👋 Introduction & background

Hey everyone!

I'm 33, married and dad to two small children (18 months and 2 months old). I've been working in the automotive industry since 2011 and in management consulting since 2019. ⚙️🚗💼

My wife is an engineer and also works in the automotive industry. 👩‍🔧🚗

I've been with getquin since 2022, but so far I've been reading along rather than actively posting. 👀

My wife is currently on parental leave and receives parental allowance. I will go on parental leave in Q2 2026 (also with parental allowance), then she will start working again. This means that only one of us will receive a full salary until the end of 2026 - but we'll still be sticking to our savings and investment quota. 👶💶

💰 Current status:

A good mid-six-figure amount has already been saved in our custody accounts. 📈

👶 Children & investments

For each child, we invested €10,000 in the Vanguard FTSE All World ($VWRL) (+0,5 %) invested. In addition, each child receives €150 per month in the same ETF - via junior custody accounts at ING. 📊

💍 My wife's investments

She invests monthly:

- 🌎 500 € in the MSCI World ($XDWL) (+0,51 %)

- 💸 500 € in the Vanguard FTSE All World High Dividend ($VHYL) (+0,18 %)

📈 My investment strategy

Long-term, diversified and with a focus on cash flow & wealth accumulation.

🔹Core portfolio (ETF & Bitcoin)

900 € flow in monthly:

- 💵 €500 in SPDR S&P 500 ($SPY5) (+0,63 %)

- 🌍 €200 in Vaneck Morningstar Developed Markets Dividend Leaders ($TDIV) (+0,24 %)

- ₿ 200 € in Bitcoin ($BTC) (-1,18 %)

🔹 Individual share savings plans (€25/ €600 each)

Target per company: €10,000 investment amount.

Currently participating:

$DB1 (+0,93 %) , $UNP (+0,05 %), $RACE (-1,61 %) , $MRK (-1 %) , $MUV2 (+0,99 %) , $DGE (+1,46 %) , $DE (-0,65 %) , $TXN (+2,46 %) , $AWR (+1,14 %) , $ADP (-0,62 %) , $PLD (+0,12 %) , $HEN (+0,51 %) , $ITW (-0,96 %) , $UNH (+2,33 %) , $LLY (+0,39 %) , $BEI (+0,27 %) , $MCD (-0,56 %) , $DTE (+0,33 %) , $WMT (-0,22 %) , $COST (+1,44 %) , $WM (+1,19 %) , $JPM (-0,79 %) , $BLK (+0,09 %) , $SY1 (+1,3 %)

🔹 Cash reserve

💰 Set aside at least €1,000 every month to be able to strike flexibly when opportunities arise.

🏘️ Real estate strategy

We live in our own home and own a rental apartment that pays for itself. ✅

Further real estate purchases are planned. 🏡📈

🎯 Target (15-20 years)

Financial freedom - with the option of part-time or complete independence from employment. Focus on more time for family, projects and quality of life. ✨

How do you structure your portfolios? What is your strategy and what are your long-term goals?

I look forward to the exchange!

A lot has happened in my portfolio again in recent weeks. In addition to a few sales (including $GOOGL (-0,36 %) and $NVDA (+3,65 %)) from hot sectors, I have built up cash and diversified further ($CMG (+0,3 %)
$SNPS, (+2,5 %)
$BRO (+0,52 %)
$AMGN (-0,36 %)
$LSEG (+0 %)). Further acquisitions and new entries (e.g. $INTU (+0,23 %)
$ADP (-0,62 %)
$WM (+1,19 %)
$CTAS (-0,09 %)
$RMS (+1,96 %)) are planned. As short- to medium-term trades, I have invested in $Adobe (+0,48 %) and $TTD (+1,03 %) as short to medium-term trades. I mainly invest for the long term, but a correction (technology, cloud) including sector rotation (consumer, pharma, software) seems inevitable to me. I am therefore taking a wait-and-see approach and, if necessary, I will reenter $GOOGL (-0,36 %) and $NVDA (+3,65 %) again at the appropriate time.

Please let me know what you think.

I will probably share future updates with you every two months at the beginning of the month (November, January,...).

I wish you all a successful time.

$ADP (-0,62 %)

PerformancePrice change with dividends

Last 5 years (p.a.)

17,1%

19,5%

Last 10 years (p.a.)

14,2%

16,7%

Last 20 years (p.a.)

11,5%

14,0%

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is a provider of provider of personnel management services. ADP's software solutions include payroll, personnel and talent management as well as the administration of benefits and bonuses. The company's customers are primarily small and medium-sized companies. With an 89% share of sales in the USA, the domestic market is by far the most important sales market for ADP.

Stock king points models for Automatic Data Processing

Trend check: 3 / 8

Fundamental check: 8 / 10

Dividend check: 10 / 10

Endurance check: 9 / 10

Endurance check for Automatic Data Processing

The Automatic Data Processing share achieved a Dauerläufer-Check with 9 out of 10 points a very good result. Over the last ten and 20 years, there has been a small outperformance compared to an already strong S&P 500. The return over the last ten years, including dividends, is +16.2%while the S&P 500 (as a total return index, also including dividends) has gained +13.5%.

The Automatic Data Processing share lost one point due to the recent slowdown in momentum. The share is now only +25% above its 200-week average, while the S&P 500 is +33% above its 200-week average.

