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Strong quarterly results and plans for a spin-off boost Valmet's stock

Hello, everyone,

Many of you have been asking for updates on dividend growth stocks from time to time.

A dividend yieldthat will reach 7% by 2028 might bring a little joy to some of the dividend investors among you.


That’s why, fresh off the quarterly earnings report, I’ve $VALMT (+0,04 %) .


As always, I’d love to hear your opinions and thoughts in the comments.


Valmet Oyj Reports H1 Results

July 24, 2026,

  • Pressemitteilung by Valmet Oyj (VOYJF): Earnings per share: €0.59, +22% year-to-date
  • Adjusted EPS: €0.73, +15% year-over-year
  • Net revenue: €2,560 million, +6% year-to-date
  • Orders received: €2,466 million, -14% year-to-date
  • Order backlog: €4,259 million, -10% year-over-year
  • Comparable EBITA: €266 million, flat year-over-year
  • Comparable EBITA margin: 10.4%, down 0.5 percentage points year-over-year
  • EBITA: €232 million, up 19% year-to-date



Valmet Initiates a Strategic Review to Evaluate a Potential Separation of the Two Segments

July 24, 2026,

The Board of Directors of Valmet Oyj has decided to initiate a strategic review to evaluate a potential separation of its two core businesses, Biomaterial Solutions and Services and Process Performance Solutions, into two independent publicly traded companies. The review will focus on assessing whether separating the two businesses and operating them as separately listed companies on the Nasdaq Helsinki would create additional value for shareholders compared to the current combined structure.

Both of Valmet’s core businesses report as standalone segments and have grown into large, largely independent, profitable companies, each with a strong market position and sufficient scale to enable them to succeed independently. With the recent completion of the Severn acquisition, which has increased Process Performance Solutions’ annual net sales to approximately 1.7 billion euros and with the renewed operating model now firmly established, the Board of Directors believes this is the right time to assess whether a separation would unlock shareholder value by enabling each company to better realize its full potential.

The Executive Board also notes that the two core businesses operate relatively independently of one another, as they primarily serve different customer industries, have different business drivers, and exhibit different capital allocation profiles. Biomaterial Solutions and Services is a global technology and lifecycle services company focused on the pulp, cardboard, paper, tissue, and energy industries, with a competitive advantage based on a large installed base, advanced technology, global presence, strong customer references, and global service penetration. Process Performance Solutions is a mission-critical automation and flow control company that serves a diverse range of industries. Over the past decade, the company has evolved from a business focused primarily on pulp and paper into a diversified industrial platform, with nearly 70 percent of its net revenue now coming from other industries.


Based on the Board of Directors’ initial assessment, a spin-off would enable each company to pursue sustainable, profitable growth opportunities more independently and efficiently, with the potential for a stronger management focus, greater agility, more tailored capital allocation, and more flexible access to external capital to support both organic and inorganic growth. The Executive Board will also examine whether a separation, if implemented, would improve transparency, simplify governance, and enable the capital markets to better recognize the full value of both companies.


Pekka Vauramo, Chairman of the Board, said:


“The Board of Directors continuously evaluates how to create the greatest possible long-term value for Valmet’s shareholders. Today, Valmet consists of two strong companies with different markets, growth opportunities, and capital allocation needs. Through this review, we will assess whether they can create more value as independent companies than they do together. We will proceed with a separation only if, after a detailed analysis, we conclude that the separation is clearly in the best interests of our shareholders.”

Thomas Hinnerskov, President and CEO of Valmet, said:


“Both of our companies are well-positioned, with strong customer relationships and market positions, as well as talented employees. This review reflects the strength and maturity of both companies, which we have built through strong execution, organic growth, and strategic investments into significant and successful businesses with the size, capabilities, and opportunities to create further value—both together and potentially as independent companies. This review does not change our commitment to our customers or our strategy. It is a priority for us to preserve the strength of our entire offering and the added value our customers gain from the synergy of services, automation, and technology. Throughout this process, our focus remains on serving our customers and creating value to support their success.”


Although the strategic review has been initiated, there is no guarantee that the review will lead to a transaction, including a separation. The Board of Directors will only implement or recommend changes to the Group’s structure if there is clear evidence of increased shareholder value. Valmet will provide an update on the review in connection with the publication of its 2026 full-year results.


