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@Simpson According to the polls, it will be black-red-green or must become black-blue-BSW.

Anything else would not get a majority. FDP currently not even at 2%, so out of parliament.
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Black blue bsw sounds good, anything else would hardly be a change
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@Staatsmann Black-red would also work (loosely).
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Unfortunately, nothing will change. The CDU will work together with the Greens and in the end the Greens. But in 4 years at the latest, it will be the end of the old parties
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@DusselDuck Mathematically not yet.

Groko would somehow be 7% or so short.
And SPD does not want to work with AfD or BSW, so only the Greens remain.
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@Staatsmann I don't know what data his assumptions are based on.
Latest Forsa survey from 05.11
https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/forsa.htm

CDU/CSU: 33%
SDP: 16%
Greens: 10%
AFD: 16%
BSW: 6%
CDU/CSU/SPD would therefore almost have an absolute majority together.
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@Staatsmann You don't always need 50%, because some parties, perhaps a particularly large number in the next election, will fail at the 50% hurdle. As things stand, I see a new grand coalition as the only possible option at the moment.
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@DusselDuck I still had the one from the previous week in my head and there the GroKo would have come to 43%.
But off the top of my head, I don't know which research institute.
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@DieEnte7 You mean the 5% hurdle.
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@DusselDuck That's right, everyone would probably fail at the 50% hurdle 😂
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