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21SatsCapital
@SatsStacker
3G·

"Monthly" DCA or FOMO buy 😅

25.06
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Bitcoin
Acquistato a 106.627,90 USD
20
9 Commenti
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Darth Vader@TheRealDarthVader
3G
Fomo buy bei 100k?!
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getused@getused
3G
@TheRealDarthVader still early
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immagine del profilo
Darth Vader@TheRealDarthVader
3G
@getused maybe for DCA but it will go back to at least 80k if not 50-60k. 4 year cycle…
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getused@getused
3G
@TheRealDarthVader yes thats what i think too. But in to longrun it doesnt matter…
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immagine del profilo
Darth Vader@TheRealDarthVader
3G
@getused hmm depends would rather lump sum 10‘000 at 60k than 120k. If it goes up to 240k i would have 40‘000 not 20’000 for example.
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getused@getused
3G
@TheRealDarthVader I see BTC in 5-10 Years on 1 Mio or more.. i have a good income and can buy BTC now… the time horizon is shrinking for most people to buy 0.5 or 1 BTC.. i will get to my goal without timing to much.. this cycle i will sell 10-15% of my holdings between 140-250k.. depends on the macro und indicator when.. then i stack fiat for 1 year and will try to buy a lot end of 2026.. then DCA to the next cycle top… whats your strategie?
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immagine del profilo
Darth Vader@TheRealDarthVader
3G
@getused Good to have a plan! I agree with you that the time horizon is shrinking to buy that amount. I was arguing purly about the max gain with least amount of my time invested. I will start DCA at 75k and then make a lump sum investment around 50k or so. Based on the 4 year cycle the low should come in between august 2026 and may 2027. Since I want to build up like a 70% all world etf allocation I paused the Bitcoin investment to build that up. But in your case I get the point if you have the money go for it but I would never go all in with bitcoin at the all time high even if you could outlast the bear market! In the case of Bitcoin i‘d argue that at least some form of Timing is better thant blind lump sum✌️
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immagine del profilo
21SatsCapital@SatsStacker
3G
@getused Indeed, in the long term, it doesn't matter much, so I try to avoid timing the market since I can't beat it. 😅

However, I always struggle with whether to switch from monthly DCA to bi-weekly or weekly DCA. In the end, I often give in to FOMO and stick with monthly FOMO DCA, and buy once my salary arrives to keep things simple. 😅
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getused@getused
3G
@SatsStacker i like to buy when the fear and greed index is in fear or extreme fear 😅
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