Valmet leitet eine strategische Überprüfung ein, um eine mögliche Trennung seiner beiden Segmente zu bewerten | PaperFIRST


Valmet Oyj is an industrial group organized into five business areas:

- Services (35.5% of net sales): Production equipment for pulp, paper, and textile fibers, as well as bioenergy power plants; maintenance and repair; machine automation; and services to improve production processes. The Group also offers spare parts;

- Sales of machinery and equipment for paper manufacturing (21.5%);

- Sales of energy and pulp production equipment (16.2%);

- Sales of flow control solutions for the process industry (14.8%);

- Sales of factory automation systems (12%): monitoring and control systems, measurement systems, image processing systems, solutions to improve the efficiency of production processes, etc., intended primarily for the pulp and paper industry as well as power generation.

Net revenue is distributed geographically as follows: Europe/Middle East/Africa (37.9%), China (13.5%), Asia/Pacific (12.5%), North America (27.2%), and South America (8.9%).

Number of employees: 18,370


With a market share of 35–50% in key biomaterial processing technologies, Valmet has built one of the industry’s largest installed bases—a structural advantage that drives recurring revenue and long-term customer relationships. As one of the world’s leading service partners, Valmet supports customers throughout the entire lifecycle—from initial delivery through decades of operation.


Structural growth opportunities are identified in both segments. In the area of Biomaterial Solutions and Services , the goal is to double organic service growth to 8% and increase market share to 25% by 2030. Process Performance Solutions has become one of Valmet’s key drivers of growth and profitability. Within this segment, they provide critical technologies, automation solutions, and services that improve their customers’ resource efficiency, reduce emissions, and support their core operations. Following the acquisition of Severn, the segment’s annual net sales will rise to approximately 1 to 7 billion euros, further strengthening its strategic position within the Valmet portfolio. The goal is to grow organically at a rate more than double that of the market.


These ambitions are supported by strong fundamentals, a lean operating model, and a clear financial framework for 2030: 5% organic growth, a 15% comparable EBITA margin, and 20% ROCE.

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PowerPoint Presentation

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Juan’s Conclusion on Valmet’s Financial Metrics for 2025–2028

(brief, clear, investor-friendly)

Valmet delivers a stable, clean set of financials with clear improvement across the entire forecast period. Revenue is growing moderately, but profitability is picking up significantly —especially the EBIT margin rises each year, reaching nearly 11%, which is strong for an industrial plant manufacturer.

The free cash flow will surge sharply in 2027/2028, which fundamentally supports the stock. The Net debt is falling again, and leverage ratio falls to 1.17x by 2028 —a positive sign for balance sheet quality.

ROE is rising steadily, and EPS is growing at a double-digit rate— Valmet is becoming more profitable, more efficient, and more shareholder-friendly every year. For Juan, this is a classic “quality compounder” profile: no explosive growth, but a reliable, steady improvement in key metrics.

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Market Value 4,061

Number of Shares (in thousands) 184,238

Publication Date 02/06/2026


Juan’s Conclusion on the Valuation Metrics

Valmet is valued more favorably each year, while its cash flow and dividend power are increasing. The P/E ratio is falling from 18.6x to below 10x, and the P/B ratio is sliding toward 1.4x —clear downward pressure on the valuation, but without any loss of quality.

The FCF yield will rise to over 10% by 2028, which Juan sees as a classic “underpriced quality” signal . Dividends are growing steadily, yields are rising— Valmet is becoming more attractive to income investors every year.

A PEG ratio below 1 starting in 2027 indicates: the valuation-to-growth ratio is shifting into the comfort zone. For Juan, this is a calm, clean downward valuation driftthat provides fundamental tailwind.

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July 24, 2026, 5:34:03 PM •

Tradegate BSX (EUR)

26.94 EUR


$VALMT (+0,04 %)

31
6 Commentaires

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Thanks for introducing it to me and for reminding me about it. This stock has been on my watchlist for a long time, and with a 6% dividend yield, it was supposed to make its way into my portfolio. That would have happened in the next few days if it hadn’t just dropped too far—and now this 😬😬😂🤷‍♂️. But I’m still keeping a close eye on it because it’s a solid dividend stock. And what do we learn from this? A watchlist that’s too long is just as 💩💩💩 as having too many individual stocks in your portfolio. You lose track of things too quickly and end up overlooking what’s important 👀
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Thanks for the introduction, my dear 🫶
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Thanks for the introduction! :-)
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The company and its financials look good across the board. That's a nice presentation—thank you.
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Hello Tenbagger2024 and Juan,

First of all, a huge thank you to you, Tenbagger, for your consistently great, insightful, and detailed analyses! You regularly provide insights that offer real added value for income and dividend investors. The fact that you’ve dug up Valmet here right after the news about the strategic review shows just how closely you follow the market.

