Action (CROX) Crocs Forum Analyses

4H·

3 interesting stocks to analyze further!

A quick summary of my analysis on these 3 stocks.

*These stocks were selected from the Magic Formula's list you can find down below after the picture.

Stocks that ends up in the Magic Formula's list are normally beaten up for some reason. I illustrate them as well in my quick analysis.

$HRMY is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare and other neurological diseases in the United States.

Good news:

Both revenues and earnings have been growing meaningfully.
Strong conversion of profit to free cash flow.
Good momentum

Bad news:

The most recent earnings report presented headline numbers that were considered soft by shareholders.

Is this stock beaten up for a valid reason?

Frankly I think this is good pick and I don't see any reason why this should not be held into your portfolio for 1 year as advised by Joel Greenblatt. It really sticks out at as one of the market's strongest value stocks in my opinion.

$GCT is a Chinese comprehensive B2B ecommerce solutions for large parcel merchandise in the United States. On some aspects it looks similar to Alibaba.

Good news:

Growth on all numbers
Share repurchase program
Considered a potential multibagger by many analyst

Bad news:

Next US presidency is hostile to China imports

Is this stock beaten up for a valid reason?

Many times in the past this company has been beaten up because of it's Chinese origin. Many allude on numbers too good to be true others are scared by the next US presidency. To make it short... there is a lack of trust in this company and it's future. It's undeniably a good company, but will the lack of trust ever evaporate? And will Trump's actions have any effect on it?

$BWMX (-0,43 %) is a direct-to-consumer company selling housewares in the United States and Mexico.

Good news:

Profit was recently significantly reduced by unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. Unusual items are often not repeated. If those unusual expenses won't repeat, then all else being equal I'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
Constant revenue growth quarter after quarter.
Very high dividend yield.

Bad news:

High level of debt.
Shareholders have been substantially diluted recently.
Negative momentum.

Is this stock beaten up for a valid reason?

At the moment I believe so, but as soon as the profits rectify, I can see the stock price jumping and finally recognising the true value of the company. But it's kind of a bet on when this will happen. If you are in for the high dividend, you are patient and you are ready to take some risks this might be the stock for you.

Magic Formula's list (24/11/2024)

#magicformula
#multibagger
#tenbagger
#joelgreenblatt
#greenblatt

2

Getking

@Getking

5J·

$CROX (-0,46 %)

Strike: €98.00

Expiry: 20.12.2024

Not a typical move (no LEAP)..... but this one will pay for many Christmases! 😂🤣😅

This is the way to go!

Yes. I only own one flip flop of their shoes and once gifted one to my nephew that I bought from tkmaxx a year ago...... but an 80% gross margin company that pours liquid plastic into a mold to sell for €40+, with soaring profit estimates and a clear plan to enter new markets in Southeast Asia is on my radar. This is a TRADE based on KTS #?? ahead of the vacation season...... but I will make further investment moves on it before the peak of the cycle.

1

2 Commentaires

Kill_Baulitz@Johann_van_der_Smut

5J

Every time I see someone in those things, it lifts me up a bit. They don't work for me at all...

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Toshi

@Toshi-and-the-Mountain

6J·

What is your pick from this week Magic Formula list?

For all the Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula enthusiast on this platform I think it will be fun to publish this week Magic Formula's list and get your take on the stocks in the list.

What stock would you pick and keep for 1 year? Why?

Magic Formula's list (17/11/2024)

#magicformula
#joelgreenblatt
#greenblatt

2

Lorenz

@the_way_to_1million

3Sem.·

Crocs crashes $CROX (-0,46 %) after the company revised its forecast earnings growth from +3-5% to 3%.

A question to all experienced investors: does this justify an 18% discount? Because I'm now thinking about buying again after getting in at €93. Good or bad idea?

2

5 Commentaires

Tenbagger2024@Tenbagger2024

3Sem.

I don't like these plastic shoes.

