The markets remain volatile and in times of crisis many investors look for stable investments. But which sectors and companies have historically proven to be particularly resilient or could even benefit?

Consumer staples - products that will always be needed

Companies such as Procter & Gamble $PG (-0,38 %) Nestlé $NESN (+0,42 %) or Coca-Cola $KO (-0,33 %) benefit from their strong market position and stable cash flows. People are always buying household products, food and beverages.

Healthcare sector - crisis-resistant growth stocks

Companies such as Johnson & Johnson $JNJ (-0,42 %) , Eli Lilly $LLY (+0,68 %) or Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-4,51 %) supply medicines and treatments that are in demand regardless of the economic situation. There is a particular focus on the boom in diabetes and obesity therapies.

Providers - Stable income through basic care

Companies such as NextEra Energy $NEE (-0,61 %) Duke Energy $DUK (-0,68 %) or Southern Company $SO (-0,71 %) are benefiting from the constant demand for electricity and water. Renewable energies are also playing an increasingly important role.

Commodities & gold - hedging against inflation & uncertainty

Gold mining companies such as Barrick Gold $ABX (-1,12 %) or Newmont $NEM (-0,6 %) often benefit in times of economic uncertainty, as investors flee to gold as protection against crises.

Defense & Armaments - Profiteers of geopolitical tensions

Rising military spending worldwide makes companies such as Lockheed Martin $LMT (-0,98 %) or Northrop Grumman $NOC (-0,52 %) into potential winners of long-term conflicts and global uncertainties.

This is just a small selection of companies. But hopefully it gives a small insight into the interesting crisis-proof sectors.

Defensive investors could now focus on consumer staples, healthcare and utilities for long-term stability. Opportunity-oriented investors could look to commodities, gold or defense if geopolitical tensions continue to rise.

#stockanalysis
#dividends
#growth#inspiration

2025 - A stock market year that has so far been more reminiscent of rough seas. It goes uphill and the next moment it goes abruptly downhill again.

The January began with a lot of Trump euphoria on the markets, before this was halted by DeepSeek in the second half of January.

The February recovered relatively quickly from this shock before falling again in the second half of the month. The Trump euphoria has turned into a Trump shock for the time being.

Nevertheless, I will continue to hold a 75-80% USA quota with a high proportion of tea.

I can get over the fact that after 2 years of outperformance against my benchmarks, there may be an underperformance this year.

Monthly view:

In total, February was -3,2%. This corresponds to price losses of almost 10.000€.

The MSCI World (benchmark) was down -2.5% and the S&P500 -1.4%.

Winners & losers:

A look at the winners and losers nevertheless reveals a surprising picture for the top performer in February.

But first a look at the losersThe biggest loser by far is Alphabet $GOOG (-1,54 %) With losses of almost €3,000, the share price took a heavy hit in February. This is followed by a total of almost €5,000 in price losses Bitcoin
$BTC (+1,93 %) & Ethereum
$ETH (+4,27 %) . 4th & 5th place goes to Salesforce
$CRM (-1,45 %) and TSMC $TSM (-1,23 %) two more tech stocks

On the winning side are actually at the top, much to my own surprise NVIDIA
$NVDA (-2,76 %) with a price gain of almost €1,000. And this despite the fact that NVIDIA lost over 10% on the penultimate trading day in February. Nevertheless, the recovery after the DeepSeek shock in February was greater than expected.

The top 5 includes Amgen
$AMGN (+0,09 %) and Johnson & Johnson
$JNJ (-0,42 %) two stocks from the healthcare sector, a rather defensive sector. These are joined by MercadoLibre $MELI (-0,75 %) and Palo Alto Networks $PANW (-1,16 %) but also two tech stocks.

The performance-neutral movements were positive again in February at € 900, after January was clearly negative due to a property purchase.

current year:

In the YTD my portfolio is still just in the plus with +0,6%. However, the MSCI World is up +1.9% and I am currently underperforming my benchmark.

