3Gยท

GEO Group Q2โ€™25 Earnings Highlights

$GEO (-1,45%)


๐Ÿ”น Revenue: $636.2M (Est. $622.0M) ๐ŸŸข; +4.8% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EPS: $0.22 (Est. $0.17) ๐ŸŸข

๐Ÿ”ธ$300M Buyback announced


Q3 & Q4 Guidance

๐Ÿ”น Q3 EPS: $0.20โ€“0.23 (Est. $0.26) ๐Ÿ”ด

๐Ÿ”น Q3 Revenue: $650Mโ€“660M

๐Ÿ”น Q3 Adj. EBITDA: $115Mโ€“125M


๐Ÿ”น Q4 EPS: $0.28โ€“0.35 (Est. $0.36) ๐Ÿ”ด

๐Ÿ”น Q4 Revenue: $658Mโ€“673M

๐Ÿ”น Q4 Adj. EBITDA: $132Mโ€“147M


FY25 Guidance

๐Ÿ”น FY Adj. EPS: $0.84โ€“0.94 (Est. $0.93) ๐ŸŸก

๐Ÿ”น FY Revenue: ~$2.56B

๐Ÿ”น FY Adj. EBITDA: $465Mโ€“490M

๐Ÿ”น FY CapEx: $200Mโ€“210M


Other Metrics

๐Ÿ”น Net Income: $29.1M vs. ($32.5M) YoY

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EBITDA (Q2): $118.6M

๐Ÿ”น H1 Revenue: $1.24B

๐Ÿ”น H1 Net Income: $48.7M vs. ($9.8M) YoY

๐Ÿ”น Net Debt (post-sale): ~$1.47B; Net Leverage: ~3.3x


Commentary

๐Ÿ”ธ โ€œWe believe our equity is undervalued and the $300M buyback reflects our strong conviction.โ€ โ€“ Exec. Chairman George C. Zoley

๐Ÿ”ธ Lawton sale generated $312M; partial proceeds used to acquire Western Region Detention Facility

๐Ÿ”ธ 4 major ICE facility activations in 2025: Delaney Hall, North Lake, D. Ray James, and Adelanto

๐Ÿ”ธ Adelanto center reopened after court restrictions lifted; ramping expected to add $31M annual rev

๐Ÿ”ธ Extended ISAP contract with ICE through August; new bidding underway


Strategic & Company Updates

๐Ÿ”ธ $300M share repurchase authorized through June 2028

๐Ÿ”ธ Lawton Correctional Facility sold to State of Oklahoma for $312M

๐Ÿ”ธ Acquired Western Region Detention Facility (San Diego) for ~$60M

๐Ÿ”ธ Facility activations expected to add ~$240M in combined annual revenue at full ramp

3
Partecipa alla conversazione