Martin (@MitVerstandzumKapital) su getquin

Economy on 14.03.2024...

Dax celebrates figures from E.ON and Co. Bitcoin over $73,000 ⤵️

$BTC (-0,5%)
Bitcoin over 73,000$. Who would have thought it? You always notice how sentiment towards stocks is when they are in the basement. Now you're constantly being asked whether it's still worth getting in. You can see how emotional most people are on the stock market. When it's low, everything always sucks, even though it's sometimes worth buying, and when it's rising, it's the best there is. Why not get in when the price is right? You don't just have to understand this in relation to BTC, but in general.

But why is there only ever talk of BTC? What about $ETH (-1,12%)
Ethereum. It too has more than doubled in value in recent months. It's important to remember that BTC now has approved spot ETFs and ETH is only just being discussed. I could therefore very well imagine that ETH will outperform BTC at some point in the ongoing bull market (only if the spot ETF really comes, of course). Crypto has now taken up over 50% of my portfolio. However, profits will be left to run until the targets are reached and then the reallocation will take place. It remains very exciting to see what dimensions will be reached here. However, I also think that this will be the last strong bull market in the sector now that the large institutions will dominate it.

Yesterday there were again some figures from Germany and Europe. Let's just take a look at a few of them. The market certainly celebrated them!

$EOAN (-1,91%)
E.ON achieves sales of €93.68 billion in 2023 (previous year: €115.66 billion), adjusted EBITDA of €9.37 billion (previous year: €8.05 billion, preliminary: €9.4 billion), adjusted EBIT of €6.38 billion (previous year: €5.19 billion), adjusted net profit of €3.06 billion (previous year: €2.7 billion, preliminary: €3.1 billion). For 2023, E.ON is proposing a dividend of €0.53 per share (previous year: €0.51 per share, analyst forecast: €0.53 per share). In its outlook for 2024, E.ON expects EBITDA (adjusted) of €8.8 to €9 billion (forecast: €8.6 billion), an adjusted net profit of €2.8 to €3.0 billion (forecast: €2.7 billion) and investments of €7.2 billion (forecast: €6.5 billion). In the years from 2024 to 2028, E.ON plans to invest €42 billion (forecast: €34.5 billion). For 2028, the Group is forecasting EBITDA (adjusted) of over €11 billion (forecast: €9.8 billion).

$ADS (-2,05%)
adidas generates 2023 final sales of €21.4 billion (PY: €22.5 billion, preliminary: €21.4 billion), a final operating profit of €268 million (PY: €669 million, preliminary: €268 million) and a net result from continuing operations of -€58 million (PY: €254 million). Adidas proposes an unchanged dividend for 2023 unchanged dividend of €0.70 per share for 2023 (forecast: €0.52). Outlook confirmed, for 2024 further operating profit of around €500m and sales growth (ex FX) in the mid 1-digit percentage range expected.

$ZAL (-1,46%)
Zalando will achieve a GMV of €14.6 billion in 2023 (previous year: €14.8 billion, forecast: €14.7 billion), sales of €10.1 billion (previous year: €10.34 billion, analyst forecast: €10.2 billion), EBIT (adjusted) of €349.9 million (previous year: €184.6 million, forecast: €280.2 million) and net profit of €83 million (previous year: €16.8 million, forecast: €98.55 million). The company's outlook for the period up to 2028 sees average sales growth of 5% to 10% and and GMV growth of +5% to +10% per year on average. For 2024, Zalando expects GMV growth of 0% to 5% (forecast: €15.3 billion), sales growth of 0% to 5% (forecast: €10.5 billion) and EBIT (adjusted) of €380 to €450 million (forecast: €381.2 million). In 2028, Zalando expects an EBIT margin (adjusted) of 6% to 8%.

$KCO (-1,05%)
Klöckner achieves sales of €7.0 billion in 2023 (previous year: €8.3 billion, analyst forecast: €7.65 billion), EBITDA (adjusted) of €190 million (previous year: €355 million, company forecast: €170 to €200 million) and a net result of -€190 million. The dividend per share of €0.20 (previous year: €0.40, analyst forecast: €0.15) amounts to. In the outlook for the first quarter, the company expects an increase in adjusted EBITDA of €30 to €70 million compared to the previous quarter. In the outlook for 2024, Klöckner expects a "significant increase" in adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year.

$FRA (-0,91%)
Fraport 3.9 million passengers in Frankfurt in February, +12.9% compared to the previous year; -15% compared to February 2019. Cargo Frankfurt at 153,473 metric tons, +4.7% compared to the previous year.

$VOW (-1,76%)
Volkswagen-Group achieves sales of €322.3 billion in 2023 (previous year: +15.5%), operating profit of €22.6 billion (previous year: +2%) and profit after tax of €17.9 billion (previous year: +13%, €15.8 billion). The dividend for 2023 is expected to amount to €9.06 per preference share.

$MOR
Morphosys generated sales of €238.3 million in 2023 (previous year: €278.3 million) and posted a loss of €189.7 million (previous year: -€151.1 million). Operating result of EUR -252.5 million in 2023 after EUR -220.7 million in the previous year Takeover by $NOVN Novartis expected to continue in the first half of 2024. The process is progressing steadily. Monjuvi sales at 85.0 million euros (previous year 84.9 million).

Economic data for today:

10:30

DE: ECB Director Elderson, speech at the European Banking Federation Executive Committee meeting

12:00

EU: ECB Director Schnabel, speech at ECB Money Market Contact Group meeting

13:30

US: Retail Sales February FORECAST: +0.8% yoy previous: -0.8% yoy Retail Sales ex Motor Vehicles FORECAST: +0.4% yoy previous: -0.6% yoy
US: Initial jobless claims (week) FORECAST: 218,000 previous: 217,000
US: Producer Prices February PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.3% yoy Core rate (excluding food and energy) PROGNOSE: +0.2% yoy previous: +0.5% yoy

15:00