From the $HEI (-0,82%) and $WFC (+0,57%) sales, some cash goes into the clearing account and most of it into a small position $ADBE (+1,26%) . Although the stock has actually been performing well for a long time, an attractive opportunity could now present itself.
Discussione su ADBE
Messaggi
115Which stocks are currently the most hated?
I'll start with the following three:
Adobe $ADBE (+1,26%)
AMD $AMD (+0,6%)
Nike $NKE (+0,05%)
Which ones are missing from your point of view? Where is the sentiment at the bottom?
![immagine del profilo](https://static.getquin.com/thumbnails/6b9ee54d3581b9a4ad878d37ffd6e67f.jpeg)
![](/_next/static/media/10_month_badge_low_quality.c3855aa0.png)
Adobe: Asymmetric opportunity after insider purchase?
"Adobe Director, David A Ricks, purchased 2,250 shares of Adobe's common stock on January 28, 2025, at a price of $443.976 per share, totaling $998,946. Following this transaction, Ricks directly owns 4,984 shares and indirectly owns 3,913 shares through a trust. The shares were acquired as part of a planned annuity payment from the David A Ricks 12-2022 Grantor Retained Annuity Trust."
Adobe $ADBE (+1,26%) is 32% below its 52-week high and looks anything but pretty. At 24.1x, the stock is trading at the lowest EV/EBIT in over 10 years (with the exception of the end of 2022).
Director David A. Ricks has now acquired the company for approx. 1m $ shares, which is no small purchase for him considering his previous purchases.
Adobe has some competitive advantagesincluding switching costs, a dominant market position and a successful subscription model. The company continues to grow in the double digits per year and shows high, stable margins (gross margin: 89%, free cash flow margin: 37%). Last year saw the highest buybacks ever, an indicator of an undervalued share. They are also sitting on 7.8 bn $ cashwhich exceeds the long-term debt.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is both an opportunity and a threat for Adobe $ADBE (+1,26%) both an opportunity and a threat:
- Adobe $ADBE (+1,26%) is trying to integrate AI directly into its programs.
- At the same time, competing products such as Midjourney, Canva, etc. are increasingly calling classic creative software into question. This is depressing sentiment.
What do you think? Will Adobe $ADBE (+1,26%) successfully adapt and maintain its market leadership? Or will they lose market share in the long term?
![attachment](https://static.getquin.com/thumbnails/b91be3ea7aeec77994fc1b1b216e4e81.jpeg)
Make clever use of your tax refund: What would you do with EUR 1,613?
Yesterday I set myself the challenge of completing my tax return using the Taxfix tax software and submitting it to the tax office on the same day. The expected result was EUR 1,613.00. To be honest, I had expected a higher refund in tax year 2024 due to the high tuition fees of around EUR 4,240 and other factors. But as is so often the case in life, the tax office and the tax return surprise us in an amusing way. :-)
Imagine you receive an additional capital inflow of EUR 1,613.00 - how would you use this amount? Would you invest in new shares, build on your existing positions, invest in ETFs, go for precious metals or plunge into the world of cryptocurrencies? I look forward to hearing your ideas and personal experiences on this scenario!
Out of pure interest in an exchange of opinions: If you can take a look at my current portfolio, which positions would you consider worth buying in the event of a similar influx of capital? I am also happy to receive the odd humorous comment ;-)
#etfs
$VHYL (+0,07%)
$FUSD (+0%)
$D6RM (-0,2%)
#stock
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$GOOGL (-1,01%)
$MS (-0,43%)
$CS (+0,69%)
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$CNQ (+0,49%)
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$MC (-0,09%)
$DHL (+0,25%)
$TKA (-0,24%)
$RIO (-1,53%)
$ADBE (+1,26%)
$MPW (-1,38%)
#stock
$BICO (-2,08%)
$9866 (-4,27%)
$SVA (+0%)
$TECO (-67,57%) (Insolvency filed)
#krypto
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![attachment](https://static.getquin.com/thumbnails/cfbe23ab57d7a313e0d8064a538d5829.jpeg)
Second tip: Start building up a solid ETF position and run a savings plan on it.
Podcast episode 73 "Buy High. Sell Low."
Podcast episode 73 "Buy High. Sell Low."
Subscribe to the podcast to beat cancer.