In total, my portfolio currently stands at ~288.000€. This corresponds to an absolute growth of ~€3,000 in the current year 2025. ~1.000€ of this comes from price increases, ~500€ from dividends / interest and ~1.500€ from additional investments.

Dividend:

• Dividends in February were 19% above the previous year at ~€188
• At the top of the list Procter & Gamble
  $PG (-0,38 %) with now over €50 (gross) dividend every 3 months
• In the current year, the dividends after 2 months are +24% over the first 2 months of 2025 at ~350€

Buys & sells:

• I bought in November for ~800€
• 520€ shares
• 210€ ETFs
• Here I took up a new ETF via a savings plan, an ETF that normally does not correspond to my strategy at all. This is a Covered Call ETF on the NASDAQ $JEPQ (-1,52 %) - The ETF uses a covered call strategy to aim for a distribution of ~10% p.a. and still generate price gains. I know that this doesn't make sense from a tax perspective, but what the heck: you can have fun sometimes 😉
• 100€ crypto
• sales there were none in February

YouTube:

I uploaded a few new videos to YouTube in February and I'm starting to feel less stupid talking into a microphone.

I've also uploaded my portfolio update there as a video if anyone would like to see some more information about the portfolio performance in February:

https://youtu.be/iJZ0i3EO5Hs

Here I act according to the motto: Let's see what happens - What will happen!

Goal 2025

Building a house makes it particularly difficult to formulate a goal this year.

A certain savings rate? Difficult if additional costs are suddenly added

A certain deposit value? Also difficult, as I can't really back this up with my savings rate this year and the markets are very volatile.

The current portfolio balance is ~€290,000. I would estimate additional investments at ~€15,000. This would bring me to just over €300,000. I originally assumed a market return of 7% for this year. However, after the first two months it is difficult for me to estimate how this year will go.

That's why I'm being honest: A target doesn't make sense for me this year.

The goal is to build a successful house and for the portfolio we'll just see what happens.

#dividends

#dividende

#rückblick

#depotupdate

#aktie

#stocks

#etfs

#crypto

#personalstrategy

Share analysis Johnson & Johnson 💊🏥🇺🇸 $JNJ (-0,42 %)

- Company portrait

- Business model

- Operating business

- Performance

- Business strategy

- Management

- Quarterly figures

Link: https://www.ideas-magazin.de/2025/ausgabe-275/maerkte/johnson-johnson-stabilitaet-und-wachstum/?utm_source=techaktien-instagram&utm_medium=influencer&utm_content=aktie&utm_campaign=ideas-magazin

#johnsonjohnson
#johnsonandjohnson
#aktien
#analyse

Closed position as planned with approx. 10% profit. Had bought a small tranche in the meantime.

What are your favorites that you will keep for the next few years?

or do you have several 🤔

I only have Johnson and Johnson

and Merck in another portfolio

Novo Nordisk$NOVO B (-4,51 %)

J&J $JNJ (-0,42 %)

merck&co $MRK (-0,11 %)

and all the others that exist

In the current issue, "Der Aktionär" recommends these dividend stocks.

For a peaceful night's sleep (conservative):

• E.On $EOAN (+0,37 %)
• Johnson & Johnson $JNJ (-0,42 %)
• Munich Re $MUV2 (+0,02 %)
• PepsiCo $PEP (+0,06 %)
• Procter & Gamble $PG (-0,38 %)

Top dividend with medium risk can be seen in:

• Andritz $ANDR (-1,77 %)
• Freenet $FNTN (-0,78 %)
• Imperial Brands $IMB (-1,31 %)
• Traton $8TRA (-6,4 %)

Dividends with a yield kick are located in these shares:

• Frontline $FRO (-4,14 %)
• Petrobas $PETR3 (+0,49 %)
• Repsol $REP (-0,94 %)
• Stellantis $STLAM (+0,18 %)

Source: Der Aktionär, Issue 08.2025

Dear friends of Getquin,

I'm usually a silent reader, but if everyone just reads, eventually there's no more reading material, is there? So today I want to share my story with you.

