European tech stocks are now navigating a complex mix of optimism and caution. On one hand, AI advancements are creating new opportunities for semiconductor and infrastructure firms. On the other, uncertainty around AI disruption and trade policy continues to create volatility.

A key moment for clarity will come when Nvidia ($NVDA (+0,95%) ) releases its quarterly earnings. Strong results could validate the AI investment cycle and benefit firms like ASML ($ASML (+1,43%) ), Infineon ($IFX (+0,79%) ), and STMicroelectronics ($STMPA (-0,62%) ), which are critical to AI chip manufacturing and power systems.

- - - -

What to Watch for in European Markets Next Week

Looking ahead, European investors will closely watch a few key events that could shape market direction:

• Nvidia Earnings and AI Sentiment – The AI sector will remain a focal point, particularly as companies like ASML and Infineon rely on continued demand for next-generation chip manufacturing and infrastructure.
• Rolls-Royce Earnings and Aerospace Trends – The aerospace sector is seeing a resurgence in civil aviation and defense spending. Rolls-Royce ($RR. (+4,58%) ) raised its 2025 guidance and is expanding into nuclear energy and narrow-body engine markets.
• Oil Prices and Geopolitical Risk – U.S. military posturing toward Iran pushed oil prices up over 4%, adding to macroeconomic uncertainty according to CNBC analysis.

While AI and trade policy remain central, traditional industries are not immune to macroeconomic pressures.

The coming weeks will offer more clarity on both the pace of AI integration and the durability of consumer demand in a shifting economic landscape.

- - -

Source: CNBC

An extraordinary year comes to a close. The numbers speak for themselves: 2025 has been the year that confirmed my strategy, closing with a +52.46% return that significantly outperformed all major global benchmarks.

🏁 Benchmark Comparison:

🏆 My Portfolio: +52.46%

📊 S&P 500: +16.37%

💻 Nasdaq 100: +19.05%

🌍 MSCI World (SWDA): +14.50%

₿ Bitcoin (BTC): +35.20%

The strength of this portfolio lies not only in the total return but in its resilience. Despite natural market fluctuations, we maintained steady growth, closing almost every month in the green and managing the rare moments of drawdown with strict discipline.

📊 Monthly Performance:

📈 January 2025: +4.35%

📈 February 2025: +0.95%

📉 March 2025: −4.4%

📈 April 2025: +3.68%

📈 May 2025: +13.32%

📈 June 2025: +6.35%

📈 July 2025: +6.06%

📈 August 2025: +2.04%

📈 September 2025: +6.87%

📈 October 2025: +1.55%

📉 November 2025: -0.39%

📈 December 2025: +2.94%

Performance Summary: ✅ 2024: +4.75% ✅ 2025: +52.46% (YTD) 🔥 Since Inception (1.5 years): +59.7%

🏦 Focus: The Strategic Move on European Banks

Massive exposure to the European banking sector with stocks such as $UCG (+3,12%) , $BPE (+1,21%), $BBVA (+1,38%) , $ISP (+1,92%) , and $BMPS (-0,79%) was a primary key to our success. Here is why they performed so brilliantly:

Record Margins: Financial institutions fully capitalized on interest rates remaining elevated longer than expected, maximizing net interest margins.

Shareholder Returns: Aggressive dividend policies and massive buyback programs provided constant support to stock valuations.

Efficiency & Quality: Rigorous risk management kept non-performing loans (NPLs) at historic lows, while digitalization significantly reduced operational costs.

🔥 Top Performers: The Growth Engines

Beyond the banking sector, the portfolio was driven by exceptional assets:

$INSM (-0,7%): Performance fueled by the clinical and commercial success of ARIKAYCE and pipeline advancements in rare diseases, with 2025 revenue growth hitting 52%.

$RR. (+4,58%) A powerful industrial turnaround based on drastic restructuring, the global recovery of air travel (engine maintenance), and new defense sector contracts.

$NVDA (+0,95%) & $AVGO (+1,17%) : Undisputed leaders of the AI revolution. NVIDIA dominates data center infrastructure, while Broadcom benefits from record demand for custom AI chips and networking hardware.

🎯 Strategy for 2026

My objective remains the same: to outperform major global indices while maintaining a balanced risk profile. As you can see, our asset selection successfully captured the best of the bullish trend.

To those following me: thank you for your trust. If you are looking for a long-term investment aiming to consistently beat the benchmark, consider adding me to your copy traders in 2026—I intend to open this possibility soon.

