Hello community,
I bought for the first time today. Would buy more if there are further setbacks. What is your assessment of Under Armour in the short to long term?
Thank you and best regards
Discussion sur UAA
Postes
12
1Mo·
Under Armour Q1 Earnings
🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.02 (Est. $0.03 🔴)
🔹 Revenue: $1.10B; -4% YoY (Est. $1.13B 🔴)
Q2 Outlook
🔹 Revenue: -6% to -7% YoY (Est. -2.9% 🔴)
🔹 Gross Margin: -340 to -360 bps YoY (tariff/supply chain impact)
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $30M–$40M
🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.01–$0.02
Segment Performance
🔹 Apparel: $747M; -1% YoY
🔹 Footwear: $266M; -14% YoY
🔹 Accessories: $100M; +8% YoY
🔹 Wholesale: $649M; -5% YoY
🔹 Direct-to-Consumer: $463M; -3% YoY
🔹 Stores: +1% YoY
🔹 eCommerce: -12% YoY (31% of DTC)
Other Key Metrics:
🔹 North America rev: $670M; -5% YoY
🔹 International rev: $467M; -1% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 48.2%; +70 bps YoY
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $24M
🔹 Inventory: $1.1B; +2% YoY
🔹 Cash: $911M (no revolver borrowings)
CEO Commentary
🔸 “Our quarterly results met or exceeded expectations as we drive a bold transformation – sharpening Under Armour into a brand where sports credibility, innovation, and style meet operational discipline.” – Kevin Plank
55
5Mo·
Podcast episode 84 "Buy High. Sell Low."
Subscribe to the podcast so that the bottom is reached soon.
00:00:00 Market environment
00:21:40 Nike, Adidas, Puma, On Holdings, Lululemon, Under Armor
00:35:50 Finding the bottom: Vix, Oil Price, Baltic Dry Index, Gold, Bonds / Bonds, CME FED Watchtool, St. Louis FRED Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements, COT
01:18:30 Chevron, Exxon, Occidental Petroleum, BP, Shell
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production A1JKQL
WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil A0KRKU
iShares MSCI World Energy Sector A2PHCF
01:29:35 China shares
01:44:25 Container ship shares
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/28RlbWBRC6xGUJ8AkHVcFU?si=w1t0GJtDTWOwNuUADqWoPQ
YouTube
Apple Podcast
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$MAERSK A (-0,62 %)
$SHEL (+0,34 %)
$XOM (-0,87 %)
$CVX (-0,58 %)
$BP. (+1,22 %)
$OXY (+0,27 %)
$ADS (+1,58 %)
$NKE (+0,16 %)
$PUM (-1,42 %)
$UAA (+2,43 %)
$LULU (+3,86 %)
$WTI
$1BRN
$SPOT (+4,57 %)
$AAPL (-0,14 %)
$GOOG (+0,56 %)
$GOOGL (+0,52 %)
$BABA (-1,99 %)
$700 (-2,87 %)
$BYD (+1,05 %)
#china
#zoll
#podcast
open.spotify.com#84 China-Aktien, Öl-Aktien, Sportartikel-Aktien, Containerschiff-Aktien, Ende Zollstreit
5Mo·
New week New purchases
A few individual purchases are on the agenda this week.
The first share will be $MC (+1,62 %) . I have had it on my watchlist for some time and now I see a good entry point.
In addition $ASML (+6,93 %) will also be topped up.
And I have added to the watchlist $UAA (+2,43 %) let's see what they will do in the near future...
Hopefully a good start to the week :)
7Mo·
Nike is still "King of the Hill" (by far)
Sales of selected competitors of Nike $NKE (+0,16 %) :
Nike(USA): $49.0 billion, -8% in the last quarter compared to the previous year, $NKE (+0,16 %)
Adidas*(Germany): $24.6 billion, +7%, $ADS (+1,58 %)
Lululemon**(USA): $10.2 billion, +9%, $LULU (+3,86 %)
VF Corporation**(USA): $9.9 billion, +2%, $VFC (+4,34 %)
Anta Sports*(China): $9.7 billion, +14%, $2020 (-2,12 %)
Puma*(Germany): $9.3 billion, +0%, $PUM (-1,42 %)
Skechers**(USA): $8.7 billion, +13%, $SKX (+0 %)
New Balance*(USA): $7.8 bn, unlisted
Under Armour*(USA): $5.4 billion, -6%, $UAA (+2,43 %)
Deckers Brands**(USA): $4.6 billion, +17%, $DECK (+0,73 %)
ASICS*(Japan): $4.1 billion , +16%, $7936 (+1,06 %)
Li Ning*(China): $3.9 bn, +2%, $2331 (-2,22 %)
On Holding**(Switzerland): $2.5 billion, +32%, $ONON (+3,51 %)
Despite all its problems, Nike is still twice as big as Adidas and somewhat as big as its four main competitors (Adidas, Anta Sports, Puma, New Balance) combined. together.
