(@Zackdela79) su getquin

2Anno·

So technically speaking, the NASDAQ 100 has been in a bull market again since 06/17/2022 due to the rises of the last few days! Does that sound as crazy to you as it does to me? Just a short while ago doomsday mood and now bull market again? And just geopolitically it actually feels even worse.

But: The stock market trades the future and that means as long as Putin and Xi Jinping don't escalate further, interest rates really fall again in 2023, inflation declines as planned, the recession is really mild as priced in, etc., that may be it and the other American indices will soon be bullish again. I am more skeptical about Europe, etc.

What do you think? Or do you think the above parameters will still "tip"? As far as that is concerned, I can really imagine anything.

5 Commenti

mano@mano

2Anno

I don't think it's assessable at all. There are too many "trouble spots" and the markets are generally overvalued. The correction was not as drastic as expected...

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Cassius@DS0711

2Anno

My crystal ball told me that things were going to go really well towards winter. But it didn't say whether it meant the courses or New Year's Eve.
Joking aside.
I personally believe that a crash is coming. Especially with regard to the real estate market. It was only in July that the ban on evicting tenants who couldn't/wouldn't pay their rent during coronavirus was lifted. Instead of the bans, many states have now implemented recovery programs. Added to this are the unemployment figures in the USA, which looked relatively good in the past, but not because more jobs were created, but because 10,000s of people left the labor market every month and did not retire.
Add to that inflation, interest rates and political tensions almost everywhere in the world.
So I see difficult times ahead, but it remains to be seen whether they will really come.

However, as I don't really have a reliable crystal ball, I am increasingly trying to invest in "crisis-proof" stocks that also have little or no debt. The P/E ratio should also remain within reasonable limits.

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Smudo@Smudeo

2Anno

@Zackdela79 There are statistics and strategies that are optimized again and again. When is a bull or bear market, candlestick chart, KCV, VIX, etc.? So whoever says A can also say B. If you had the newspaper with the prices from 2023 in your hand, you would know what was in between.

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MJO@Inselkind

2Anno

Honestly, it sounds too good and simple to be true, even if it gives the impression that it is. Germany is currently losing its position as an industrial nation and Europe is losing geopolitical influence. In the short to medium term, things are not looking good for the euro either.

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