Let's start 2026 with the same discipline! 🥂

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: All content in this post is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute a solicitation for public savings, personalized financial advice, or an investment suggestion. Trading involves the risk of capital loss. Remember that past performance is no guarantee of future results. Before investing or copying a portfolio, do your own research (DYOR) and evaluate your risk tolerance.

The mid-week session is defined by an aggressive shift from overextended Tech into Financials and Aerospace.

🌍 THE MACRO SHOCK: TRUMP’S VENEZUELA BLOCKADE

The biggest geopolitical mover today is the U.S. naval blockade of sanctioned oil tankers into Venezuela.

The Impact: Crude prices spiked >1% instantly. This is providing a massive tailwind for energy and commodity-linked sectors.

The Shift: This "geopolitical premium" is forcing capital into hard assets. Silver just hit a record high above $66, with Gold following. 🛢️🔥🥈

🇪🇺 EUROPE: INFLATION COLLAPSE & CENTRAL BANK FEVER

EU indices are ripping because UK CPI fell sharper than expected this morning (3.2% vs 3.4% exp).

The Reaction: A shockwave through the bond market. Traders are now pricing in a near-certain Bank of England (BoE) rate cut tomorrow.

The "Trifecta": We are in a "relief rally" ahead of tomorrow’s massive data dump: ECB, BoE, and U.S. CPI. Markets are front-running a Dovish pivot from Lagarde. 🏦📉

🏦 THE ITALIAN BANKING RALLY

$$BPE (+1,21%) (+2.1%) | $ISP (+1,92%) (+1.8%) | $UCG (+3,12%) (+1.7%)

The Driver: Resilience in Net Interest Margins (NIM) as the ECB easing cycle appears slower than feared.

The Catalyst: Massive shareholder distribution. $UCG (+3,12%) and $ISP (+1,92%) are acting as "cash machines," using buybacks to floor the price against any macro noise.

⚙️ AEROSPACE & DEFENSE MOMENTUM

$$RR. (+4,58%) (+1.75%) | $LDO (+6%) (+1.4%) | $RKLB (+2,71%) (+1.3%)

The Driver: Rolls-Royce ($RR.L) just initiated a new £200M interim buyback starting Jan 2, immediately following their £1B 2025 program.

Context: Institutional accumulation in Defense is at peak levels as a structural hedge against 2026 geopolitical uncertainty.

📦 RETAIL & CLOUD RESILIENCE

$AMZN (+0,71%) (+1.19%)

The Driver: Wall Street is digesting the delayed Non-Farm Payrolls (64k added, but unemployment at 2021 highs).

The Sentiment: "Bad news is good news." A weakening labor market gives the Fed more ammo to cut. $AMZN (+0,71%) is catching the bid as BMO Capital hikes PT to $304, citing AWS cloud acceleration. 📊💼

⚠️ SECTOR ROTATION: THE "AI BUBBLE" PAUSE

$NVDA (+0,95%) (-0.25%) | $BTC (+0,25%) (~$86.7k) | $TRX (+0,41%) (-0.4%)

The Analysis: Pure profit-taking. Capital is bleeding out of high-beta Tech and Crypto to fund the rally in "Value" equities (Banks/Industrials).

The Risk: If $NVDA (+0,95%) loses its 20-day EMA at the US open, expect a broader drag on the Nasdaq. 🏛️➡️💻

Hi there 👋 My name is Cloo and I just turned 19 years old. This is my current portfolio. I am planning on cutting my positions in $1211 (-1,3%) , $IFX (+0,79%) and $RR. (+4,58%) in the short/medium term. For my other positions I have a time horizon of 10+ years. I would love to get your opinion/advice on my current portfolio 🫶

My first 200% increase, time to take some profit.

$RR. (+4,58%)

The week kicks off with a strong, but highly selective, risk-on rally. Markets are piling into quality Tech and European Financials, while simultaneously selling off Chinese retail and speculative growth names.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Early Trading)

$SPX500 — Trading solidly higher, driven by strong performance in Tech and Financials.

$DJ30 — Moving up, following the broad positive sentiment.

$NSDQ100 — Leading the gains, as major tech components are firmly in the green.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (+0,95%) — Advancing higher, leading the AI and semiconductor space.

$GOOGL (+0,61%) — Moving up, showing solid strength in the mega-cap tech space.

$AVGO (+1,17%) — Up moderately, participating in the semiconductor rally.

$META (+0,29%) — Showing strong gains, continuing its upward momentum.

