Hermes Intl

Earnings summary this morning 👇🏼

$ULVR (-0,36 %) | Unilever Q3 2024 Earnings

Rev €15.25B (est €15.398B)

DIV/SHR €O.4396

Underlying Volume 3.6% (est 3.1%)

Underlying Sales 4.5%, (est 4.25%)

Still Sees FY Underlying Sales To 5% (est 4.2%)

Still Sees FY Underlying Oper. Margin At Least 18%

2024 FY Outlook Unchanged

$BARC (+1,12 %) | Barclays Q3 2024 Earnings

Pretax Profit £2.23B (est £1.96B)

Net Interest Income £3.31B (est £3.11B)

Investment Banking £594M (est £552.3M)

FICC Rev. £1.18B (est £1.13B)

Sees FY Cost To Income Ratio About

Sees FY UK Net Interest Income About £6.5B

$AAL (+0,07 %) | Anglo American Q3 2024 Earnings

Diamond Prod 5.6M Carats (est 5.6M)

Copper Output 181,000 tons (est 181,334)

American Sees Fy Diamond Prod 23M to 26M Carats

De Beers To Continue To Assess Options To Lower Output

PGMS Demerger Is On Track To Complete By Mid 2025

$RMS (-0,13 %) | Hermes International Q3 2024 Earnings

Rev €3.70B (est €3.68B)

Sales At Constant FX 11.3% (est 10.5%)

Leather Goods Sales At Constant FX 14% (est 12.8%)

CFO: Sees No Change In Global Trends Early Q4

CFO: China Higher Basket Spend Made Up For Lower Traffic

$005380 | Hyundai reports a 6.5% drop in profits in the third quarter despite an increase in sales, leading to a fall in the Seoul share price of almost 5%. Operating profit falls to 3.6 trillion won, while the operating margin drops to 8.3%.

$BN (-1,17 %) | Danone increases its turnover in the third quarter by 4.2% to 6.9 billion euros, exceeding analysts' expectations. Demand is particularly high in North America and Asia.

$RNO (+0,37 %) | Renault increases sales by 1.8% to 10.7 billion euros in the third quarter, but falls short of analysts' expectations. Exchange rate effects have a dampening effect on the result, without which a 5% increase in sales would have been possible.

$SY1 (+0,82 %) | Symrise raises its forecast for organic growth in 2024 to around 7 % after strong sales growth in the first nine months. Sales rose by 6 % to 3.8 billion euros, driven by petcare and fragrance products.

$WAF (+1,8 %) | Siltronic raises 2024 EBITDA margin guidance to 24-26% as acceptance of new Singapore factory is delayed. Third-quarter sales rise 2.3% to EUR 357m, exceeding expectations, while profit falls to EUR 19m.

$BEI (+0,37 %) | Beiersdorf records organic sales growth of 6.5% to 7.5 billion euros, but falls short of analysts' expectations. Sales of the luxury brand La Prairie fall by over 7% in China, while the annual targets for 2024 are confirmed.

Good morning,

I haven't had any individual stocks in the last 10 years, but have now decided to invest in 10 stocks again. I have already chosen 9 of them, one is still missing. Perhaps someone can give me a tip.

I have the following criteria:

-No tech, I have enough of that already

-If possible, no USA. But this is not an exclusion

-Dividend doesn't matter

-Investment horizon > 10 years

Here are the 9:

$LOTB (+0,09 %)

$CTAS (+2,12 %)

$LIN (+1,73 %)

$8001 (-0,28 %)

$RMS (-0,13 %)

$LMT (+2,15 %)

$V (+1,31 %)

$BRK.B (+1,12 %)

$BLK

If there are any concerns about the nine, I will gladly take some out again

Update: @RealMichaelScott Someone has asked in the comments for the reasoning behind my selection so far. I'd like to answer that here:

There are a few more smart criteria that fit my preferences and gut feeling. These would be:

I like stocks with long-phase linear growth, see $CTAS (+2,12 %) in the last 12 months and $8001 (-0,28 %) . $LOTB (+0,09 %) is one of the best stocks in the world in my opinion. Exponential growth will certainly turn around at some point, but I don't like cyclicals. I also value positive free cash flow. I am not interested in P/E ratios (for whatever reason). Another reason is diversity with the 10 stocks, I'm not sure yet. $LIN (+1,73 %) was and would still be the only DAX stock that makes it to me. I would have gladly done without Armor, but unfortunately it will be part of the next 10 years, so $LMT (+2,15 %) . I'm also looking for stocks that closed 2020 and 2022 on a positive note.

$BRK.B (+1,12 %) is somehow part of such a portfolio:-), I'm not sure about $V (+1,31 %) I'm not sure about. Thanks for the suggestions on medical+health, that's definitely still missing. I still have doubts about energy. Due to the climate problem, I don't know where the journey will take us.