•

3

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Aktien Stammtisch

@Aktien_Stammtisch

3Sem.·

$CROX (-0,46 %) | Crocs Q3'24 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $1.06B (Est. $1.05B) 🟢; UP 2% YoY

🔹 Adj EPS: $3.60 (Est. $3.10) 🟢; UP 11% YoY

🔹 Inventory: $367M (down from $390M YoY)

FY24 Guidance:

🔹 Revenue Growth: ~3% YoY (Lower end of prior 3%-5% range) 🔴

🔹 HEYDUDE Revenue: DOWN 14.5% (Prior: DOWN 10%-8%) 🔴

🔹 Crocs Brand Growth: ~8% (Prior: 7%-9%)

🔹 Adjusted EPS: $12.82-$12.90 (Est. $12.85) 🟡

🔹 Adjusted Operating Margin: >25%

🔹 Capital Expenditures: $90M-$100M (Lowered from $100M-$110M)

Q4'24 Guidance:

🔹 Adjusted EPS: $2.20-$2.28 (Est. $2.73) 🔴

🔹 Revenue: Flat to slightly up YoY

🔹 Crocs Brand Growth: ~2%

🔹 HEYDUDE Revenue: DOWN 6%-4%

Segment Performance:

Crocs Brand

🔹 Revenue: $858M; UP 7.4% YoY

🔸 DTC Revenue: $463M; UP 7.7%

🔸 Wholesale Revenue: $396M; UP 7.1%

🔸 International Revenue: $367M; UP 15.5% YoY

HEYDUDE Brand

🔹 Revenue: $204M; DOWN 17.4% YoY

🔸 DTC Revenue: $91M; DOWN 9.3%

🔸 Wholesale Revenue: $113M; DOWN 22.9%

Key Commentary:

CEO Andrew Rees stated:

🔸 “Our Crocs brand showed balanced growth, with strong gains internationally and in direct-to-consumer channels.”

🔸 “HEYDUDE's turnaround is taking longer than expected, given current market conditions and brand challenges, but we are confident in its long-term potential.”

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow:

🔹 Cash and Cash Equivalents: $186M (UP from $127M YoY)

🔹 Debt Repayment: $110M

🔹 Share Repurchase: 1.1M shares repurchased for $151M; $549M remaining authorization

6

Aktien Stammtisch

@Aktien_Stammtisch

4Sem.·

Earnings next week 🚀

30

8 Commentaires

Dirty30@Dirty30

4Sem.

Next week I will be completely shaved 🥴

•

18

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Voir toutes les 5 autres réponses

Raising I.

@RaisingInvestorIQ

4Mo·

$CROX (-0,46 %) remains one of our best performing investment positions..

5

Raising I.

@RaisingInvestorIQ

6Mo·

$CROX (-0,46 %) on the mend after a downturn. Still very much one of our favorite investment brands!! Thoughts?🤔

1

Maki

@Starko90

10Mo·

Put into lvmh

12.01

Crocs

a vendu x20 à 94,91 €

1 898,20 €

63,61 %

18

Lara

@larryc

1Année·

These stocks could profit from the Barbie hype

You've probably noticed the hype surrounding the new Barbie movie starring Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling. In the last few weeks, there has been a lot of publicity! Today is the premiere of the film in Germany and tomorrow the film starts in the US. I am sure that the film will not only make the box office ring, but also some stocks will benefit from the Barbie hype. The $MAT (+0,74 %) share, manufacturer of the Barbie doll, is already within the last month with nearly 15% in the plus and is still positively evaluated by experts. The film comes today in the distribution of Warner Bros, so could also the $WBD (-0,51 %) Share from the hype profit. Retailers such as. $GPS (+0,37 %), $CROX (-0,46 %) and $KSS (+0,17 %) are also jumping on the Barbie bandwagon, benefiting from licensing deals with the toymaker. Even the meme share of the movie theater operator $AMC could gain new momentum from the Barbie hype. Unfortunately, nothing is really known about the film yet, so it remains exciting to see whether the film will meet the expectations of moviegoers and whether the shares will benefit from the hype in the long term.

Are you going to see the new Barbie movie? Do you think that the Barbie movie will actually have a positive impact on the stocks mentioned and can profit from the hype? Or are you rather skeptical?