The beginnings:

It's hard for me to say exactly when my journey began, but I do know that I developed a fascination with money as a child. My first "investment" was when I was about 7 or 8 years old, when I bought an ounce of gold with my own pocket money. At that time, no one in my family had anything to do with investments, but I had seen it in my mother's bank when I often accompanied her there. I was fascinated by the shiny coins and wanted to know how I could have a piece myself.

Then, around the turn of the millennium, I saw my father, together with a "great" bank advisor, invest the entire family savings in the middle of the dotcom bubble. The result: a massive loss within a few months. But my mother, who was at home at the time, fought hard and was miraculously able to recoup the losses. I was about 9 or 10 years old at the time and watched her sit in front of the PC every day and look at the figures. From that moment on, I was hooked! I started using an Excel spreadsheet to track which shares I would have bought at what price and watched the performance of my fictitious investments with great interest every day after school.

The first few years:

My mother stopped day trading after about a year and went back to work. However, shares were no longer an issue for me until I was 26.

Getting into real shares:

In 2018, in the summer, as a die-hard Juventus fan, I read about an article on the transfer of CR7 and how Juventus shares went through the roof. I was there again! At that time, however, I only had a small income as a working student. My father, who had failed with his investments in the past, gave me €2,000 - and I bought Juventus shares. However, he made me promise him that I would never invest in shares again. How did the story end? The "trade" with Juventus was a success, but I had to pay taxes for the first time - and I still hate that to this day.

The first losses:

After my Juventus adventure, I began to delve deeper into the matter. I tried out recommendations from "Aktionär" and repeatedly bet on individual shares for smaller trades. It was more of a game, but I generally remained profitable - sometimes a few percent profit, sometimes a few percent loss. Thanks to the profits and additional deposits, I built up my portfolio to €18,000 until I was hit by Wirecard. In the end, I had to accept a loss of around €6,000. It was painful, but not life-threatening - and I learned a lot from this mistake. In particular, I made the mistake of constantly buying more. If I had left it at the original position of € 1,500, the loss would probably not have been so dramatic.

Don't give up:

After the Wirecard debacle, I radically rethought my strategy. I increasingly focused on conservative companies, regular dividend payers and low growth. But here, too, I realized that I was underperforming the market. So I adapted my strategy further and took a long-term approach. I have since been able to slowly recoup my losses.

The clean cut - a new start:

In the summer of 2023, I needed all my assets for a private housing project and decided to make a real "fresh start". I sold all the positions in my portfolio and only kept my ETF savings plans with TradeRepublic.

The new era:

When the housing project was completed, I wanted to build up a new portfolio with the money I had left over - and here you can see the result. My aim is to find companies that are growing strongly and have a solid moat. Dividends are nice, but not a must. My portfolio also contains defensive, boring stocks as a healthy addition. At the same time, I try to further expand my ETF positions through one-off purchases - I stopped my regular ETF savings plans at the end of January 2025. I have also invested a little in crypto and gold on the side. I have made further investments in Lego (€500), Pokémon (€1,000) and Counterstrike cases (€3,000), but these are not part of the public list - that would be too costly for me.

Fun fact:

My cash ratio has never been higher than €3,000 since I first entered the stock market (2018). This is currently an exception because I want to build up a cash reserve for the next generation.

Goal:

I don't have a specific, set goal when it comes to my investments. It's more of a hobby for me. I just enjoy seeing how my portfolio grows and how I can accompany exciting companies and be a small part of them as they develop. For me, it feels a bit like collecting: I enjoy discovering interesting companies, investing in them and watching them develop over the long term.