Update 2: Thanks for all the good suggestions. I took advantage of the bad weather and the window day today and have now made my decision:

$BLK (+1,3 %) flies out again, $V (+1,31 %) stays

Instead there are 2 new ones from your suggestions:

$CAT (+3,05 %) and $NOVO B (-2,54 %)

So it looks like this:

$LOTB (+0,09 %)

$CTAS (+2,12 %)

$LIN (+1,73 %)

$8001 (-0,28 %)

$RMS (-0,13 %)

$LMT (+2,15 %)

$V (+1,31 %)

$BRK.B (+1,12 %)

$CAT (+3,05 %)

$NOVO B (-2,54 %)

I did a backtest from 1.1.2020, all equally weighted

Average annual return: 24.32%

Total return approx. twice as high as the S&P ETF $CSPX (+0,89 %)

In the difficult years 2020 and 2022 each over 13% plus

10k became 28.5k with dividends in the 4.5 years

Nice linear progression over the entire term:

But unfortunately: forecasts are difficult, especially when they concern the future!

Depot review September 2024 - The first green September in my depot since 2019 📈

September is generally regarded as the worst month on the stock market, with a negative monthly performance more than 50% of the time. This is also consistent with my experience since 2013. In 11 years, it has been negative 6 times and positive 5 times. From 2020 to 2023, the last 4 years were all negative. However, September 2024 is now the first positive September since 2019, which means it is exactly 50/50 for me - 6 positive and 6 negative Septembers since 2013.

The Fed's interest rate turnaround and the stimulus in China have certainly contributed to the positive trend

Monthly view:

In total, September was +1,2%. This corresponds to price gains of ~3.600€.

The MSCI World (benchmark) was +1.0% and the S&P500 +1.3%

Winners & losers:

A look at the winners and losers is particularly exciting this month.

On the winning side at the very top are my China ETF with € +1,300 and is thus back in the green for the first time in a long time. The following winners are also a colorful mix with Meta, Bitcoin, Home Depot and Sea. Really a very broad mix with no clear tendency towards regions, sectors or the like

On the loser side in my portfolio in September were mainly pharmaceutical stocks. Novo Nordisk, Amgen and Johnson & Johnson. Even worse, with price losses of ~€700 each, were only Palo Alto Networks and ASML.

The performance-neutral movements in September were just under €4,500. The premium refund from my private health insurance also played a large part in this. In September, I received over €2,000 back for the year 2023, which was of course invested directly to compensate for any higher pension contributions.

Current year:

My performance in the current year is +20,4% and thus above my benchmark, the MSCI World with 17.2%.

In total, my portfolio currently stands at ~321.000€. This corresponds to an absolute growth of ~€69,000 in the current year 2023. ~49.000€ of this comes from price increases, ~2.800€ from dividends / interest and ~17.000€ from additional investments.

Dividend:

• Dividends in September were 23% above the previous year at ~€360
• Amgen is in the lead with a (gross) dividend of €50 every 3 months. But Johnson & Johnson with €45 is also a delight
• In the current year, the dividends after 9 months are +25% over the first 9 months of 2023 at ~2.210€

Buys & sells:

• I bought in September for approx. 3,500€. 2,100 of this came from the premium refund from my private health insurance and went into the WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth
• As always, my savings plans were executed:
• Blue ChipsLockheed Martin $LMT (+2,15 %) Republic Services $RSG (+1,26 %) Thermo Fisher $TMO (+1,71 %) ASML $ASML (+3,19 %) MasterCard $MA (+1,13 %) Deere $DE (+8,79 %) Northrop Grumman $NOC (+1,56 %) Itochu $8001 (-0,28 %) Salesforce $CRM (+4,63 %) Hermes $RMS (-0,13 %) Constellation Software $CSU (+3,77 %)
• 
  Growth: -
• ETFsMSCI World $XDWD (+1 %) Nikkei 225 $XDJP (+0,98 %) and the WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth $GGRP (+0,8 %)
• 
  Crypto: Bitcoin $BTC (+0,9 %) and Ethereum $ETH (+0,16 %)
• 
  Sales there were none in September

Target 2024:

My goal for this year is to reach €300,000 in my portfolio. Due to the extremely positive market development in the current year, my portfolio currently stands at ~€321,000.

At the beginning of September, my portfolio was still quite a bit lower at €304,000 due to the weak start to the month. At this point, it was therefore quite a way off the previous high of €320,000 in June.

I have now reached a new high of €321,000 and am optimistic that I can still beat my year-end target of €300,000.

