$RCAT (-0,85 %) Red Cat Holdings - hot small cap or hot balloon?
I took a closer look at the shares of Red Cat Holdings (RCAT). After a price increase of over +300% in 2024, the company is definitely on the radar of many speculative investors. But is it worth getting in?
What does Red Cat actually do?
The company is based in Puerto Rico and builds military drones with its subsidiary Teal Drones - specifically for ISR missions (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance). The company has been part of the US Department of Defense's Blue UAS program since 2023. This is a real seal of quality in the defense sector.
A look at the figures:
Turnover 2023: USD 17.8 million
Net loss: USD -24 million
Cash burn rate: high - operating margin at -100%
Market capitalization: approx. USD 470 million
Current share price: around USD 5.07
Price/sales ratio (P/S): over 25 - sporty.
Where is the potential?
Red Cat could be a strategic beneficiary of the current global arms race. Drones are becoming massively more important - also within NATO. However, the company is still far from profitable and dependent on government contracts.
So is it in or out?
My conclusion:
Red Cat is a classic moonshot: lots of hype, lots of hope - but also lots of risk. It would be nothing for my core portfolio. But as a speculative 1-2% addition to a diversified portfolio? Definitely worth considering - especially in the event of a setback below USD 4.