$MSFT (+0,9%) — Up slightly, tracking the positive tech trend.

$TSM (+1,37%) — Up slightly, showing resilience in the chip sector.

$RR. (+4,58%) — Up moderately, the industrial/aerospace stock shows strength.

$RKLB (+2,71%) — Down slightly, underperforming as speculative growth faces pressure.

$RGTI (+2,27%) — Down sharply, quantum stocks are experiencing significant selling.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (+0,71%) — Up moderately, participating in the mega-cap rally.

$BABA (-0,18%) — Falling sharply, the main source of weakness in the market today, dragging down the retail sector.

$CVNA (+1,08%) — Up moderately, recovering some ground.

$SHOP (+0,54%) — Down moderately, likely pulled down by the negative sentiment from $BABA$.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+0,27%) — Likely flat or slightly down, as investors rotate out of defensive pharma names.

$HIMS (+0,84%) — Holding steady, showing no significant price change.

$INSM (-0,7%) — Flat, the biotech sector remains cautious.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Trading higher, led by a strong rally in the banking sector.

GER40 — Trading cautiously higher, reflecting the positive sentiment.

$LDO (+6%) — Up strongly, the defense sector is showing significant strength.

$IBE (+0,85%) — Down slightly, utilities lag as investors move away from defensive assets.

$OKLO — Holding steady, the nuclear tech stock is flat.

$CS (+1,04%) — Up moderately, joining the rally in European financials.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+3,12%) — Advancing higher, part of the strong European banking rally.

$ISP (+1,92%) — Up strongly, showing clear outperformance.

$BPE (+1,21%) — Surging higher, continuing its massive rally and leading the Italian banks.

$CE (+2,68%) — Up strongly, another standout performer in the Italian banking sector.

$BBVA (+1,38%) — Up strongly, the Spanish bank is showing significant gains.

$AXP (+0,55%) — Up moderately, the payments sector is positive.

$V (+0,33%) — Down slightly, counter-trending the financial sector's strength.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50$ — Likely closed mixed to negative, heavily impacted by the sharp sell-off in $BABA$.

_p_ Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is trading loweras risk appetite favors other currencies.

$EURUSD — Moving higheragainst a weaker Dollar.

$USDJPY — Drifting loweras the Yen gains some ground.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+0,85%) — Holding steady, gold is flat as investors move into equities rather than safe havens.

$CDE (+2,29%) — Flat, mirroring gold's lack of direction.

$BRENT / $WTI — Likely trading higheron risk-onsentiment and a weaker Dollar.

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+0,25%) / $ETH (+1,09%) — Likely moving higher, following the Nasdaq and the risk-onmood.

$TRX (+0,41%) — Down slightly, underperforming the broader crypto sentiment.

$CRO (+1,18%) — Not shown, likely tracking the positive risk-ontrend.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (+0,45%) / $VGT (+0,7%) / $CNDX — Holding steady (from image), but the underlying components signal they are trading higher.

$BND (-0,7%) — Flat, as bond yields likely rise (prices fall) in a risk-onmove.

🔎 Deep Dive: The "Quality Growth" Rally

Today is a "flight to quality growth." The market is not buying everything; it is highly selective. There is clear strength in established Tech ($NVDA, $GOOGL) and a massive rally in European Banks ($BPE.MI, $BBVA.MC). However, there is clear weakness in Chinese Retail ($BABA, $SHOP) and speculative Tech ($RGTI, $RKLB). This divergence signals that investors are willing to take risks, but only on assets with strong fundamentals or clear momentum, while dumping assets exposed to Chinese macro or high speculation.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.

It's the last day of the month, and the market is exploding higher, in a strong risk-onmove driven by a series of stellar earnings in the Tech sector. The day is dominated by impressive rallies, although key divergences remain.

🇺🇸 US Equities (Pre-market/Open)

$SPX500 — Futures are moving decidedly higher, driven by the Mega-Cap rally.

$DJ30 — Up, as positive sentiment spreads.

$NSDQ100 — In a strong rally, the index is being pulled higher by $AMZN$ and $GOOGL$.

💻 Tech & Growth Snapshot

$NVDA (+0,95%) — In a solid rise, the stock is outperforming and leading the AI sector.

$GOOGL (+0,61%) — Rallying strongly, the market reacts with euphoria to its earnings, pushing the stock higher.

$AVGO (+1,17%) — Slightly down, counter-trending the sector, showing weakness.

$META (+0,29%) — Up, the stock is recovering lost ground and joining the positive sentiment.