Thank you:

A big thank you goes to Goldesel Investing and Markus Koch, who have been with me since my first stock market steps. Without you, the share culture in German-speaking countries would certainly not be as strong! And of course a big thank you to Getquin - I've always dreamed of a platform like this! 0% bullshit, 100% investments.

I hope you like the revised version! The text is now more clearly structured, reads more smoothly and still retains your personal style.

Please let me know if you liked my story!

A little tip: My Bitpanda portfolio has a longer history, but I was too lazy to enter everything manually. I also didn't want to take over the history because, as I said, I wanted to start a new chapter in my investment history in November 2023. Overall, however, my crypto track is up €3000-4000.

$CSPX (-1,22 %)
$ETH (+4,27 %)
$BLK (-2,13 %)
$GS (-1,89 %)
$XDWD (-1,44 %)
$V (-1,37 %)
$MC (-1,21 %)
$MS (-1,05 %)
$QCOM (-1,35 %)
$JNJ (-0,42 %)
$ASML (-3,04 %)
$RBOT (-1,3 %)
$LOCK (-1,19 %)
$MRK (-0,11 %)
$UNP (-1,71 %)
$NKE (-1,57 %)
$QDV5 (-1,07 %)
$MA (-0,98 %)
$TGT (+0,24 %)
$PEP (+0,06 %)
$NU (-2,22 %)
$AAPL (-1,51 %)
$TSLA (-3,45 %)
$DOGE (+4,07 %)
$BTC (+1,93 %)
$BRK.B (-1,11 %)
$PEPE (+6,44 %)

Hello, I am thinking about restructuring my portfolio, which in my opinion is very unbalanced, with a view to the future. I'm thinking of an investment horizon of around 15-20 years.

I would like to structure the core of my portfolio with the help of 60% #etfs with the help of

• $VWRL (-1,29 %) 30%
• $CSPX (-1,22 %) 30%

In addition, around 5% of my postage portfolio is to be #crypto above all $BTC (+1,93 %) consist of

I invest the remaining 35% in individual stocks.

• Technology sector 8%
• Thought of $MSFT (-1,56 %) , $GOOGL (-1,52 %) , $AMZN (-1,81 %) , $SAP (-2,54 %) ,$NVDA (-2,76 %) in approximately equal parts
• Healthcare sector 4%
• Something like $JNJ (-0,42 %) , $NOVN (-0,36 %) , $NOVO B (-4,51 %) but I'm not quite sure here yet, I want to read up on it in more detail
• Consumer sector 6%
• Thought of $COKE (-2,43 %) , $1810 (-3,06 %)
  $PG (-0,38 %) but not sure yet either
• Industrial sector 5%
• Something like $6501 (-3,58 %)
  $SIE (-3,75 %)
• 
  Energy sector 7%
• $SHEL (+0,07 %) , $ENR (-5,9 %)
• 
  Financial sector
• $ALV (-0,55 %) and $NU (-2,22 %)

I currently have a monthly savings rate of 400-500 euros in addition to my studies and would divide this up accordingly and put it into a #sparplan and put it into a savings account.

What do you think of the weighting and do you have any tips, especially in the health sector?

Brief feedback is very welcome

#stockanalysis
#portfolio

In the following post, I would like to discuss the new US tariffs and their potential economic consequences. The background and the potential impact on inflation and companies, as well as the winners and losers on the stock market, will be discussed.

Again, of course, the stocks mentioned do not constitute investment advice, but merely serve as examples of possible beneficiaries or losers of tightening trade restrictions. Historical developments are no guarantee of future returns.

__________

In this post:

• Influence on inflation
• New tariffs in force
• Reaction of the countries
• Consequences for the global economy
• Winners & losers
• Investment opportunities

__________

The topic of "tariffs" is currently not only very present in the media, but the term "tariffs" has also been discussed with a strong increase in the past earnings calls of companies in the S&P 500, as the following chart shows [1].