The Nike share is currently in a 60% drawdown (the worst in 25 years) and is roughly at the level of the COVID-19 low in March 2020.
Attractive risk-reward ratio?
Is Nike a buy, hold or sell for you?
*Main competitor
**Competitor in certain segments
66
3 Commentaires
I'm thinking back and forth. Since my investment horizon is > 10 years, I'm leaning towards an initial entry in the near future and I'm convinced of Nike in the long term.
•
11
•7Mo·
Under Armour Q4'24 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: $1.40B (Est. $1.34B) 🟢; DOWN -6% YoY
🔹 EPS: $0.08 (Est. $0.03) 🟢; BEAT by $0.04
🔹 Gross Margin: 47.5% (Est. 46.83%) 🟢; UP +240bps
🔹 Net Income: $1M (Est. $19.84M) 🔴
Guidance:
🔸Q1'25 EPS: $0.28 - $0.30 (Est. $0.29) 🟡
🔸FY25 Revenue Decline: ~10%
Segment Revenue:
🔹 North America: $844M; DOWN -8% YoY
🔹 International: $558M; DOWN -1% YoY
🔹 Wholesale: $705M; DOWN -1% YoY
🔹 DTC: $673M; DOWN -9% YoY
Product Sales:
🔹 Apparel: $966M; DOWN -5% YoY
🔹 Footwear: $301M; DOWN -9% YoY
🔹 Accessories: $110M; UP +6% YoY
Operational Metrics:
🔹 SG&A: $638M; UP +6%
🔹 Operating Income: $14M; DOWN -80%
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $60M; DOWN -65%
Key Updates:
🔸 Restructuring Plan: Anticipated charges $140M - $160M, with $75M cash-related & $85M non-cash.
🔸 Distribution Center Closure: Rialto, California site shutdown.
🔸 Marketing Initiative: Multi-year brand storytelling & influencer strategy launched.
CEO:
🔸 "We’re improving margins, optimizing costs, and driving long-term brand strength."
55
9Mo·
Detailed Adidas share analysis $ADS (+1,58 %)
Company portrait
Long-term growth profile
Performance
Ukraine war
The economy
China
Yeezy / Kanye West
Management and strategy
Valuation & recovery
Quarterly figures & forecast
www.ideas-magazin.deadidas – Talsohle durchschritten | ideas Magazin
55
2 Commentaires
Personally, I think that Adidas has a real trump card up its sleeve with the brand.
Adidas Originals has a real trump card up its sleeve. Here you can constantly draw on history and sell old things to young people as hip.
The Samba shoe was my absolute favorite in my youth and now young people are wearing it again.
No big development costs and so you can sell a cheap shoe with a high margin.
It is similar with the textiles - the logo with the three leaves stands for noble and high quality, which of course improves the margins.
For me personally, the revival of old was a smart move.
And it always reminds you of your youth.
Adidas Originals has a real trump card up its sleeve. Here you can constantly draw on history and sell old things to young people as hip.
The Samba shoe was my absolute favorite in my youth and now young people are wearing it again.
No big development costs and so you can sell a cheap shoe with a high margin.
It is similar with the textiles - the logo with the three leaves stands for noble and high quality, which of course improves the margins.
For me personally, the revival of old was a smart move.
And it always reminds you of your youth.
•
55
•10Mo·
Analsyst updates, 08.11.
