Memo0606 · 2024-09-11T18:16:20.423795Z

Would you take profits on $ULVR currently? am 30% up

1Anno

Nö

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Memo0606@Memo0606

1Anno

@Hotte1909 do you also have a reason 😅

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beetlejuice@beetlejuice

1Anno

@Memo0606 Why don't you tell us a reason why you would sell?

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Memo0606@Memo0606

1Anno

@beetlejuice because i think consumer goods will correct in the near future

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Patrick Schäfer@Hotte1909

1Anno

@Memo0606

1.
You probably have a dividend yield of just under 3.9%, which is already quite respectable.
2.
Chart picture and outlook are good. I wouldn't buy a larger tranche at the moment, but I personally have it in my savings plan anyway.
3.
Why should consumer staples be down? We are not talking about any luxury items here, but about hair shampoo, ketchup etc.
4.
Margin after tax is just under 11% Cash flow is available. 65% payout ratio for just under 3% return is not outstanding but okay. Sales have grown by around 2.25% so far this year compared to the previous year. If they manage to bring the margin back up to 13 or even 14%, they would have a profit of around 7.9bn. Which would mean a dividend of around €2.05 if the payout remains the same. In your case, that would be around 4.5% plus share price growth at the same P/E ratio, which would put the share price at around €71, i.e. just under 21%, although this scenario is of course very optimistic.
I rather see a P/E ratio of 19, which still means an increase of just under 3%.

In summary, you are making a return of just under 7.5% with a relatively defensive stock, which is absolutely okay. So why do you want to sell it? Because the share price could correct by just under 15% if all targets are missed? Then you would still be 15% up.

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Memo0606@Memo0606

1Anno

@Hotte1909 thanks for the detailed answer
I will remember

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Epi@Epi

1Anno

Because you're up 30%?
How are you ever going to make 1000% with this strategy?

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Chris@1Chrischi1

1Anno

1. do not think we will see a -30% correction
2. then buy after
3. the dividend
4. after a correction usually comes a bigger uptrend
5. established company and not a startup...
6. shares are not a sprint but a marathon

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Name M.@userc818a6f2df6247c9

1Anno

I had also once considered taking 30% with me at MunicRE.
Then forgot about it (really). Was ill...
And now I'm up over 100%....

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Jan@Jann

1Anno

As a short-term trader yes, as an investor no.

You have to know what time horizon you intend for the various positions.

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Name M.@userc818a6f2df6247c9

1Anno

Why take profit? Give your reason.... too early chart-wise?
Because it's September?
Because you have other plans for it?
When do you want to get back in?

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Memo0606@Memo0606

1Anno

@userc818a6f2df6247c9 because i assume a correction in consumer goods, for example

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capital_guru_169@capital_guru_169

1Anno

Limit profits Let losses run /s

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