1Settimana·

Adobe: Asymmetric opportunity after insider purchase?

"Adobe Director, David A Ricks, purchased 2,250 shares of Adobe's common stock on January 28, 2025, at a price of $443.976 per share, totaling $998,946. Following this transaction, Ricks directly owns 4,984 shares and indirectly owns 3,913 shares through a trust. The shares were acquired as part of a planned annuity payment from the David A Ricks 12-2022 Grantor Retained Annuity Trust."


Link: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1538604/000079634325000038/xslF345X05/wk-form4_1738284337.xml


Adobe $ADBE (+1,04%) is 32% below its 52-week high and looks anything but pretty. At 24.1x, the stock is trading at the lowest EV/EBIT in over 10 years (with the exception of the end of 2022).

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Director David A. Ricks has now acquired the company for approx. 1m $ shares, which is no small purchase for him considering his previous purchases.


Adobe has some competitive advantagesincluding switching costs, a dominant market position and a successful subscription model. The company continues to grow in the double digits per year and shows high, stable margins (gross margin: 89%, free cash flow margin: 37%). Last year saw the highest buybacks ever, an indicator of an undervalued share. They are also sitting on 7.8 bn $ cashwhich exceeds the long-term debt.


Artificial intelligence (AI) is both an opportunity and a threat for Adobe $ADBE (+1,04%) both an opportunity and a threat:

  • Adobe $ADBE (+1,04%) is trying to integrate AI directly into its programs.
  • At the same time, competing products such as Midjourney, Canva, etc. are increasingly calling classic creative software into question. This is depressing sentiment.


What do you think? Will Adobe $ADBE (+1,04%) successfully adapt and maintain its market leadership? Or will they lose market share in the long term?

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5 Commenti

immagine del profilo
1Settimana
1 year savings plan, no return achieved so far. The figures are actually good. Due to the AI, there is uncertainty about the future. Let's see what the second year brings.
1
immagine del profilo
@Simpson The figures look good. However, it may well be that the negative AI sentiment will keep the shares down for longer - possibly permanently if they lose market share. I don't actually have it on my priority list. However, the insider purchase has piqued my interest.
1
immagine del profilo
Do you currently see a clear purchase?
immagine del profilo
@Memo0606 For me, it is not at the top of my wish list. I am very selective with my stock picks. 60% chance that they will hold their ground - 40% chance that they will have problems in the long term due to AI. However, the insider purchase has piqued my interest. You know the saying: "There are countless reasons to sell a stock - but only one reason to buy it."
2
immagine del profilo
Perhaps worth a gamble with options
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