⬆️⬆️⬆️
- GOLDMAN upgrades BIONTECH from Neutral to Buy and raises price target from USD 90 to USD 137. $BNTX (-0,18 %)
- BOFA raises target price for UNDER ARMOUR from USD 9 to USD 13. Neutral. $UAA (+2,43 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for DELIVERY HERO from EUR 29 to EUR 35. Hold. $DHE
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for SIEMENS from EUR 197 to EUR 200. Buy. $SIE (+1 %)
- JEFFERIES raises the price target for HOCHTIEF from EUR 135 to EUR 138. Buy. $HOT (+2,59 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS from EUR 60 to EUR 62. Buy. $SHL (+0,46 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for NORDEX from EUR 18 to EUR 19. Buy. $NDX1 (+0 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for RATIONAL from 832 EUR to 841 EUR. Hold. $RAA (-1,02 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the target price for AXA from 37 EUR to 39 EUR. Buy. $CS (-0,35 %)
- WARBURG RESEARCH raises the price target for BASTEI LÜBBE from EUR 11.70 to EUR 12.20. Buy. $BST (-3,73 %)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for ARCELORMITTAL from EUR 28 to EUR 29. Buy. $MT (+1,92 %)
- DZ BANK raises the price target for SWISS RE from CHF 130 to CHF 140. Buy. $SREN (-0,75 %)
- ODDO BHF raises the price target for HEIDELBERG MATERIALS from EUR 99 to EUR 110. Neutral. $HEI (+1,52 %)
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX raises the price target for DAIMLER TRUCK from EUR 35 to EUR 41. Hold. $DTG (+1,86 %)
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX upgrades REDCARE PHARMACY from Reduce to Hold. $RDC (+2,11 %)
- ODDO BHF raises the price target for HENKEL from EUR 67 to EUR 73. Neutral. $HEN (-1,18 %)
- ODDO BHF raises the price target for FREENET from EUR 27 to EUR 28. Neutral. $FNTN (+0,04 %)
- BARCLAYS raises the target price for ABOUT YOU from EUR 3.10 to EUR 3.40. Underweight. $YOU (-0,22 %)
- BARCLAYS raises the target price for NEMETSCHEK from EUR 108 to EUR 125. Overweight. $NEM (+4,18 %)
⬇️⬇️⬇️
- BOFA lowers the price target for PINTEREST from USD 45 to USD 39. Buy. $PINS
- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for DAIMLER TRUCK from EUR 56 to EUR 55. Buy. $DTG (+1,86 %)
- UBS lowers the price target for JCDECAUX from EUR 21.60 to EUR 18.50. Neutral. $DEC (+0,26 %)
- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for ADTRAN HOLDING from EUR 9.70 to EUR 9.30. Buy. $ADTN (+5,83 %)
- ODDO BHF lowers the price target for NORDEX from EUR 18 to EUR 17. Outperform. $NDX1 (+0 %)
- BARCLAYS lowers the target price for VESTAS from DKK 99 to DKK 80. Underweight. $VWS (-0,24 %)
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX lowers the price target for FRAPORT from EUR 62 to EUR 59. Buy. $FRA (+0,54 %)
- BARCLAYS lowers the target price for GSK from GBP 15.50 to GBP 14.50. Equal-Weight. $GSK
- BERENBERG lowers the price target for COMPUGROUP from EUR 23 to EUR 21. Buy. $COP (-0,46 %)
- BERENBERG lowers the price target for JUNGHEINRICH from EUR 41 to EUR 39. Buy. $JUN3 (+0,63 %)
- JEFFERIES lowers the target price for SUSS MICROTEC from EUR 87 to EUR 75. Buy. $SMHN (+5,33 %)
66
10Mo·
$UA (+1,85 %)
$UAA (+2,43 %) | Under Armour Q3 '24 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.30 (Est. $0.19) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $1.4B (Est. $1.38B) 🟢; DOWN -11% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 49.8%, UP 200 bps YoY
🔹 Adj Operating Income: $166M (excluding one-time items)
🔹 Inventory: DOWN -3% YoY to $1.1B
Raised FY25 Outlook:
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.24-$0.27 (Prev. $0.19-$0.21) 🟢
🔹 Adj Operating Income: $165M-$185M (Prev. $140M-$160M) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: Expected to decline at a low double-digit percentage
🔹 North America: -14% to -16%
🔹 International: Low single-digit percent decline
🔹 Gross Margin: Expected to increase by 125-150 bps
🔹 Adjusted SG&A Expenses: Expected to decrease low-to-mid single digits (excluding litigation and transformation expenses)
🔹 Capital Expenditures: $190M-$210M
Q3 Demography Revenue:
🔹 North America: $863M; DOWN -13% YoY
🔹 International: $538M; DOWN -6% YoY
🔹 EMEA: DOWN -1%
🔹 Asia-Pacific: DOWN -11%
🔹 Latin America: DOWN -13%
Revenue Channels:
🔹 Wholesale Revenue: $826M; DOWN -12% YoY
🔹 Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Revenue: $550M; DOWN -8% YoY
🔹 eCommerce Revenue: DOWN -21%; accounts for 30% of DTC
Product Categories:
🔹 Apparel: $947M; DOWN -12% YoY
🔹 Footwear: $313M; DOWN -11% YoY
🔹 Accessories: $116M; UP +2% YoY
CEO Kevin Plank's Commentary:
🔸 "Our strategy to elevate Under Armour’s brand positioning is gaining traction, as evidenced by better-than-expected profitability, allowing us to raise our full-year outlook while increasing brand investment for long-term growth."
Fiscal 2025 Restructuring Plan:
🔹 Total estimated charges of $140M-$160M, with up to $75M in cash-related expenses
33
2Année·
Quarterly figures on 03.11.2022...
Feel free to leave a follow, because...⤵️
...at 5,000 followers there will be together with getquin, a small thank you for the community. But this post could already be created tomorrow. I look forward to it! On to today's quarterly numbers. In this post that I post every morning, I had announced what was happening today:
https://app.getquin.com/activity/ydggsOLkpb?lang=de&utm_source=sharing
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$BOSS (-0,25 %)
HUGO BOSS:
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SGL CARBON:
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Hannover Re:
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$UN01
Uniper:
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