein%2021%20in%20China.
immagine del profilo
@MrStonkss I'm a bit unsure about hydrogen😅 I think that many countries, unlike Germany, will continue to rely on nuclear power plants and so there will still be a market
immagine del profilo
@Der_Dividenden_Monteur I can only buy the Kazatomprom share via my broker (Trade Republic) as a GDR, does this have any disadvantages?

Should I rather buy Cameco?
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