immagine del profilo
Il commento è stato cancellato
immagine del profilo
@Simpson According to the polls, it will be black-red-green or must become black-blue-BSW.

Anything else would not get a majority. FDP currently not even at 2%, so out of parliament.
1
immagine del profilo
Black blue bsw sounds good, anything else would hardly be a change
3
immagine del profilo
@Staatsmann Black-red would also work (loosely).
immagine del profilo
Unfortunately, nothing will change. The CDU will work together with the Greens and in the end the Greens. But in 4 years at the latest, it will be the end of the old parties
2
immagine del profilo
@DusselDuck Mathematically not yet.

Groko would somehow be 7% or so short.
And SPD does not want to work with AfD or BSW, so only the Greens remain.
1
immagine del profilo
@Staatsmann I don't know what data his assumptions are based on.
Latest Forsa survey from 05.11
https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/forsa.htm

CDU/CSU: 33%
SDP: 16%
Greens: 10%
AFD: 16%
BSW: 6%
CDU/CSU/SPD would therefore almost have an absolute majority together.
immagine del profilo
@Staatsmann You don't always need 50%, because some parties, perhaps a particularly large number in the next election, will fail at the 50% hurdle. As things stand, I see a new grand coalition as the only possible option at the moment.
immagine del profilo
@DusselDuck I still had the one from the previous week in my head and there the GroKo would have come to 43%.
But off the top of my head, I don't know which research institute.
immagine del profilo
@DieEnte7 You mean the 5% hurdle.
2
immagine del profilo
@DusselDuck That's right, everyone would probably fail at the 50% hurdle 😂
2