Automatic Data Processing is absolutely convincing in terms of risk measures. At 21.7%, volatility over the last 20 years is only slightly higher than that of the S&P 500 (18.0%). It is quite normal for an individual share to fluctuate more than a broadly diversified index. However, the maximum drawdown of -38% during this period is is significantly lower than that of the S&P 500 (-56%). This shows that Automatic Data Processing is a very stable share is a very stable share.

The company's growth is also impressive. Profits have increased by an average of +10.9% per year over the last ten years.
The company has achieved absolute peak values in terms of stability rates for sales and profit growth. These are 99% and 98% respectively higher than almost any other company. A share can only reach the peak value of 100% if turnover and profit increase at exactly the same rate from one year to the next.

Chart analysis for Automatic Data Processing

The upward trend channel shown here in the chart upward trend channel shown here goes back to 2009. The Automatic Data Processing share is working well within this trend channel, although the upper and lower limits are not always met exactly. The share is currently in the middle of the trend channeland is therefore not considered to have run hot.

After Automatic Data Processing's shares lost some momentum between 2023 and mid-2024, they have been performing well again for a year now. At the end of last year, the share managed to break out dynamically above its previous all-time high of USD 275 (light blue). This level was also confirmed as support at the beginning of April this year. A correction to this level would be absolutely unproblematic.

If this level does not hold, the the lower limit of the long-term upward trend channel offers stabilization. This is currently at around USD 260. Falling below this channel for a short time would not be a problem either. The lows from 2024 at around USD 230 (marked in green) are then waiting to catch the share. Overall, the Automatic Data Processing share is therefore well protected on the downside.

Historical valuation based on the P/E ratio for Automatic Data Processing

The P/E ratio of Automatic Data Processing currently stands at 30 and thus at the average level of the last ten years. Since 2015, it can be observed that the P/E ratio of Automatic Data Processing has largely fluctuated between 25 and 35. Here too, the share is currently pretty much in the middle of this valuation range and is therefore considered to be fairly valued to be regarded as fairly valued.

Details on buying Automatic Data Processing

The Automatic Data Processing share has a stable long-term upward trend. With a P/E ratio of 30, the share is fairly valued. A rating of 9 out of 10 points in the long-term runner check qualifies the share for inclusion in the long-term runner portfolio. The sideways movement of the last few weeks now offers a good entry point, also with regard to the current price level within the long-term trend channel.

https://aktienkoenig.de/2-veraenderungen-im-dauerlaeufer-depot-2025-08-08/

I think there is far too little talk about the share. The fundamental data is great, but nobody is talking about the share. I haven't seen it in any portfolios here yet. What do you think of the share? $ADP (-0,62 %)

Out with the critters and into the $HMWO (+0,5 %)

All securities have been sold:

• Blackrock $BLK (+0,09 %) (729€)
• Palantir $PLTR (+0,87 %) (24€)
• Xylem $XYL (+0,14 %) (121€)
• Automatic Data Processing $ADP (-0,62 %) (219€)
• Visa $V (-0,17 %) (249€)
• Nvidia $NVDA (+3,65 %) (118€)
• Parker Hannifin $PH (+0,17 %) (476€)
• Broadcom $AVGO (+2,95 %) (162€)
• Ferrari $RACE (-1,61 %) (394€)
• Allianz $ALV (+2,28 %) (262€)
• Mutares $MUX (+0,58 %) (35€)

Reason: Due to time constraints away from individual stocks and towards ETFs

Easier said than done: You have put time and effort into the analysis and have gone through ups and downs with them.

It's hard for me, but well, it doesn't help

Yes indeed too much noordusa always had a lot of interest in it, so I want to $NN (+0,08 %) buy and $ASRNL (-0,28 %)
add on and add to the euro div etf to spread something outside USA. Also $KPN (+0,59 %)
and $WKL (+0,7 %) seem interesting to me. I am indeed trying to keep under 10% by own money, but if by growth I get above that, I would be fine with that. (Let your runners run)

Growth indeed I am looking at: $SBUX (-1,18 %) and $CMI
$DE (-0,65 %)
$HSY (+0,73 %)
$TRV (-0,67 %)
$APD (-0,54 %)
$MCO (+0 %)
$ADP (-0,62 %)

But also for a little more dividend $MAA (+0,21 %)
$TD (-0,28 %)
$AFL (-0,79 %)
$AVB (-0,49 %)

Main I bought when it was very low and interest rates were also very low, so so the risk was much less. Only bought once. I may well stay away from this for a long time and use the dividend for the dividend snowball.

Otherwise quite difficult to stick with these boring and safe stocks, but this is what I like and sleep best with. (Slow but "sure")

Fantastic explanation everything was indeed correct how I think about it and this helps me tremendously to persevere, thank you Paul.

Thanks for your review: https://youtu.be/7-xomL4oDBM?si=v-JueJwSOVPHQeYZ

I'm curious what you guys think of this YouTube money tree show

For reasons of transparency and that one does not only make profits with levers:

$ADP (-0,62 %) closed today with -53%. The 208$ were my SL and that was triggered.

Still open:

Still $NOC (+1,97 %) the colleague can not really decide.

And $NDAQ (+1,9 %) where here since Friday again strength came in from the side of the buyers 📈