I’ve subjected your theses, Juan’s assessments, the screenshots, and the detailed Pro Research PDF from Investing to a thorough and unbiased fact-check. Here is the exact analysis—completely free of strategic “A-side/B-side” filters, based purely on the hard facts.

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### 🟢 Fact-Check of Tenbaggers’ Statements

You have an excellent sense of the company’s operational strengths. Most of your statements align perfectly with the analyst data:

* **Market Position & Employees:**
The number of employees you cited (18,370) is extremely precise; the research document mentions approximately 18,500 employees worldwide. Regarding market share, you’re very optimistic at 35–50% for biomaterials; the PDF estimates the global market share for pulp and paper machines at a strong, but slightly lower, 30–35%. Nevertheless, it is confirmed that Valmet ranks first or second globally in its core business areas.


* **Order Backlog & 2030 Targets:**
Your stated order backlog of 4.259 billion euros is precisely supported by the documents (approx. 4.2 to 4.3 billion euros). The ambitious financial targets for 2030 (15% EBITA margin, 20% ROCE) are also correctly cited from the company’s guidelines.


* **The Exclusive Scoop (Split):**
This is the highlight of your post! The strategic review regarding the split into two publicly traded companies is breaking news that hasn’t even been addressed yet in the regular Q1/FY25 research documents. This is a massive potential catalyst for the stock price, which you’ve quite rightly brought to the forefront here.

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### ⚠️ Fact-check on Juan’s financial and valuation conclusions (corrections needed!)

Juan paints a very rosy picture of a “quality compounder” here. While the basic direction is correct, I have to hit the brakes hard when it comes to the raw valuation metrics:

* **The P/E ratio decline (correction):**
Juan is right that the P/E ratio is falling sharply. The PDF confirms the drop from a P/E ratio of 19.1x (FY25) to a forward P/E ratio of just 10.2x for 2026. So, on the surface, the stock is becoming significantly cheaper.


* **Dividend Strength (Correct):**
The company has paid a dividend continuously for 13 consecutive years. According to the PDF, the dividend yield stands at a very attractive 6.04% (or 5.0% for the U.S. listing shown in the screenshot).


* **The PEG Ratio (Correction!):**
Juan claims that the PEG will fall below 1 starting in 2027, indicating a comfortable range for the valuation-to-growth ratio. However, the Investing data currently shows a **negative PEG ratio of -1.45**. Combined with a low growth rating (4 out of 10), this is not a “clean drift” but a genuine warning sign of short-term growth weakness.


* **FCF Yield & Margins (Correction):**
Juan mentions an FCF yield that jumps to over 10%. Currently, the screenshot shows a yield of 6.5%. He also praises the solid profitability but fails to mention that the EBITA margin temporarily slipped to 9.2% in Q1 2026 because projects with lower margins weighed on the revenue mix.

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### 🧩 What Tenbagger Didn’t Mention (Important Additions)

To complete the big picture for interested buyers, three crucial factors from the engine room are still missing:

1. **Cyclical Headwinds & Analyst Revisions:**
Valmet is currently struggling with overcapacity in the global pulp and paper market. This has led to a sharp 18% organic decline in order intake in Q1 2026. As a result, 4 out of 5 analysts have revised their EPS estimates downward over the past 90 days. This also explains why the stock is still trading lower than a year ago (-11.8%).


2. **The Infosys Deal:**
To boost profitability, Valmet entered into a long-term partnership with Infosys in June 2026 to modernize its IT systems. This is intended to help reduce operating costs and underpin the ambitious 2030 targets.


3. **Currency and Listing Check (Fair Value):**
An important note regarding your screenshots: The Investing screenshot shows the ADR’s price in U.S. dollars (ticker $VALMT at 30.59 USD) with a calculated fair value of 33.01 USD (7.9% upside).

The Investing Pro PDF refers to the home exchange in Helsinki, quoted in euros. There, an analyst fair value of 27.40 EUR (at a price of 22.40 EUR) is calculated, which corresponds to a higher upside potential of 22.7%.


**Conclusion:**
Tenbagger has presented a highly exciting special situation here (“spin-off” potential) paired with a strong 6% dividend yield. Operationally, the company is currently facing cyclical headwinds, but its strong services division (accounting for over 50% of revenue) is cushioning the worst of the impact.

An excellent turnaround and value play for patient investors!
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@Raketentoni As always, a great addition from HR. Prompt. Thanks for the compliments.
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