3Settimana·

Paratus Energy Services (PLSV): A fundamental reassessment of the value opportunity 📊

$PLSV (-0,53%)
Investment thesis:


Paratus Energy Services has a unique combination of institutional backing, diversified cash flows and structural growth drivers that justify a systematic re-rating.


Institutional validation:


  • Lodbrok Capital (18.4% stake) signals strong confidence in long-term strategy
  • Growing retail attention: +350% social media mentions, TradingView score 87/100


Operational excellence:


  • Fontis Energy: Pemex strategy 2025-2035 (1.6 trillion pesos) secures Mexican jack-up demand
  • Seagems JV: USD 1.7 billion backlog, 36% market share in the Brazilian PLSV sector
  • Archer stake: Strategic position in the USD 120 billion decommissioning market


Key financial figures:


  • Free cash flow: USD 528 million (annualized Q1 2025)
  • Net debt reduction: -19% YoY
  • Current dividend yield: 22.3%


Dividend sustainability - fact check:


Critics point to high payout ratios based on net income. This view is misleading:


  • FCF payout ratio: <10% (highly conservative)
  • Diversified cash generation: Three independent sources of income
  • Balance sheet strength: USD 176m cash position


Price target projection:


- 12 months: NOK 58-62 (+42-52%)

- 36 months: NOK 75-85 (+83-108%)

- 60 months: NOK 90-110 (+120-169%)


Technical indication:


Stabilization above NOK 40 support, next resistance at NOK 47.


Disclaimer: This presentation does not constitute investment advice and is based on publicly available information and personal assessments. Any investment decision should be made after own due diligence and taking into account individual risk appetite. Past performance is not an indicator of future results.


As the author, I hold positions in the security mentioned.

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