00:00:00 Donald Trump inauguration
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00:26:00 Groupon $GRPN (-0,24%)
00:30:20 Palantir $PLTR
00:35:00 Insider Trading
00:40:20 Netflix $NFLX (-1,39%)
00:59:00 Adobe AI $ADBE (+1,26%)
01:01:00 Alibaba $BABA (+1,67%)
$9988 (+0,94%)
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$89618
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01:16:40 PDD Holdings $PDD (+0,89%)
01:19:00 Xpeng $9868 (-6,69%)
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01:21:00 Nio, BYD, Xiaomi, Huawei $9866 (-4,27%)
$NIO (-5,24%)$1810 (-2,8%)
$XIACY (-3,25%)
$81810
01:28:00 Li Auto $AUTO (+6,53%)
$LI (-4,3%)
01:35:20 Bitcoin $BTC (-1,86%)
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/4xzXvdMeMtWs5fgYoQaNHU?si=3JuxaaqaQ2KM55PHh5IYWg
YouTube
Apple Podcast
Adobe Business Expansion
$ADBE (+1,26%) Adobe is at an inflection point, leveraging strong ARR growth across Digital Media and Document Experience while integrating AI technologies to boost enterprise adoption and monetization.
AI-driven enhancements are expanding ARPU and opening spots for upselling premium services.
The current stock price dip, trading below its 5-year average valuation metrics and the broader software industry, presents a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors.
The company has also been historically consistent with returning value to sharholders.
![attachment](https://static.getquin.com/thumbnails/1678bacfc06b094f61d01e9b90888710.jpeg)
I never found information that they do
Analyst updates, 03.01.25
⬆️⬆️⬆️
- Raymond James Upgrades Block Inc (SQ) to Outperform
Raymond James analyst John Davis upgraded Block Inc (NYSE: SQ) from Market Perform to Outperform with a price target of $115.00. $SQ (-2,66%)
- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB upgrades KNORR-BREMSE from Sell to Hold and raises price target from EUR 63.60 to EUR 65. $KBX (-0,19%)
- EXANE BNP upgrades UBS from Neutral to Outperform and raises price target from CHF 27 to CHF 35. $UBSG (-1,06%)
- BERENBERG raises the price target for TALANX from EUR 91.10 to EUR 95.30. Buy. $TLX (-0,39%)
- BERENBERG raises the price target for SNP from EUR 56 to EUR 61. Hold. $SHF (-0,45%)
⬇️⬇️⬇️
- UBS lowers the price target for ADOBE SYSTEMS from USD 525 to USD 475. Neutral. $ADBE (+1,26%)
- JEFFERIES lowers the price target for SCHOTT PHARMA from EUR 31.80 to EUR 26.34. Hold. $1SXP (-0,46%)
War chest plundered
What a turbulent week on the stock market, I had to buy more 😅 How are things looking for you?
$KLAC (+0,37%)
$ADBE (+1,26%)
$SIKA (+0,16%)
$HOLN (-0,17%)
$MBG (-0,92%)
$CVX (+0,89%)
$MRNA (-3,58%)
$ADBE (+1,26%) | Adobe Q4 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $5.61B (Est. $5.54B) 🟢; +11% YoY
🔹 Adjusted EPS: $4.81 (Est. $4.67) 🟢; +12.6% YoY
🔹 RPO: $20B; +16% YoY
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $23.3B-$23.55B (Est. $23.78B) 🔴
🔹 Adjusted EPS: $20.20-$20.50 (Est. $20.52) 🔴
Q1 Outlook:
🔹 Revenue: $5.63B-$5.68B (Est. $5.72B) 🔴
🔹 Adjusted EPS: $4.95-$5.00 (Est. $4.95) 🟡
Q4 Revenue Breakdown:
🔹 Subscription Revenue: $5.37B (Est. $5.28B) 🟢; +13% YoY
🔹 Product Revenue: $81M (Est. $99.8M) 🔴; -29% YoY
🔹 Services & Other: $160M (Est. $154.8M) 🟡; -6.4% YoY
Key Financial Metrics:
🔹 Adjusted Operating Income: $2.60B (Est. $2.53B) 🟢; +11% YoY
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: Record $2.92B in Q4; FY2024 total: $8.06B
🔹 Share Repurchases: 4.6M shares in Q4; 17.5M for FY2024
Segment Performance:
Digital Media:
🔹 Revenue: $4.15B; +12% YoY
🔹 Document Cloud: $843M; +17% YoY
🔹 Creative Cloud: $3.30B; +10% YoY
Digital Experience:
🔹 Revenue: $1.40B; +10% YoY
🔹 Subscription Revenue: $1.27B; +13% YoY
Key Takeaways:
🔸 Adobe delivered record FY2024 revenue of $21.51B and strong cash flow performance.
🔸 FY2025 guidance reflects a $200M forex headwind and subscription transition impacts.
🔸 RPO Growth highlights continued demand for Adobe's cloud platforms.
CEO Commentary:
🔸 "Our AI-driven innovation across Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud continues to fuel the digital economy and position Adobe for sustainable growth."
I haven't been with Adobe that long, but I once read that Adobe management is known for issuing conservative guidance and then often exceeding it. Might be a buying opportunity in that case... 🤔
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