The chart shows that the discussion about tariffs has intensified in recent months and is having an ever greater impact on the outlook in companies' annual reports.

The data is presented as a three-month average and broken down into various sectors, including e.g. industry, healthcare, consumer goods, information technology, etc.

I am curious to see how the stock markets will behave in the coming week. In addition to the current reporting season, the topic of "tariffs" will certainly dominate.

After the tough tariffs announced after Trump took office were not immediately enforced and there was a "slight" sigh of relief, there could now be a new reaction on the markets, as there was on Friday evening. slightly was already slightly noticeable on Friday evening when the markets turned towards the evening.

A looming trade conflict could not only affect individual companies, but also further fuel inflation in the US:

💰 Influence on inflation

On January 31, Deutsche Bank published a forecast on the potential impact of tariffs on the inflation rate [2]:

The chart compares the current forecast with the forecast before the "Trump" era and takes into account various scenarios for the passing on of tariffs (pass-through) by Canada and Mexico.

Two scenarios are considered: one with a 50% pass-through of tariffs (additional increase shown in dark green) and one with a 75% pass-through (light green). It is clear that the inflation rate could rise sharply again this year and fall again by 2027.

🛃 New tariffs in force & further measures planned

As of today, February 1, 2025, the US government and Donald Trump have imposed new import tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China:

• 25% on imports from Mexico and Canada
• 10% on imports from China

According to the White House spokesperson, these measures are, among other things, a response to the failure of these countries to stop the influx of fentanyl and illegal immigrants into the USA. [3]

But this is just the beginning:

From mid-February, the USA will also impose tariffs on strategic goods [4], including:

• computer chips
• pharmaceuticals
• Steel, aluminum and copper
• Oil and gas imports (but only from February 18 with reduced 10% tariffs so as not to burden US petrol prices immediately).

🚨 Trump relies on escalation - Canada announces retaliation

Yesterday, Canadian government representatives, including Foreign Minister Mélanie Joly, tried to prevent the tariffs in Washington, but to no avail.

Trump made it clear before his departure to Mar-a-Lago [5]:

"We have a 200 billion dollar trade deficit with Canada. Why should we subsidize Canada?"

The EU could also soon be targeted, as Trump hinted:

"Absolutely! The European Union has treated us so terribly!"

🔄 Canada's reaction:

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that Canada will not back down and will respond with "swift and robust countermeasures".

The government is planning a three-stage retaliation strategy [5]:

• 1️⃣ Targeted punitive tariffs on US products coming from Republican states (e.g. orange juice, whiskey, ketchup, peanut butter and motorcycles).

• 2️⃣ Tariffs on steel products and machine parts from the USA.

• 3️⃣ Escalation: Stop exports of oil, gas and electricity to the USA

However, this last step in particular would be a double-edged sword, as Canada is heavily dependent on energy cooperation with the USA.

Economic experts in the US are already warning of the consequences of a trade war [5]:

• The new tariffs could increase the cost of living of an average US household by 800 dollars per year.
• The oil and gas tariffs could increase the price of petrol in the USA by up to 20 cents per liter.

But Trump remains firm:

"Maybe there will be short-term disruption, but in the long run the tariffs will make us very rich and very strong."

🌎 Possible consequences for the global economy

(a) Rising prices in the USA

• Technology & electronicsHigher chip prices are hitting companies such as Apple $AAPL (-1,51 %) , Dell $DELL and HP $HPQ (-0,95 %) as many of their components come from China.

• Healthcare costs: Pharmaceutical companies such as CVS Health $CVS (-1,23 %) and Walgreens Boots Alliance $WBA (-0,4 %) are facing higher purchasing costs.

• Construction & InfrastructureHigher steel prices are weighing on companies such as Lennar $LEN (-1,53 %) D.R. Horton $DHI (-1,04 %) and Caterpillar $CAT (-0,93 %) .

(b) Retaliation & new trade wars?

