Lotus Bakeries Action Forum

Cookies always work 😉

Good morning,

I haven't had any individual stocks in the last 10 years, but have now decided to invest in 10 stocks again. I have already chosen 9 of them, one is still missing. Perhaps someone can give me a tip.

I have the following criteria:

-No tech, I have enough of that already

-If possible, no USA. But this is not an exclusion

-Dividend doesn't matter

-Investment horizon > 10 years

Here are the 9:

$LOTB (+0,59 %)

$CTAS (-2,55 %)

$LIN (-0,28 %)

$8001 (+0,45 %)

$RMS (+1,97 %)

$LMT (-3,03 %)

$V (-0,2 %)

$BRK.B (+0,08 %)

$BLK

If there are any concerns about the nine, I will gladly take some out again

Update: @RealMichaelScott Someone has asked in the comments for the reasoning behind my selection so far. I'd like to answer that here:

There are a few more smart criteria that fit my preferences and gut feeling. These would be:

I like stocks with long-phase linear growth, see $CTAS (-2,55 %) in the last 12 months and $8001 (+0,45 %) . $LOTB (+0,59 %) is one of the best stocks in the world in my opinion. Exponential growth will certainly turn around at some point, but I don't like cyclicals. I also value positive free cash flow. I am not interested in P/E ratios (for whatever reason). Another reason is diversity with the 10 stocks, I'm not sure yet. $LIN (-0,28 %) was and would still be the only DAX stock that makes it to me. I would have gladly done without Armor, but unfortunately it will be part of the next 10 years, so $LMT (-3,03 %) . I'm also looking for stocks that closed 2020 and 2022 on a positive note.

$BRK.B (+0,08 %) is somehow part of such a portfolio:-), I'm not sure about $V (-0,2 %) I'm not sure about. Thanks for the suggestions on medical+health, that's definitely still missing. I still have doubts about energy. Due to the climate problem, I don't know where the journey will take us.

Update 2: Thanks for all the good suggestions. I took advantage of the bad weather and the window day today and have now made my decision:

$BLK (+1,91 %) flies out again, $V (-0,2 %) stays

Instead there are 2 new ones from your suggestions:

$CAT (+0,55 %) and $NOVO B (-0,94 %)

So it looks like this:

$LOTB (+0,59 %)

$CTAS (-2,55 %)

$LIN (-0,28 %)

$8001 (+0,45 %)

$RMS (+1,97 %)

$LMT (-3,03 %)

$V (-0,2 %)

$BRK.B (+0,08 %)

$CAT (+0,55 %)

$NOVO B (-0,94 %)

I did a backtest from 1.1.2020, all equally weighted

Average annual return: 24.32%

Total return approx. twice as high as the S&P ETF $CSPX (-0,29 %)

In the difficult years 2020 and 2022 each over 13% plus

10k became 28.5k with dividends in the 4.5 years

Nice linear progression over the entire term:

But unfortunately: forecasts are difficult, especially when they concern the future!

9 months ago I already had $LOTB (+0,59 %) on my watchlist 9 months ago and had read up on the cookie baker both here on getquin and elsewhere. However, I didn't take the plunge because the valuation at the time (P/E ratio: 50) seemed too high to me...

And now? I'm very annoyed 😤 But well, that's the stock market 🫠

Ok, I thought it couldn't get any crazier with this share $LOTB (+0,59 %) until today's announcement that led to the +19% jump: "Lotus Bakeries generated annual sales of over €1 billion for the first time in history in 2023". Simply insane. Nevertheless, no more entry for me..... these are too hot cookies for me with a view to the P/E ratio....

What do you think? Lotus still a buy for you?

$LOTB (+0,59 %) - Why didn't any of you see this coming? And how can you make a cookie-making course eighty times as much 😄? I still can't find an explanation except that the cookies are simply delicious... 1000 euros invested in 2005 would have become over 80000 euros today.