3G·

Why I believe in Jumia so much, an analysis of the figures

Analysis of the quarterly figures for $JMIA (+0%) - Q2 2025 (period until June 30, 2025)


1. turnover & growth


Revenue rose to USD 45.6 million in the second quarter of 2025, which corresponds to an impressive increase of 25 % compared to Q2 2024 (or +22 % at constant exchange rates).


Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) reached USD 180.2 million, which is +6 % (or +5 % in constant FX). Excluding the South African and Tunisian markets, GMV for physical goods grew by 10 % .


2. profitability & losses


The operating loss was reduced to USD 16.5 million, a decrease of 18 % compared to the previous year (or -21 % in constant FX).


Adjusted EBITDA loss decreased to USD 13.6m (-17% YoY or -19% in constant FX) .


The pre-tax loss amounted to USD 16.3 million, an improvement of 28 % compared to the previous year (-17 % in constant FX).


3. cash position & liquidity


Jumia has a liquidity position of USD 98.3 million, which has decreased by USD -12.4 million compared to Q1 2025 (in Q2 2024 it was only USD -8.7 million; compared to Q1 2025 with USD -23.2 million) .


At USD -12.7 million, operating cash flow was significantly more positive than in the first quarter (USD -21.2 million) and also better than Q2 2024 (USD -8.4 million), supported by a strong working capital contribution of USD +4.1 million.


4. key operating figures & market trends


Number of orders grew by 18% YoY, while active quarterly customers increased by 13


In Nigeria in Q2: orders increased by 25 %, GMV even increased by 36 % .


Sales of international items (cross-border) grew by 36 % YoY .


5. outlook & guidance


The Executive Board raised the forecast for the full year 2025:


Orders for physical goods to grow 25-30% YoY (previously 20-25%).


GMV is now expected to grow by 15-20% (previously 10-15%).


Expected pre-tax loss narrowed to USD -45 million to USD -50 million (previously USD -50 million to USD -55 million).


Long-term: break-even (before taxes) targeted in Q4 2026; full profitability planned for 2027 .


Conclusion and why I $JMIA (+0%) continue to buy


The company is delivering remarkable sales and GMV growth rates - especially in the core physical goods business.


Nigeria stands out as a strong growth driver, and cross-border sales are also booming.


The increased efficiency is reflected in falling losses, improved operating cash flow and a fuller liquidity base.


Strategy & future prospects:


The raised outlook for 2025 signals confidence in growth power and operational discipline.


The clearly communicated targets - break-even at the end of 2026, profitability in 2027 - create transparency for investors.


There are also other aspects such as the use of AI, etc.


🚀💎🦍$JMIA

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2 Commenti

immagine del profilo
Jumia will manage to double its losses by 2028. Perfect share for those who are betting on growth. Negative growth, but growth nonetheless 🚀
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immagine del profilo
So a large capital increase could not be any more obvious
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