• China could impose tariffs on US products, which could affect e.g. Archer Daniels Midland $ADM (-1,26 %) Boeing $BA (-1,19 %) and Qualcomm $QCOM (-1,35 %) would be affected.

• The EU could make US imports more expensive, which would affect Tesla $TSLA (-3,45 %) , Ford $F (-1,43 %) and General Motors $GM (-1,77 %) could be harmed.

(c) Effects on the stock market

• Volatility is increasing as there is uncertainty about the consequences for various industries.

• Particularly affected: Technology and automotive stocks with global supply chains.

🏆 Winners & losers - which companies will benefit, which will suffer?

Possible beneficiaries of the tariffs

US manufacturers of steel, aluminum & copper

• Nucor $NUE (-1,52 %) , U.S. Steel $X (-0,54 %) and Freeport-McMoRan $FCX (-1,99 %) could benefit as foreign competition becomes more expensive as a result of the tariffs.

Domestic pharmaceutical and biotech companies

• Pfizer $PFE (-0,35 %) Moderna $MRNA (+0,05 %) and Eli Lilly $LLY (+0,68 %) could gain market share.

Energy companies with US production

• ExxonMobil $XOM (-0,63 %) , Chevron$CVX (-0,63 %) and Expand Energy $CHK (+1,99 %) could benefit from rising prices for US oil and gas.

Chip manufacturers with US production

• Intel $INTC (-1,41 %) and Texas Instruments$TXN (-0,19 %) have US factories and could gain market share.

😥 Companies that could suffer from the tariffs

Chip manufacturers with global supply chains

• Apple $AAPL (-1,51 %) NVIDIA $NVDA (-2,76 %) , AMD $AMD (-1,95 %) are dependent on Asian imports and could see higher production costs.

Car manufacturers with global suppliers

• Tesla $TSLA (-3,45 %) , Ford $F (-1,43 %) , General Motors $GM (-1,77 %) are under pressure because components from Mexico and Canada could become more expensive.

Companies with strong export business

• Boeing $BA (-1,19 %) and Caterpillar $CAT (-0,93 %) suffer from possible retaliatory tariffs.

US retailers with a high import share

• Walmart $WMT (-0,99 %) , Target $TGT (+0,24 %) and Nike $NKE (-1,57 %) could have to pass on rising prices to customers.

🧠 Possible investment strategies

Favor defensive sectors:

• Utilities (e.g. NextEra Energy $NEE (-0,61 %) Duke Energy $DUK (-0,68 %) ) and healthcare companies (e.g. UnitedHealth $UNH (-0,93 %) , Johnson & Johnson $JNJ (-0,42 %) ) remain more stable.

Exploit long-term opportunities in "reshoring":

• Intel $INTC (-1,41 %) , Eli Lilly $LLY (+0,68 %) , Nucor $NUE (-1,52 %) could benefit in the long term.

Conclusion: Will the trade conflict escalate further?

With the new tariffs, Trump is taking a confrontational stance and Canada, Mexico and China are preparing for retaliatory measures. If further tariffs on European goods follow, the situation could worsen.

❓Which stocks do you think could be most affected? Which beneficiaries do you see?

Thanks for reading! 🤝

__________

Sources:

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/yahoo-finance-chartbook-44-charts-that-tell-the-story-of-markets-and-the-economy-to-start-2025-105856766.html

[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/2-charts-show-why-markets-are-skittish-about-trumps-tariff-policy-144318249.html

[3] https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/usa-unter-trump/trumps-verhaengt-zoelle-gegen-kanada-mexiko-und-china-110269990.html?

[4]

https://www.finanznachrichten.de/nachrichten-2025-01/64440108-trump-usa-werden-ab-mitte-februar-zoelle-auf-computerchips-stahl-sowie-oel-und-gasimporte-erheben-015.htm

[5] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amerika/usa-trump-strafzoelle-100.html