#dividends

#dividende

#rückblick

#depotupdate

#aktie

#stocks

#etfs

#crypto

#personalstrategy

Apparently not a bad buy 10 days ago. It can go on like this :)

Companies that I find interesting but do not yet have in my portfolio and that have a 10-year average ROIC of over 10% and a 5-year average ROCE and ROIC of over 10%, $ANET (+6,77 %), $MA (+1,13 %) , $VRTX (+0,47 %) , $RMS (-0,13 %) , $PGHN (+0,84 %) , $COLO B (-1,26 %) , $ACN (+1,79 %) , $MNST (+0,23 %)
$FICO (+1,87 %) , $MCO (+1,19 %) , $KNIN (+0,11 %) , $S&P Global, $ISRG (+1,97 %)
$III (+1,91 %) , $BKNG (+4,55 %)
$HLAG (-2,2 %) , $QCOM (+1,7 %) , $CFR (-1,06 %) and $IFX (+0,2 %) . Already blatant companies

$RMS (-0,13 %) New addition to the depot.

Today I decided to invest in Hermes. The alternative would have been $MC (-1,36 %) LVMH, but I don't see a turnaround or a bottom there at the moment, which is why I ultimately chose Hermes. I am convinced by Hermes' fundamentals and the continuous demand in the luxury segment, even in difficult economic times.

Interestingly, Hermes is now my second stock in the luxury segment, alongside $EL (-1,76 %) Luxottica, although I see Luxottica more as a premium brand and less as classic luxury. Nevertheless, I believe that the luxury market will remain robust in the long term and will benefit from global trends such as growing affluence and the pursuit of exclusivity.

$MC (-1,36 %)
$KER (-2,7 %)
$BRBY (+1,55 %)
$RMS (-0,13 %)

say yesaaaa a share for eternity, buy in here nothing will go wrong.

#lvmh is so broadly positioned 😉

📱 Update July 📈:

Just in time for the middle of the month and Sunday, I would like to give you another update from my portfolio.

➡️ Depot update:

This month has seen a lot of ups and downs. As is so often the case, the big tech companies caused the highs: Apple shone in July 2024 with 5.54 %, Amazon with 4.27 % and of course Tesla with an impressive 33.60 %. Alibaba was also strong with a gain of 3.47% and BYD was up 5.73%. However, it is not yet possible to speak of a stable upward trend for Alibaba. Developments in China remain exciting and unpredictable. Despite the economic risks, I remain invested because the valuation is simply too tempting.

On the other hand, Bitcoin is down 11.14%, bringing the overall performance of my portfolio in July to +1.34%.

➡️ Transactions:

With a monthly performance of -11.14% for Bitcoin, I only had one option: buy more! 😜 The first purchases have already been made and I could imagine that the $50,000 mark will be tested again. The transactions by Mt.Gox and the BKA have of course depressed the price, but I'm surprised that it hasn't fallen any further.

Following the strong trend at Tesla, I have also bought more there, but am now working with a stop loss. If it turns out that the Robotaxi event on August 8 is postponed until October, the price could fall again quickly.

Other purchases this month were the savings plan executions of NVIDIA, Microsoft and Visa. I am extremely bullish on all three positions and would like to further increase my holdings in Microsoft and Visa in particular.

There were no sales ✨.

Transaction overview 07/24:

Purchases ✅:

- Tesla € 200

- Bitcoin 250 € at approx. 58,000 €

- Bitcoin € 250 at approx. € 52,000

- Microsoft savings plan €100

- Visa savings plan €100

- Nvidia savings plan € 100

- TR-Saveback Nvidia 14,80 €

Sales ❌:

- none

➡️ Saveback 💰:

TR saveback is switched back to Visa.

➡️ Payback 💰:

I continue to find Payback exciting and collected points diligently in July. I have now accumulated 22,600 points, which I will invest in shares at some point.

Payback 07/24: +3,600 points (€36).

➡️ Sports betting ⛺️:

*Attention sports betting: Extreme risk and not recommended for imitation.

Of course, I followed the European Championship closely and always get weak at sports betting during major soccer events. 🥹

As mentioned, there is a huge risk involved. Nevertheless, I enjoy it with small stakes. I won +€70 over the European Championship. Let's see what the final tonight brings. Not a huge sum, but I'm enjoying it. 😅

The profit will of course go into my portfolio.

➡️ Watchlist 👀:

I would like to further increase my European share and smaller positions for diversification:

- Hermes (interesting at €1,800) $RMS (-0,13 %)

- ASML (interesting at €800) $ASML (+3,19 %)

- Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-2,54 %)

- Bitcoin $BTC (+0,9 %)

I look forward to your feedback on the article, the watchlist and my thoughts. And of course I wish you an exciting game tonight - good kick! ✨