$MSFT (+0,9%) — Slightly up, attempting a modest recovery along with the Nasdaq rally.

$TSM (+1,37%) — Slightly up, showing resilience in the chip sector.

$RR. (+4,58%) — Slightly down, the industrial/aerospace sector is weak.

$RKLB (+2,71%) — Slightly up, showing cautious optimism in the new techspace.

$RGTI (+2,27%) — Up, the quantum sector follows the speculative sentiment.

🛍️ Retail & Commerce

$AMZN (+0,71%) — Exploding higher, the stock is dominating the market with an impressive rally, clearly following earnings that beat all expectations.

$BABA (-0,18%) — Falling sharply, continuing its negative performance, crashing against the US tech trend.

$CVNA (+1,08%) — Up, the stock is participating in the risk-onmove and recovering ground.

$SHOP (+0,54%) — Stable, failing to benefit from the $AMZN rally.

⚕️ Health & Pharmaceutical

$LLY (+0,27%) — Slightly down, the defensive Pharma sector is being sold as capital rotates into Tech.

$HIMS (+0,84%) — Stable, awaiting catalysts.

$INSM (-0,7%) — Stable, the biotech sector is flat.

🇪🇺 Europe & Industrials

STOXX 600 — Mixed, Europe is not fully participating in the US rally.

GER40 — Mixed/Slightly down, reflecting uncertainty.

$LDO (+6%) — Slightly up, the defense sector shows some strength.

$IBE (+0,85%) — Slightly up, utilities are stable/positive.

$OKLO — Stable, the nuclear stock is flat.

$CS (+1,04%) — Down, the European financial sector is weak.

🏦 Banking & Finance

$UCG (+3,12%) — Slightly up, the Italian banking sector is mixed.

$ISP (+1,92%) — Slightly up, showing modest strength.

$BPE (+1,21%) — Solidly up, continuing its outperformance and positive trend.

$CE (+2,68%) Up, another strong performer in Italian banking.

$BBVA (+1,38%) — Up, the Spanish bank is recovering ground.

$AXP (+0,55%) — Slightly down, the payments sector is weak.

$V (+0,33%) — Down, following the weakness in $AXP$.

🌏 Asia

$JPN225 / $KOSPI / $HK50 / $CHINA50 — Closed mixed/negative, weighed down by weakness in Chinese stocks ($BABA$).

💱 Forex

$DXY — The Dollar Index is stable/slightly down, reflecting the conflicting sentiment.

$EURUSD — Stable/Slightly upagainst a weaker Dollar.

$USDJPY — Stable.

💎 Commodities & Precious Metals

$GLD (+0,85%) — Stable, gold is flat, not benefiting from the defensive sell-off or the tech risk-on.

$CDE (+2,29%) — Stable, following gold.

$BRENT / $WTI — Down, oil is dropping due to demand fears (e.g., $BABA data).

💰 Crypto

$BTC (+0,25%) / $ETH (+1,09%) — Up, crypto is following the risk-onrally led by $AMZN and $GOOGL.

$TRX (+0,41%) — Up, the altcoin sector is participating in the positive sentiment.

$CRO (+1,18%) — Up, in line with the sector.

📈 Benchmark ETFs

$VOO (+0,45%) / $VGT (+0,7%) / $CNDX — The real sentiment is being pulled higher by their main components.

$BND (-0,7%) — Stable, investors are also looking for safety in bonds.

🔎 Deep Dive: The Great Earnings Divergence

Today is the definition of a "stock market," not a "market of stocks." There is no single sentiment. Quarterly results are creating massive divergences:

1. The Winners: $AMZN (+0,71%) and $GOOGL (+0,61%) are on fire, saving the $NSDQ100 single-handedly.

2. The Losers: $BABA (-0,18%) is collapsing, signaling weakness in Chinese and speculative retail.

3. The Isolated Strong:Italian banks ($BPE (+1,21%) , $CE (+2,68%) ) and $BBVA (+1,38%) continue to outperform.

4. The Defensives:Gold ($GLD (+0,85%) ) is flat, while Pharma ($LLY (+0,27%) ) and European financials ($CS (+1,04%)

) are weak.

Follow the Analysis:

For daily real-time market insights, deep dives, and trading discussions, follow me on X: https://x.com/ThomasVioli

To copy my portfolio, strategies, and complete trade insights, you can follow me on eToro: https://www.eToro.com/people/farlys

⚠️ Disclaimer:Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the loss of capital.